superjames1992 Posted January 22, 2015 Share Posted January 22, 2015 Wow, I just saw that Nashville hasn't recorded >1" of snow (in a single event) in four years. For a place that averages something like 5-6" of snow per year, that's tragic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
South_MountainWX Posted January 22, 2015 Share Posted January 22, 2015 Wow, I just saw that Nashville hasn't recorded >1" of snow in four years. For a place that averages something like 5-6" of snow per year, that's tragic. That stinks, just goes to show ya some people always have it worse than others. Always thought there average would be higher than that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metalicwx366 Posted January 22, 2015 Share Posted January 22, 2015 Wow, I just saw that Nashville hasn't recorded >1" of snow in four years. For a place that averages something like 5-6" of snow per year, that's tragic.We haven't reached our average snowfall since 1989. We have had 2 winter storm warnings in the past 5 years and both were fails. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted January 22, 2015 Share Posted January 22, 2015 We haven't reached our average snowfall since 1989. We have had 2 winter storm warnings in the past 5 years and both were fails.lol.. what is your average, a trace? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowless in Carrollton Posted January 22, 2015 Share Posted January 22, 2015 We haven't reached our average snowfall since 1989. We have had 2 winter storm warnings in the past 5 years and both were fails. I swear areas out west such as Texas at the same latitude as you get at least one storm a winter. I think I'm moving to Texas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
South_MountainWX Posted January 22, 2015 Share Posted January 22, 2015 We haven't reached our average snowfall since 1989. We have had 2 winter storm warnings in the past 5 years and both were fails. See, even you guys are worse than Nashville. We all love snow so, lets all remember that (Complainers) next time things dont go your way....Back to your regular programing....lol Edit:Wasent singling anyone out, just know everyones getting bored with winter... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metalicwx366 Posted January 22, 2015 Share Posted January 22, 2015 lol.. what is your average, a trace? 0.2. We get 0.1 in January and 0.1 in February. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rduwx Posted January 22, 2015 Share Posted January 22, 2015 10 days fellas. Don't be impatient. I'm all in....I'm glad I didn't cancel my model subscription yesterday. **Cough packbacker cough** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCSNOW Posted January 22, 2015 Share Posted January 22, 2015 Well the weekend after this one I'll be shoveling and sleigh riding in a foot+ of snow imby. Great times ahead. Seriously atleast by the end of this weekend well be able to tell if all that barking from the models has any merit. It will be under 7 days and once this storm is off the ne coast I'm sure the picture will look alot different for better or for worse. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CaryWx Posted January 22, 2015 Share Posted January 22, 2015 I'm all in....I'm glad I didn't cancel my model subscription yesterday. **Cough packbacker cough** Has me waiting on the 0z GFS. Can't stay up for the Euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 22, 2015 Author Share Posted January 22, 2015 Man, this track and no snow in the mtns, that's a kick to the sack! I don't ever expect snow here, but mtns get snow at drop of the hat! Sad , sad winter! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rduwx Posted January 22, 2015 Share Posted January 22, 2015 Has me waiting on the 0z GFS. Can't stay up for the Euro I'll make the 0z gfs but like you I won't make the Euro. If it's looking good next week I might stay up. I haven't stayed up all winter for a euro run. There has been no need. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CaryWx Posted January 22, 2015 Share Posted January 22, 2015 I'll make the 0z gfs but like you I won't make the Euro. If it's looking good next week I might stay up. I haven't stayed up all winter for a euro run. There has been no need. If the euro is still poppin' after Sunday like it did at 12z today then I suspect I'll be up late a lot next week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metwannabe Posted January 22, 2015 Share Posted January 22, 2015 That was a good read. I believe a lot of posts were deleted though. Now if that was in this board, we would all be on 1300m side(if he was still here). Its not like every model and their ensembles are showing a storm in 10 days. The way this winter has been so far, I'll give it about a 2% chance of a winter storm in 10 days. Probably won't even be showing up on the models after tomorrow. To be fair the big three all have a day ten storm developing in Texas and all three sets of ensembles support it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted January 22, 2015 Share Posted January 22, 2015 Well clearly the 12zEPS control run snow accumulation maps is BS! There is no way that much snow is showing up when 850s ever get below 0c most of the run for GA and thicknesses stay well above 540 for the entire SE. Edit: ^You do have a good point Cherokee. Metal, Don't forget that the Euro family of clowns assumes all wintry precip. as accumulating snow. Since IP/ZR occur with 850's above 0C, the clown shows "snow accumulation" in some cases with 850's above 0C. Edited for corrections Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metalicwx366 Posted January 22, 2015 Share Posted January 22, 2015 Metal, Don't forget that the Euro family of clowns assumes all wintry precip. as accumulating snow. Since IP/ZR occur with 850's above 0C, the clown shows "snow accumulation" in some cases. Edited for corrections Thanks GAWX, I thought the EPS was just a single model. I didn't know it was a family of members. I'm new at this Subscription stuff. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted January 22, 2015 Share Posted January 22, 2015 Thanks GAWX, I thought the EPS was just a single model. I didn't know it was a family of members. I'm new at this Subscription stuff. The EPS is the European Ensemble, made up of 50 tweaked members and a 51st member, the control run, which uses the same initialization as the operational Euro, but runs at a lower resolution. Thus, the EPS mean takes the mean of the 51 members. The mean snowfall will take the mean of these 51 members. So, you could theoretically have 50 members give you absolutely nothing and one member give you 51", and end up with an EPS mean snowfall of 1". Perhaps, in this extreme, unrealistic case it would be better to look at the median. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NGA WINTER Posted January 22, 2015 Share Posted January 22, 2015 Dear 0z runs. Just keep our Feb storm. So we all have something nice to wake up to. Thanks NGA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCSNOW Posted January 22, 2015 Share Posted January 22, 2015 Saw our boy candy man post in MA thread. Had his 1st night on the air. Tough forecast in charlottsville. Also some awesome pics from the 2 inch clipper up there today. Lucky dogs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SN_Lover Posted January 22, 2015 Share Posted January 22, 2015 Never would I imagine we would be rooting for a MOUNTAIN NC snowstorm. We all know the NC Piedmont wont get any accumulations, yet we all are so excited. Insanity has taken hold here lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jon Posted January 22, 2015 Share Posted January 22, 2015 Wish this was NC and not Texas... Winter Storm WarningAlert: ...WINTER STORM TO AFFECT THE TEXAS AND OKLAHOMA PANHANDLES......WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CSTTHURSDAY...A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PMCST THURSDAY.* EVENT...MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOW WILL PRODUCE ACCUMULATIONS OF 8TO 12 INCHES IN THE WESTERN PANHANDLES AND 6 TO 10 INCHES INTHE CENTRAL PANHANDLES.* TIMING...SNOW WILL CONTINUE THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT WITH THEHEAVIEST AMOUNTS OCCURRING THROUGH 4 AM BEFORE TAPERING OFF DURINGTHE DAY THURSDAY.* IMPACTS...TRAVEL WILL REMAIN HAZARDOUS. http://alerts.weather.gov/cap/wwacapget.php?x=TX125390DDB738.WinterStormWarning.125390EC70C0TX.AMAWSWAMA.186668ca242bc3e20f1930c75d44cd01 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DopplerWx Posted January 22, 2015 Share Posted January 22, 2015 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted January 22, 2015 Share Posted January 22, 2015 The 0Z GFS has stupid cold for early Feb. Cold doesn't get that much stupider than what this shows! This is insane cold following the winter storm for many. This run has some wintry precip. all of the way to the coast at CHS and SAV fwiw (entertainment and the record)! If verified, the cold of 1/8/15 and even 1/7/14 would be exceeded for many. edit: It has an 850 of -23 C at ATL!! That is 2 C colder than any other 850 that I've been able to find going back to 1948! This would more than take care of the whining I'd think. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SN_Lover Posted January 22, 2015 Share Posted January 22, 2015 All these awesome events occur after 250 hours. ill check back at 150 hours when the model outcome has changed many times. until then, enjoy the mild temps Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metalicwx366 Posted January 22, 2015 Share Posted January 22, 2015 The 0Z GFS has stupid cold for early Feb. Cold doesn't get that much stupider than what this shows! This is insane cold following the winter storm for many. This run has some wintry precip. all of the way to the coast at CHS and SAV fwiw (entertainment and the record)! If verified, the cold of 1/8/15 and even 1/7/14 would be exceeded for many. edit: It has an 850 of -23 C at ATL!! that is 2 C colder than any other 850 that I've been able to find going back to 1948! This would more than take care of the whining I'd think. Crazy cold! It even gave me snow that run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted January 22, 2015 Share Posted January 22, 2015 Crazy cold! It even gave me snow that run. Metal, Yes sir! AYS gets some wintry precip. along with St. Simons and Jacksonville (mainly ZR those places). This would be the 2nd wintry precip. event at Jax of the winter!! Of course, this is just for entertainment and for the record. Yep, absolutely crazy cold! This kind of cold would need to be locked up for the protection of fellow citizens. But again, mainly just for entertainment as of now. So, who's going to stay up for the drunk Doc now lol? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
deltadog03 Posted January 22, 2015 Share Posted January 22, 2015 Metal, Yes sir! AYS gets some wintry precip. along with St. Simons and Jacksonville (mainly ZR those places). This would be the 2nd wintry precip. event at Jax of the winter!! Of course, this is just for entertainment and for the record. Yep, absolutely crazy cold! This kind of cold would need to be locked up for the protection of fellow citizens. But again, mainly just for entertainment as of now. So, who's going to stay up for the drunk Doc now lol? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ILMRoss Posted January 22, 2015 Share Posted January 22, 2015 In the hunger games, a cannon fires every time someone dies. The new GFS should of been equipped with a cannon sound effect for everytime it kills the board's hopes like this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonathan Posted January 22, 2015 Share Posted January 22, 2015 In the hunger games, a cannon fires every time someone dies. The new GFS should of been equipped with a cannon sound effect for everytime it kills the board's hopes like this. Not sure why anyone had any high hopes anyway. This Friday-Saturday "storm" has been doomed for three days now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxBlue Posted January 22, 2015 Share Posted January 22, 2015 I'm sorry guys, but I got very little faith for our next storm. Not sure why anyone had any high hopes anyway. This Friday-Saturday "storm" has been doomed for three days now. For your area. It wasn't doomed at least for those in high elevation areas until this past morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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