tarheelwx Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 Just throwing this out there - the greater the expectation, the greater the bust potential. TW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 I couldn't care less if the NE gets snow. I want snow for me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BIG FROSTY Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 I couldn't care less if the NE gets snow. I want snow for me. That's what I'm talking about!!! Somebody that's not afraid to tell the truth.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 Just throwing this out there - the greater the expectation, the greater the bust potential. TW Let's test that theory :-) If the Euro models 20" of snow 24 hours out and I only get 10". I doubt I will mind. Now if it models 6" and I get 2" I would be bummed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 I am happy the NE is getting slammed but I am even happier things start rolling tomorrow and is done by early Wed. Would have sucked to track this for another week.don't worry, there will be more to track. We will be doing this for another 10 weeks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeyefan1 Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 don't worry, there will be more to track. We will be doing this for another 10 4 weeks. fyp Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tarheelwx Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 Let's test that theory :-) If the Euro models 20" of snow 24 hours out and I only get 10". I doubt I will mind. Now if it models 6" and I get 2" I would be bummed. I'm hearing a lot about 20-30" from Philly to Boston. Yes that would be historic, but it wouldn't take much of a shift to change things quite a bit. TW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 26, 2015 Author Share Posted January 26, 2015 I couldn't care less if the NE gets snow. I want snow for me.The ensembles don't lie, nor the DGEX , it's coming Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dunkman Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 If it really gets that bad for you just go chase somewhere. That's what I did last year. I was tired of having cold and crap events. I saw Snowshoe was expecting 12" in a couple days and just took off of work, yanked the kids out of school and went up for a few days. They ended up getting 20". It wasn't as good as 20" at home but it was a hell of a lot better than anything else I saw last year. My kids had never seen anything more than 7" with ZR on top and they were just amazed. It was a great time. After a couple years of striking out I usually have to go find a storm to get my fix. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 fyp lol.. our climate is a little different. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
downeastnc Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 Let's test that theory :-) If the Euro models 20" of snow 24 hours out and I only get 10". I doubt I will mind. Now if it models 6" and I get 2" I would be bummed. I can see it both ways, if the models all agree that MBY is going to see a historic storm say 24" and then 12-18 hrs out it goes to just say 8-10" I would be pissed/disappointed etc....and people who say they wouldn't are lying. I wouldn't be unhappy that we "only" got 8-10" but I would be let down. To those guys up north 12" storms are run of the mill in relation to the monsters like they are on tap to get. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeyefan1 Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 lol.. our climate is a little different. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 don't worry, there will be more to track. We will be doing this for another 10 weeks. LOL, I will last till about Feb 20th or so, after that we will have an idea if it favors anything remotely wintery the last week of Feb into the first few days of March. For RDU the avg temp hits 60F first few days of March so our climo falls off a cliff. I got another 3 or so weeks of interest and then wont care to have snow and will be praying for spring weather with soccer starting end of Feb. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 LOL, I will last till about Feb 20th or so, after that we will have an idea if it favors anything remotely wintery the last week of Feb into the first few days of March. For RDU the avg temp hits 60F first few days of March so our climo falls off a cliff. I got another 3 or so weeks of interest and then wont care to have snow and will be praying for spring weather with soccer starting end of Feb. Hoping for March snow is a fools errand. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 26, 2015 Author Share Posted January 26, 2015 If it really gets that bad for you just go chase somewhere. That's what I did last year. I was tired of having cold and crap events. I saw Snowshoe was expecting 12" in a couple days and just took off of work, yanked the kids out of school and went up for a few days. They ended up getting 20". It wasn't as good as 20" at home but it was a hell of a lot better than anything else I saw last year. My kids had never seen anything more than 7" with ZR on top and they were just amazed. It was a great time. After a couple years of striking out I usually have to go find a storm to get my fix.Sadly, I already chased this year and it was November 1st, lol ! It quit snowing here , so I just drove to Asheville and watched /played 4 or 5 more hours of mod snow and wind, with my son ! Great memories, and I really didnt expect that to be my only snow this winter! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 26, 2015 Author Share Posted January 26, 2015 Hoping for March snow is a fools errand.I know we weren't born yet, but man, this year, the March 1960 analog will not stop rearing it's head!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 The ensembles don't lie, nor the DGEX , it's coming Haha! Ensembles suck just as bad as the Ops this year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 Hoping for March snow is a fools errand. Yep, we can't get snow during our peak time of Jan much less when temps avg 60F. When this event for Feb 1-2nd is finally punted I will only have another 2-3 weeks of model watching after that. Kind of pumped about that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 I know we weren't born yet, but man, this year, the March 1960 analog will not stop rearing it's head!! Good lord. That's as applicable as Franklin's Puerto Rican snowstorm of the mid 1700s. And the ensembles suck. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 March was rockin' last year. March 2009, March 2010, and March 2014 have delivered big... Rockin' Marvelous March FTW... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 Good lord. That's as applicable as Franklin's Puerto Rican snowstorm of the mid 1700s. And the ensembles suck. March can be a rockin' month. Just look at the March 24, 1438 BC snowstorm in Babylon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 Yep, we can't get snow during our peak time of Jan much less when temps avg 60F. When this event for Feb 1-2nd is finally punted I will only have another 2-3 weeks of model watching after that. Kind of pumped about that. Wow, Pack, you're back to your original unique avatar! Congrats! I always loved your original one. I'm not usually big on change. I mean it was very hard for me to convince myself to switch from the ice cream eating beach lizard to Peppermint Patty. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 March was rockin' last year. March 2009, March 2010, and March 2014 have delivered big... Rockin' Marvelous March FTW... For you, sucked for us. Well actually I could give a crap if it snows in March, I want shorts weather in March. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 Wow, Pack, you're back to your original unique avator! Congrats! I always loved your original one. I'm not usually big on change. LOL, yeah, those weren't working. If we get snow within the next week you can blame Cold Rain for the bad luck avatars, he forced me. Though not holding my breath. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 For you, sucked for us. Well actually I could give a crap if it snows in March, I want shorts weather in March. You all got snow in March 2009 and 2010. BTW, it is definitely getting time to start throwing around some ridiculous analogs like March 1960, March 1980, and then when those fail, we start bringing up March 1981 and March 1983 analogs... then when those fail, we start bringing up April 1915 and April 1983 analogs... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 LOL, yeah, those weren't working. If we get snow within the next week you can blame Cold Rain for the bad luck avatars, he forced me. Though not holding my breath. Whatever. It's totally Larry's fault. He needs to go back to the lizard, but he won't do it. The Charlie Brown theme was only temporary. Then Chuck got assimilated by the Borg and that was it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 You all got snow in March 2009 and 2010. BTW, it is definitely getting time to start throwing around some ridiculous analogs like March 1960, March 1980, and then when those fail, we start bringing up March 1981 and March 1983 analogs... then when those fail, we start bringing up April 1915 and April 1983 analogs... Since this winter has sucked so bad don't you just want to suck it up and hope for a skunk? Hope for better next year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DopplerWx Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 If it really gets that bad for you just go chase somewhere. That's what I did last year. I was tired of having cold and crap events. I saw Snowshoe was expecting 12" in a couple days and just took off of work, yanked the kids out of school and went up for a few days. They ended up getting 20". It wasn't as good as 20" at home but it was a hell of a lot better than anything else I saw last year. My kids had never seen anything more than 7" with ZR on top and they were just amazed. It was a great time. After a couple years of striking out I usually have to go find a storm to get my fix. yep, i chased the nov 1st snow in west columbia. saw 4" and heavy snow and it satisfied my snow craving a bit. at least enough that im not losing sleep/my mind over the latest model teases. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 NAM and RGEM ticked east, some spichters tightening up north. Do what we do, toss what we don't like hug the biggest, blame it on convective feedback. It's a shame they may only get 15-20. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 26, 2015 Author Share Posted January 26, 2015 March can be a rockin' month. Just look at the March 24, 1438 BC snowstorm in Babylon.JBuns can give you the ground truth on that one! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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