Jonathan Posted January 22, 2015 Share Posted January 22, 2015 I'm sorry guys, but I got very little faith for our next storm. For your area. It wasn't doomed at least for those in high elevation areas until this past morning. I think I held on to false hope longer than 99% of NC (the 1% being Boone) lol. (GEM still gives me ice lolz) But it was pretty obvious by Monday night that things were going downhill fast. It's ok though. The Feb 1 threat will save us! lolz Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted January 22, 2015 Share Posted January 22, 2015 Please put your weapons down. Remember that I'm just a friendly messenger. Now that having been said, the 0Z Euro doesn't have the subtropical moisture that the 12Z Euro and recent GFS's have had at the end of the month. Now, that having been said, the good news is that this run is colder than the 12Z Euro! These two changes are directly related. This one has NW flow overpowering cold. It is impossible to get a productive Miller A when there is NW 500 mb flow. It can't occur. This is all mainly for entertainment purposes and will change on the next run. I think that this run is an outlier. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxBlue Posted January 22, 2015 Share Posted January 22, 2015 I think I held on to false hope longer than 99% of NC (the 1% being Boone) lol. (GEM still gives me ice lolz) But it was pretty obvious by Monday night that things were going downhill fast. It's ok though. The Feb 1 threat will save us! lolz Didn't mean to snap like that, lol. I'm just annoyed we're struggling so badly this winter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonathan Posted January 22, 2015 Share Posted January 22, 2015 Didn't mean to snap like that, lol. I'm just annoyed we're struggling so badly this winter It's all good. I didn't take it out of context. I am with you. I think we all are. This winter has been one of the worst train wrecks in modern seasonal/long range forecasting history. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted January 22, 2015 Share Posted January 22, 2015 The Euro destroys our Fab Feb Storm, which is just great. I should take a break for a few days. Maybe by some miracle it'll look better then. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonathan Posted January 22, 2015 Share Posted January 22, 2015 The Euro destroys our Fab Feb Storm, which is just great. I should take a break for a few days. Maybe by some miracle it'll look better then. We're getting shut out. It's happening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
timnc910 Posted January 22, 2015 Share Posted January 22, 2015 If you go back and look at the models for this month that low over the lakes has been there the whole winter.. it has wobbled around but hasn't gone anywhere... until that low exits the stage we are going to have the same weather we been having.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solak Posted January 22, 2015 Share Posted January 22, 2015 I'll take this with a grain of salt for now... 680 WPTF Just now · Thursday, January 22, 2015WPTF AccuWeather Forecast – Sunny 54 Coming up in the 8 am All News Hour on NewsRadio 680 WPTFTriangle could see 2 to 3 inches of rain Friday evening Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted January 22, 2015 Share Posted January 22, 2015 The Euro destroys our Fab Feb Storm, which is just great. I should take a break for a few days. Maybe by some miracle it'll look better then. It's over already? I thought it would atleast show until around day 5. Not to much longer until March. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted January 22, 2015 Share Posted January 22, 2015 Wish this was NC and not Texas... http://alerts.weather.gov/cap/wwacapget.php?x=TX125390DDB738.WinterStormWarning.125390EC70C0TX.AMAWSWAMA.186668ca242bc3e20f1930c75d44cd01 Amounts are too low for the NC storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rduwx Posted January 22, 2015 Share Posted January 22, 2015 It's over already? I thought it would atleast show until around day 5. Not to much longer until March. I don't think it's over yet. Now it might be gone for good around day 5 but right now there has been too much ensemble support. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 22, 2015 Author Share Posted January 22, 2015 All these awesome events occur after 250 hours. ill check back at 150 hours when the model outcome has changed many times. until then, enjoy the mild temps Yeah, today and tomorrow , full on flamethrower , smdh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted January 22, 2015 Share Posted January 22, 2015 . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rduwx Posted January 22, 2015 Share Posted January 22, 2015 I'm with ya pack. I'm all in on this timeframe. If it doesn't produce anything then I'll be ready to move on from this winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metalicwx366 Posted January 22, 2015 Share Posted January 22, 2015 The 06z GFS shows me near 80 at 300. 24 hours later in the low 30s with ice. Sadly the timeframe isn't moving anywhere. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted January 22, 2015 Share Posted January 22, 2015 I'm with ya pack. I'm all in on this timeframe. If it doesn't produce anything then I'll be ready to move on from this winter. The pattern will eventually breakdown, probably shortly after this potential event. Might be mid-Feb before it reloads if at all. A guy I follow on Twitter thinks after the first week of Feb the conus will be warm after the first week of Feb. No signs of help from strat so +AO looks like a good bet rest of winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 22, 2015 Author Share Posted January 22, 2015 The pattern will eventually breakdown, probably shortly after this potential event. Might be mid-Feb before it reloads if at all. A guy I follow on Twitter thinks after the first week of Feb the conus will be warm after the first week of Feb. No signs of help from strat so +AO looks like a good bet rest of winter.I really would quit following JB, lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metwannabe Posted January 22, 2015 Share Posted January 22, 2015 The pattern will eventually breakdown, probably shortly after this potential event. Might be mid-Feb before it reloads if at all. A guy I follow on Twitter thinks after the first week of Feb the conus will be warm after the first week of Feb. No signs of help from strat so +AO looks like a good bet rest of winter. You still follow brick on Twitter? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowNiner Posted January 22, 2015 Share Posted January 22, 2015 I'm with ya pack. I'm all in on this timeframe. If it doesn't produce anything then I'll be ready to move on from this winter. Agreed. Either the model ensembles/pattern verifies and we get a great snow, or it fizzes out AGAIN, and we know the long range models are bogus on good patterns. Either way it'll be time to find another hobby for about 10 months. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 22, 2015 Author Share Posted January 22, 2015 The 06z GFS shows me near 80 at 300. 24 hours later in the low 30s with ice. Sadly the timeframe isn't moving anywhere.Sadly for you, you aren't moving anywhere ! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jshetley Posted January 22, 2015 Share Posted January 22, 2015 Maybe we will end up with a repeat of Feb 1990. I'd take that in a heartbeat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 22, 2015 Author Share Posted January 22, 2015 Agreed. Either the model ensembles/pattern verifies and we get a great snow, or it fizzes out AGAIN, and we know the long range models are bogus on good patterns. Either way it'll be time to find another hobby for about 10 months.This Friday storm never fizzed, really, temps weren't / aren't there! Solid 1-2 inches of rain incoming and mid 30s Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 22, 2015 Author Share Posted January 22, 2015 Maybe we will end up with a repeat of Feb 1990. I'd take that in a heartbeat.I wasn't born yet , what happened? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted January 22, 2015 Share Posted January 22, 2015 Maybe we will end up with a repeat of Feb 1990. I'd take that in a heartbeat.I don't remember that, what did we get? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeyefan1 Posted January 22, 2015 Share Posted January 22, 2015 I wasn't born yet , what happened? Dayum youngins Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted January 22, 2015 Share Posted January 22, 2015 I wasn't born yet , what happened?you're that young? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jshetley Posted January 22, 2015 Share Posted January 22, 2015 Most would not like that month but I would. It was warm and very wet with 1 severe weather outbreak and a major flood event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted January 22, 2015 Share Posted January 22, 2015 Most would not like that month but I would. It was warm and very wet with 1 severe weather outbreak and a major flood event.sounds boring! Pass Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeyefan1 Posted January 22, 2015 Share Posted January 22, 2015 Most would not like that month but I would. It was warm and very wet with 1 severe weather outbreak and a major flood event. you beat me to it It was a great month for the west and central part of the country Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted January 22, 2015 Share Posted January 22, 2015 I wasn't born yet , what happened? You're full of it! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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