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January Banter


mackerel_sky

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From suppression to Apps Runner in one run.  Not sure why I keep on looking at these operational models 7+ days out. :yikes:

Really.  I mean what is the euro 0z going to do now?  Will it go from full suppression to an apps runner?  That's not a 180, it's madness. Would be wicked wild compared to what the gfs just did.

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Once again, I am surprised that people are looking at the details on a storm 9 days away. Just because the new GFS shows higher resolution out to 240 hours doesn't mean it isn't still garbage. Ignore anything past 144 except for the broad pattern. Otherwise, you're setting yourself up for failure, either way.

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Once again, I am surprised that people are looking at the details on a storm 9 days away. Just because the new GFS shows higher resolution out to 240 hours doesn't mean it isn't still garbage. Ignore anything past 144 except for the broad pattern. Otherwise, you're setting yourself up for failure, either way.

All hail the CivKing!

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Figured i was the only one this evening having those thoughts pack. Was thinking how great of a nice steady snow storm we could be having out there when I looked at the intellicast radar earlier.

We'd be complaining that the totals were not nearly as high as originally forecasted because convection in the Gulf robbed the moisture transport. Funny how we haven't had to deal with that particular issue in a couple years.

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Is anyone else following the MA,NYC,NE forums? The Euro just went from showing nothing to a 1-2feet snowstorm for the NYC and NE forum at 72 hours. The NAM just showed almost the same thing,but more.

Yes. There are only two letters different in our motto and the forums northeast of us.

Their motto - "That escalated quickly"

vs.

Southern forums, which include the letters "de"

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This is true. Really hope the track we just had repeats a time or two in February.

what a waste of a perfect track with this latest storm but not cold enough even in the mountains for snow and here in the heart of winter you would think we would of had the cold air in place.  I sure hope the super bowl storm continues to show since it looks like the cold will arrive just before the storm does.   :snowing:

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what a waste of a perfect track with this latest storm but not cold enough even in the mountains for snow and here in the heart of winter you would think we would of had the cold air in place. I sure hope the super bowl storm continues to show since it looks like the cold will arrive just before the storm does. :snowing:

Continues to show...lol!

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I guess we should try and determine what a bomb in the northeast will provide down the line for the overall pattern. Looks like an increasingly good bet for NE.

Can't hurt. Might help to sink the flow enough in the near term and drive the Monday clipper south. May be wishful thinking on my part though.

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