mackerel_sky Posted January 27, 2015 Author Share Posted January 27, 2015 That one strong band heading to NYC , is falling apart, lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tarheelwx Posted January 27, 2015 Share Posted January 27, 2015 Flukish early starts are always deceiving. I've seen that a few times with our storms where we get some unexpected early overrunning precip and start believing that we're going to overperform, then we don't. Kind of like cold, early Novembers! TW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted January 27, 2015 Share Posted January 27, 2015 If they had not gotten that somewhat flukish band there would have been a a lot of cliff diving already. It was funny watching all the weenies literally screaming that it proved the nam and euro would be right even though it proved absolutely nothing. But its pretty amazing it set up where it did to the point that if totals are not as advertised with the main event, it could save some forecasters some grief. would be worried if I was in new jersey or just west of town. the hrrr has been remarkably consistent in showing the city being the cutoff between the halfs and half nots and frankly that looks like what they trends are. The latest RGEM is almost a whiff for the city, 2-3". Is this really happening? I feel terrible for them. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
downeastnc Posted January 27, 2015 Share Posted January 27, 2015 That one strong band heading to NYC , is falling apart, lol No if anything the entire area is becoming uniformly insane in the strength and intensity, most of that is easily 2-3" a hr type stuff wit hthe really dark greens and yellows...... they are about to get into that for hrs on end....run this loop and notice all the yellows breaking out NYC still very much in play for 18-24" especially in the Bronx....they will get crushed http://www.wunderground.com/weather-radar/united-states/ny/new-york-city/okx/?region=hfd Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted January 27, 2015 Share Posted January 27, 2015 I'm actually happy for the NE....it's been a crap winter for everyone. If we can't get anything at least someone can get something out of this ho hum winter. Now I will laugh really hard at DT if NYC ends up with 9-12 and that ridiculous rant he went on about TWC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sparklecity Posted January 27, 2015 Share Posted January 27, 2015 From DT on facebook lol. Is he drunk? HEAVY SNOWS HAVE BEEN BACK IN NYC FOR 45 MINUTESsorry carl parker YOU and TWC and the RPM model ...suck . and I mean like Moose balls Just looked at radar and it doesn't look like heavy snow in NYC? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rduwx Posted January 27, 2015 Share Posted January 27, 2015 The latest RGEM is almost a whiff for the city, 2-3". Is this really happening? I feel terrible for them. I don't think that is correct looking at the radar. Some of the bands coming inland could be 2" an hour. Edit: That being said I don't think they get the 18" to 20". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thrasher Fan Posted January 27, 2015 Share Posted January 27, 2015 CNN has a "BlizzardMobile". Also, I'm turning off the TV. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted January 27, 2015 Share Posted January 27, 2015 All this makes me thankful for is most of my snow comes from overrunning events. I'd have an ulcer after this event if I lived in NYC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoshM Posted January 27, 2015 Share Posted January 27, 2015 CNN has a "BlizzardMobile". Also, I'm turning off the TV. SiriusXM has dedicated their preview channel (channel 1) to the weather channel audio feed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HKY_WX Posted January 27, 2015 Share Posted January 27, 2015 All this makes me thankful for is most of my snow comes from overrunning events. I'd have an ulcer after this event if I lived in NYC. Comma heads can be cruel. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted January 27, 2015 Share Posted January 27, 2015 I don't think that is correct looking at the radar. Some of the bands coming inland could be 2" an hour. Edit: That being said I don't think they get the 18" to 20". If you have radarscope there is a narrow heavy band about 30 miles east of the city, they better hope that makes it to the city. The models have the SLP tracking NNE from here so the westward extent will be limited. The GFS is almost a whiff too, ticked east from previous runs. This will be the greatest coup ever for the euro or a bust. Reminds me of Dec 2000. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CaryWx Posted January 27, 2015 Share Posted January 27, 2015 If you have radarscope there is a narrow heavy band about 30 miles east of the city, they better hope that makes it to the city. The models have the SLP tracking NNE from here so the westward extent will be limited. The GFS is almost a whiff too, ticked east from previous runs. This will be the greatest coup ever for the euro or a bust. Reminds me of Dec 2000. Was that December 2000 event the one where RDU was in some sweet spot and got nil? Major bust by WRAL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted January 27, 2015 Share Posted January 27, 2015 Comma heads can be cruel. See: January 2000 and February 2004 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metalicwx366 Posted January 27, 2015 Share Posted January 27, 2015 From DT on facebook lol. Is he drunk? Just looked at radar and it doesn't look like heavy snow in NYC? He must be. Its only like flurries where Jenn Carfagno is in NYC. The comments are ridiculously stupid. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HKY_WX Posted January 27, 2015 Share Posted January 27, 2015 Was that December 2000 event the one where RDU was in some sweet spot and got nil? Major bust by WRAL That was a huge bust. There were many calling for 2 feet in nc and most places got nill. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted January 27, 2015 Share Posted January 27, 2015 That was a huge bust. There were many calling for 2 feet in nc and most places got nill. I'll never forget Jim Cantore broadcasting from BofA stadium. We were supposed to have 6" by time the game was over. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HKY_WX Posted January 27, 2015 Share Posted January 27, 2015 I think I remember the ETA (modern day NAM) showing Rdu getting over 3 inches of liquid equivalent in snow/sleet for dec 2000. I remember Allan calling me that night the model run came out. it was an unreal bust. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HKY_WX Posted January 27, 2015 Share Posted January 27, 2015 I'll never forget Jim Cantore broadcasting from BofA stadium. We were supposed to have 6" by time the game was over. lol it was epic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rduwx Posted January 27, 2015 Share Posted January 27, 2015 If you have radarscope there is a narrow heavy band about 30 miles east of the city, they better hope that makes it to the city. The models have the SLP tracking NNE from here so the westward extent will be limited. The GFS is almost a whiff too, ticked east from previous runs. This will be the greatest coup ever for the euro or a bust. Reminds me of Dec 2000. Yeah, I've been watching that band on the radar. I think it's going to get to them. There is also another heavy band behind it and if that makes it to the city, the totals will start to add up some. Still not enough to reach the totals that were originally expected. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metalicwx366 Posted January 27, 2015 Share Posted January 27, 2015 Wow poor Philadelphia. Gonna be a super bust there. They were expecting 10-14 inches and probably won't get nothing. The Philadelphia version of the Dec 2000 RDU bust. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rduwx Posted January 27, 2015 Share Posted January 27, 2015 Was that December 2000 event the one where RDU was in some sweet spot and got nil? Major bust by WRAL My biggest weather disappointment ever! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted January 27, 2015 Share Posted January 27, 2015 Yeah, I've been watching that band on the radar. I think it's going to get to them. There is also another heavy band behind it and if that makes it to the city, the totals will start to add up some. Still not enough to reach the totals that were originally expected. With this event and pretty much every event someone gets left out on the western edge. I agree I think NYC sees 8-10" overnight to go with there 5" for a great event. I don't know what to think about Philly, 4-6". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceagewhereartthou Posted January 27, 2015 Share Posted January 27, 2015 All that just makes "storms" down here seem so... boring. It gets cold. We get a piddly little band of showers up from the south that drops .25-.5 liquid and get a few inches of snow. We exult for a week. LOL. From a met perspective it's fun to follow..but from a personal perspective, it sucks. Yeah I think that to myself every time they get a big one and have again several times today. It's like them winning a 250 million dollar jackpot while we flip out over winning a few bucks or another free ticket on a scratch off. I can't decide if it's funny, sad, pathetic, or just weird. Maybe all of the above? [/quoteo] Yep. Kinda like winning dinner tickets to take your sister to McDonald's while your big brother wins a dinner date with Kate Upton to the Apollo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rduwx Posted January 27, 2015 Share Posted January 27, 2015 With this event and pretty much every event someone gets left out on the western edge. I agree I think NYC sees 8-10" overnight to go with there 5" for a great event. I don't know what to think about Philly, 4-6". I think Philly could be in trouble. Looking at the radar now I don't see 4-6". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceagewhereartthou Posted January 27, 2015 Share Posted January 27, 2015 See: January 2000 and February 2004 Amen, brother. Total skip jobs on both. I'm still in pain! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted January 27, 2015 Share Posted January 27, 2015 JB just declared the GFS the winner, stunned..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sparklecity Posted January 27, 2015 Share Posted January 27, 2015 2004 was awful. I was in Clemson at the time. We got a dusting while an hour away in Spartanburg gets 10". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted January 27, 2015 Share Posted January 27, 2015 What is DT thinking...should have waited to see how things looked before he opened up on everyone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted January 27, 2015 Share Posted January 27, 2015 The 00z GFS is in another world. <5" of additional snow for NYC and like 10" for Long Island. No way Long Island doesn't get smashed, IMHO. I can see NYC getting screwed, but LI getting screwed seems hard to believe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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