Brick Tamland Posted January 5, 2015 Share Posted January 5, 2015 It's cool. I just won't start any threads anymore. I'll leave it up to the clique. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Southern Track Posted January 5, 2015 Share Posted January 5, 2015 This far out? It's inside 7 days. Whatever. If someone else had started it there would not be a problem.Brick I think if you had waited until after the 12z GFS had verified and it was as optimistic as previous runs you would have gotten a little more slack. The GFS is not as juicy and warmer and the DOC isn't seeing it right now.Just bad timing bro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeyefan1 Posted January 5, 2015 Share Posted January 5, 2015 Seriously people? IS this ALL you have to complain about? You do realize that if/when a thread is started for any threat, it will be pinned. THERE WILL BE NO BANTER IN IT PERIOD. END OF DISCUSSION. Be careful what you wish for Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted January 5, 2015 Share Posted January 5, 2015 Seriously people? IS this ALL you have to complain about? You do realize that if/when a thread is started for any threat, it will be pinned. THERE WILL BE NO BANTER IN IT PERIOD. END OF DISCUSSION. Be careful what you wish for Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
South_MountainWX Posted January 5, 2015 Share Posted January 5, 2015 I said this a few weeks back but theres some great people on hear appreciate all the time an effort you guys put in you know who u are but this a weather board not a members only club i know theres alot of die hard vets thats been here from day one congratulations ur still no better than the rest if you dont like what some people are posting then dont engage its truly that simple... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted January 5, 2015 Share Posted January 5, 2015 Wow, Brick! I've never seen you so mad! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherExperiment Posted January 5, 2015 Share Posted January 5, 2015 I actually came on here to see if a thread had been started because Brad Panovich mentioned it in a Facebook post. Brad is usually against mentioning a winter event in the Piedmont 5 days out, let alone 7. But he did. And because he did, it got me perked up a bit. He said "confidence is low right now, but trending higher." My feeling is that since he is seeing something that's worth mentioning now, then it's worth starting to talk about now. If it does end up fizzling out, then chalk it up to another miscued event. I usually don't come on here to speak...more to observe. I enjoy the cameraderie when a big storm is on the horizon. That's what I come here to read. But when I see people on here jumping down each other's throats just because a thread was started a couple days earlier than the unwritten "Rule of 5 Days or Less" doesn't make for a pleasant experience on here. I won't leave because of it. But I just felt I had to put in my two cents. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted January 5, 2015 Share Posted January 5, 2015 I didn't start it just to start a thread. I started it because we are inside 7 days and people were talking about it. East was talking about it. RAH mentioned it. I started it because it was a specific threat, and to keep it from the pattern discussion in the winter discussion thread. That's the reason I made it. I swear, it's ridiculous how strict some things are here. Some of you need to relax. I said it seemed like you did. It's all good. I don't think anybody is mad about it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeyefan1 Posted January 5, 2015 Share Posted January 5, 2015 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted January 5, 2015 Share Posted January 5, 2015 This far out? It's inside 7 days. Whatever. If someone else had started it there would not be a problem. It's cool. I just won't start any threads anymore. I'll leave it up to the clique. http://www.americanwx.com/bb/index.php/topic/44185-hurricane-bertha/ http://www.americanwx.com/bb/index.php/topic/43985-hurricane-arthur/ Look at the first sentence in this thread: http://www.americanwx.com/bb/index.php/topic/42959-220-221-severe-storms-threat/ Which refers to this (situation look familiar?): http://www.americanwx.com/bb/index.php/topic/42941-225-227-winter-storm-threat/ http://www.americanwx.com/bb/index.php/topic/42332-potential-severe-storms-for-sat-jan-11/ Shall I continue? Ok, allow me: http://www.americanwx.com/bb/index.php/topic/42186-potential-winter-storm-jan-3-4/ Yeah, NOBODY LIKES TO SEE BRICK START THREADS (hint: read the first page of the above thread). GSM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted January 5, 2015 Share Posted January 5, 2015 I guess I should have waited two more days. I know those two days would be so critical as to people posting on a message board in one more thread. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Winterhawk Posted January 5, 2015 Share Posted January 5, 2015 I guess I should have waited two more days. I know those two days would be so critical as to people posting on a message board in one more thread. Guess you're out of the "in" crowd.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted January 5, 2015 Share Posted January 5, 2015 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted January 5, 2015 Share Posted January 5, 2015 Guess you're out of the "in" crowd.. I think most people like Brick. He's made a lot of great posts this year, as has been noted many, many times. All of the lamenting about Brick not starting threads doesn't really have a strong foundation (see above and below). Also, if there are only a few people in the "in" crowd and everyone else is in the "out" crowd, maybe the "in" crowd is actually the "out" crowd. untitled.png http://www.americanwx.com/bb/index.php/topic/44185-hurricane-bertha/ http://www.americanwx.com/bb/index.php/topic/43985-hurricane-arthur/ Look at the first sentence in this thread: http://www.americanwx.com/bb/index.php/topic/42959-220-221-severe-storms-threat/ Which refers to this (situation look familiar?): http://www.americanwx.com/bb/index.php/topic/42941-225-227-winter-storm-threat/ http://www.americanwx.com/bb/index.php/topic/42332-potential-severe-storms-for-sat-jan-11/ Shall I continue? Ok, allow me: http://www.americanwx.com/bb/index.php/topic/42186-potential-winter-storm-jan-3-4/ Yeah, NOBODY LIKES TO SEE BRICK START THREADS (hint: read the first page of the above thread). GSM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
magpiemaniac Posted January 5, 2015 Share Posted January 5, 2015 DING DING DING. Exactly what's wrong here. If burger started it this conversation wouldn't be happening. Now mods are deleting threads based on their personal preference. Lovely site. This in part is why I stopped donating to this site. Heavy-handed and inconsistent moderating depending on particular cliques. It's like virtual junior high. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
max100 Posted January 5, 2015 Share Posted January 5, 2015 This in part is why I stopped donating to this site. Heavy-handed and inconsistent moderating depending on particular cliques. It's like virtual junior high. AMEN.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted January 5, 2015 Share Posted January 5, 2015 AMEN.... And we don't post enough on GEORGIA!! Why aren't there more posts about GEORGIA!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted January 5, 2015 Share Posted January 5, 2015 As a general rule, and this goes back over a decade, we haven't started threads on events where model consensus isn't there under 5 days. That's just a good way to clutter the board and clutter the server. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted January 5, 2015 Share Posted January 5, 2015 Of course, I'm definitely board illuminati because I go back three boards. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LithiaWx Posted January 5, 2015 Share Posted January 5, 2015 There is no "clique" There are good posters and crappy ones.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jburns Posted January 5, 2015 Share Posted January 5, 2015 I said this a few weeks back but theres some great people on hear appreciate all the time an effort you guys put in you know who u are but this a weather board not a members only club i know theres alot of die hard vets thats been here from day one congratulations ur still no better than the rest if you dont like what some people are posting then dont engage its truly that simple... Actually, that is exactly what it is. It says so clearly right under your avatar. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
max100 Posted January 5, 2015 Share Posted January 5, 2015 There is no "clique" There are good posters and crappy ones.... Yeah, where do you fit??? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted January 5, 2015 Share Posted January 5, 2015 As a general rule, and this goes back over a decade, we haven't started threads on events where model consensus isn't there under 5 days. That's just a good way to clutter the board and clutter the server. But nobody likes Brick! And every time he starts a thread, he gets jumped on. Just because he's Brick. Never mind all of the other threads that he started and all the other posts that he's made that were very good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jburns Posted January 5, 2015 Share Posted January 5, 2015 This in part is why I stopped donating to this site. Heavy-handed and inconsistent moderating depending on particular cliques. It's like virtual junior high. But you still come to read and post. I like a man with high principles. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amos83 Posted January 5, 2015 Share Posted January 5, 2015 I don't know why there is so much debate on creating a storm thread for a storm 5+ days away. Hell we can't even count on a winter storm that is within 24 hours so why in all things that are pure and good start making threads for storms so far out? Besides.... isn't it common knowledge that creating a thread more that 5 days out is the next to last death nail? Only thing more certain to kill a storm is going into Storm Mode with a phone/video conference with DT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pcbjr Posted January 5, 2015 Share Posted January 5, 2015 Hey - I used to have a nice simple "map" of the US that showed temp/precip for each MJO phase (I think it was by month or by 3 month groupings). I've lost it. Does anyone have a link for that? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jburns Posted January 5, 2015 Share Posted January 5, 2015 As a general rule, and this goes back over a decade, we haven't started threads on events where model consensus isn't there under 5 days. That's just a good way to clutter the board and clutter the server. That can't be. I haven't been a Mod for that long!! I thought it was all: 1. I am heavy handed 2. I am Butch to Brick's, Alfalfa 3. I am a member of a super secret clique 4. My license plate ends with 666 Ah well. I'll keep trying. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted January 5, 2015 Share Posted January 5, 2015 Let's not pretend there haven't been D7+ threads created by respected members. There was one already this winter and the thread for last January's southern snowstorm was started over a week out. It is what it is, though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
South_MountainWX Posted January 5, 2015 Share Posted January 5, 2015 And know it alls....there quiet a bit of nick nacken going on....if someone dosent like the others opinion ten wana be mets are right behind with ten diffrent answers or opinions last time i checked this is a hobby for most not a congressional hearing lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
toxictwister00 Posted January 5, 2015 Share Posted January 5, 2015 I'm offline 15 hours and I came back to read two whole pages of debate over whether or not Brick should have followed the 5 day rule on starting a storm thread? What has the world come to?! Frankly, I'm not sure if this is better suited in this thread or the pattern thread, but for the sake of less argument I'll leave it in here. AREA FORECAST DISCUSSIONNATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA238 PM EST MON JAN 5 2015.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...I DO NOT PLAN ON MAKING ANY FUNDAMENTAL CHANGES TO THE GENERALTRENDS THROUGH THE EXTENDED FORECAST PERIOD WITH THIS CYCLE. WEAK RE-ENFORCING FRONT TUESDAY DOES NOT AFFECT GENERAL THICKNESS VALUESACROSS THE REGION. STILL LOOKING AT A SIGNIFICANT...ALTHOUGHGENERALLY DRY...FRONTAL PASSAGE WEDNESDAY. ALTHOUGH THE ASSOCIATEDSHORT WAVE IS FAIRLY STRONG...MODELS DO NOT GENERATE ANY MEASURABLEQPF INTO NORTH GEORGIA. WE WILL LIKELY SEE JUST AN INCREASE IN CLOUDCOVER ACROSS THE NORTH. COLDEST AIR STAYS NORTH OF THE STATE...BUTWILL ARE STILL LIKELY TO SEE THE COLDEST TEMPERATURES WE HAVE HADSINCE AROUND THIS TIME LAST YEAR. SYSTEM COMING IN FOR THE WEEKENDINTO EARLY NEXT WEEK REMAINS A BIT HARD TO PIN DOWN. 1000-500MBTHICKNESSES DO NOT INDICATE ANY DEEP...ENTRENCHED COLD AIR OVER THEREGION...BUT COOL AND DRY LOWER/MID-LEVELS HINT AT AT LEAST A SLIGHTCHANCE FOR SOME BRIEF WINTRY MIX BY EARLY SUNDAY. MODELS AND HPC QPFARE MINIMAL 00Z SUNDAY THROUGH 12Z MONDAY WITH ONLY A FEW HUNDREDTHSEACH 12 HOUR PERIOD. TEMPERATURES ARE STILL EXPECTED TO REMAIN ABOVEFREEZING AFTER 12Z SUNDAY AS WELL. PREVIOUS LONG TERM DISCUSSION /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/...NEXT PRECIPITATION SYSTEM LOOKS TO PUSH INTO THE AREA LATE IN THEWEEKEND. STILL A LOT OF UNCERTAINTY BUT THE OVERALL PATTERN ON THEGFS AND ECMWF ARE ACTUALLY FAIRLY SIMILAR...WITH SOUTHWEST FLOWALOFT DEVELOPING OVER THE SOUTHEAST AND ALLOWING MOISTURE ANDPRECIPITATION TO OVERSPREAD THE AREA. DEFINITELY SOME QUESTION ONTIMING OF INCOMING PRECIP VS OVERNIGHT LOWS. LAYER RH VALUESINCREASE QUITE A BIT SATURDAY NIGHT BUT MODELS NOT SPITTING OUTMUCH IN THE WAY OF QPF. INCREASING CLOUD COVER MIGHT DEFINITELYLIMIT HOW COLD TEMPERATURES GET SATURDAY NIGHT BUT FOR NOW IT DOESLOOK LIKE A PORTION OF NORTH GEORGIA WILL BE BELOW FREEZING...ANDWITH THAT HAVE ADDED SLIGHT CHANCE RAIN OR SNOW TO NORTHERN ZONESGENERALLY BETWEEN 06Z-12Z SUNDAY. OF COURSE THIS WILL BE REFINEDOVER THE COMING DAYS BUT KEEP IN MIND THAT POPS ARE PRETTY LOW...BARELY THERE. MORE SIGNIFICANT MOISTURE INCOMING FOR SUNDAY BUTWITH A CORRESPONDING INCREASE IN SURFACE TEMPS SO NO ADDITIONALCONCERNS ABOUT P-TYPE AT THIS TIME. This is my forecast Saturday night, it's a measly, pathetic 20%, but I'll take whatever I can get! Saturday NightA slight chance of rain and snow. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 31. Chance of precipitation is 20%. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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