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January Banter


mackerel_sky

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Still holding at D10, but:

 

ECMWFWEFSWCEF (Excellent -AO, -NAO, +PNA, -EPO, STJ) -- Great pattern:

 

GFS (Nice +PNA, -EPO, STJ):

 

CMC eh (Similar to Euro):

 

Who knows...maybe this time, things will be different.

 

 

All in:

 

 

Trying to stay positive considering February is a great month traditionally.  But it seems like no matter what the LR models show, persistence is winning out this winter.  Yes, we have an ok western ridge with troughing in the east, but it doesn't seem to be tall enough to crank anything real cold and get good high pressures in the right places.  Not to mention nada for blocking all winter.  For that reason I lean toward just more of what we've seen already.   

 

I bought in to this 23rd system hook, line, and sinker.  I bet we do get another good Miller A ironically, but it somehow will be warm.  I'm still annoyed that we have a great warm Miller A with a HIGH in a decent spot this weekend, and still rain.  Unbelievable. 

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Trying to stay positive considering February is a great month traditionally. But it seems like no matter what the LR models show, persistence is winning out this winter. Yes, we have an ok western ridge with troughing in the east, but it doesn't seem to be tall enough to crank anything real cold and get good high pressures in the right places. Not to mention nada for blocking all winter. For that reason I lean toward just more of what we've seen already.

I bought in to this 23rd system hook, line, and sinker. I bet we do get another good Miller A ironically, but it somehow will be warm. I'm still annoyed that we have a great warm Miller A with a HIGH in a decent spot this weekend, and still rain. Unbelievable.

Different setup next week. Is a 1060 high sliding through southern Canada strong enough for you?

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Trying to stay positive considering February is a great month traditionally.  But it seems like no matter what the LR models show, persistence is winning out this winter.  Yes, we have an ok western ridge with troughing in the east, but it doesn't seem to be tall enough to crank anything real cold and get good high pressures in the right places.  Not to mention nada for blocking all winter.  For that reason I lean toward just more of what we've seen already.   

 

I bought in to this 23rd system hook, line, and sinker.  I bet we do get another good Miller A ironically, but it somehow will be warm.  I'm still annoyed that we have a great warm Miller A with a HIGH in a decent spot this weekend, and still rain.  Unbelievable. 

 

Here's what we're dealing with now:

 

post-987-0-93921500-1421862315_thumb.png

 

Hopefully, the next go round, we actually will have some cold air in the vicinity and a mechanism to incorporate it into the storm.

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Trying to stay positive considering February is a great month traditionally.  But it seems like no matter what the LR models show, persistence is winning out this winter.  Yes, we have an ok western ridge with troughing in the east, but it doesn't seem to be tall enough to crank anything real cold and get good high pressures in the right places.  Not to mention nada for blocking all winter.  For that reason I lean toward just more of what we've seen already.   

 

I bought in to this 23rd system hook, line, and sinker.  I bet we do get another good Miller A ironically, but it somehow will be warm.  I'm still annoyed that we have a great warm Miller A with a HIGH in a decent spot this weekend, and still rain.  Unbelievable. 

 

So, there is an epic day 11 we are fist bumping each other for.

post-2311-0-61545400-1421862376_thumb.pn

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Here's what we're dealing with now:

 

Hopefully, the next go round, we actually will have some cold air in the vicinity and a mechanism to incorporate it into the storm.

 

Thanks CR.  Yeah, I know it's not the greatest setup this week but it's not terrible.  And I know the Feb 2 second set up looks to be completely different and great.  My skeptisism is based on the right set up actually showing up in 10 days.  I'm in complete wait and see mode. 

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Thanks CR.  Yeah, I know it's not the greatest setup this week but it's not terrible.  And I know the Feb 2 second set up looks to be completely different and great.  My skeptisism is based on the right set up actually showing up in 10 days.  I'm in complete wait and see mode. 

 

You're right to be skeptical.  It will probably change in 5 days.

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I think we all need to keep in my mind that last winter was a really good winter and it's pretty hard to get back to back good winters in the south.

 

Why?  I have never heard a convincing reason why this is the case other than "it just is."  Same with October/November snowstorms.

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Channeling your inner wilkes I see   :P    btw....you need to pull the mix line further to the south of CAE     :(   :lol:

 

Gotta pick up the slack for our legendary friend! :) He sent some birds over from Wilkesboro, which served as the basis for the map.  I'll see if I can move more orange into CAE next run.

 

I was thinking the same. :)  I wonder what those little hash marks are in the middle of each state?

 

State capitals... loosely placed.  :lmao:  Or maybe they're handles because the map kind of looks like a big chester drawer.  I guess they could be birds.

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