packbacker Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 I don't want to miss the next 10 years of my life, though. Oh come on, it won't be that bad, I think by 2020 we might start seeing snow again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 Oh come on, it won't be that bad, I think by 2020 we might start seeing snow again. Fab Feb 2020 gonna be rockin'? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jon Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 Lol Robert...shoutout to Rain Cold! WXSOUTH @WxSouth 32m32 minutes ago Cold air is running from this low like it stole something. #snowtorain #coldrain #winter2015 time to go back to studying for my exam Friday Nothing to see here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
downeastnc Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 I don't want to miss the next 10 years of my life, though. LOL that was funny.....and lets not go all the way to May that's wasting a month and half of severe storm season...... The SE forum does go to **** every winter not sure why anyone is surprised though been that way for years now....oh how I miss the good ole days...... give me severe storms and canes over cold/snow threats any day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 Lol Robert...shoutout to Rain Cold! time to go back to studying for my exam Friday Nothing to see here. That's funny! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxBlue Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 I hope we have something to talk about this year. It has been a dismal run lately. Not lot of snow, tornadoes, and hurricanes to track in last few years, that's for sure! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Webberweather53 Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 I hope we have something to talk about this year. It has been a dismal run lately. I personally think we've peaked already in the mid 2000s for this +AMO cycle, & the AMO looks very dismal at the moment. Our lack of El Ninos of late has also taken its toll on the Atlantic... Once we are well entrenched within the -AMO phase (which won't happen this year or for quite some time to come for that matter), we'll have to be on the lookout for double El Ninos, the following 3 hurricane seasons following multi year El Nino events in cold multidecadal AMO tend to experience a relative & punctuated spike in activity & are abnormally dangerous for the US coast and the Caribbean. For example, in the last multidecadal +AMO state we observed 2 multi year El Ninos one from 1976-78 & the other in 1986-88, in the following 3 hurricane seasons after each event we observed destructive storms like David & Frederic (1979), Allen (1980), & Hugo (1989), and out of those 6 hurricane seasons in the cold AMO (which is indicative of a decadal suppressor of hurricane activity in general, especially strong (major) hurricanes), we observed 4 category 5 hurricanes in those 6 seasons. Very impressive... David (1979) Allen (1980) Gilbert (1988) Hugo (1989) These hurricane seasons I'm referring to (1978, 1979, 1980, 1988, 1989, & 1990) all landed near the top of the list for most hurricane ACE in the last cold multidecadal AMO (1970-1994) w/ the top 3 spots occupied by these hurricane seasons, and half of the top 10... Year Atlantic Hurricane ACE (pts) 1980 146.74 1989 135.13 1988 103.25 1971 96.53 1981 92.27 1979 91.27 1990 90.41 1985 87.54 1992 84.13 1976 80.76 1975 72.95 1984 70.78 1974 60.90 1978 60.42 1973 42.49 1993 40.67 1986 35.79 1991 34.47 1987 34.36 1970 34.04 1994 31.64 1982 28.46 1972 27.52 1977 24.71 1983 16.84 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 20, 2015 Author Share Posted January 20, 2015 Not lot of snow, tornadoes, and hurricanes to track in last few years, that's for sure!Me and shetley can tell you some drought stories,And in another month , we can tell you snow drought stories! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 Lol Robert...shoutout to Rain Cold! time to go back to studying for my exam Friday Nothing to see here. Awesome and not awesome at the same time.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solak Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 Can we get back on topic? Oh wait --- this is the banter forum, where there are no topics Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Batman Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 I see DT in this kid. Not even close! Has Webber ever said the following to anyone on this forum? You have no brain! You are an idiot! You blow chunks! You suck moose balls! Kiss my Arse! I could go on WRT DT. Webber is not in the same universe. He is a young guy with a ton of knowledge and confidence in his knowledge. I have never heard him hurl insults at others. Question logic behind a post maybe, but never attack. I would not say he is way over his head with anyone on this forum. He brings more to the table than anyone. I have to go back at night and reread many of his posts to understand what he is saying. I have actually learned a great deal from his posts this winter. To try to shut him up for disagreeing with a guy that is new to the forum and claims to have a PHD is an over reach in my opinion. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonathan Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 So, who's starting the thread? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jburns Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 Not even close! Has Webber ever said the following to anyone on this forum? You have no brain! You are an idiot! You blow chunks! You suck moose balls! Kiss my Arse! I could go on WRT DT. Webber is not in the same universe. He is a young guy with a ton of knowledge and confidence in his knowledge. I have never heard him hurl insults at others. Question logic behind a post maybe, but never attack. I would not say he is way over his head with anyone on this forum. He brings more to the table than anyone. I have to go back at night and reread many of his posts to understand what he is saying. I have actually learned a great deal from his posts this winter. To try to shut him up for disagreeing with a guy that is new to the forum and claims to have a PHD is an over reach in my opinion. DT is over 25 years older. Check back with me in 2040. I didn't try and "shut him up" as you so colorfully put it. I simply expected a more polished presentation. In any case, your opinion doesn't enter into this, because it doesn't concern you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonathan Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 DT is over 25 years older. Check back with me in 2040. I didn't try and "shut him up" as you so colorfully put it. I simply expected a more polished presentation. In any case, your opinion doesn't enter into this, because it doesn't concern you. But, he is the Batman. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isopycnic Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Batman Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 Back off, and I mean right now. You in way over your head here. If you did not intend to shut him up, then what do you call it when a mod makes the above post??? You said he was like DT. I strongly believe he is not. Your opinion vs. my opinion. How does that not concern me. You properly moved this to the banter thread earlier. Maybe it should be moved again to a new thread. "Banter opinions that the mods agree with." Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
toxictwister00 Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 Oh crap, the SE forum is disbanding. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pcbjr Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 Not sure whether to watch the State of the Onion or keep perusing to see if anyone ever solidified "normal" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jshetley Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 There is no hope for the I-85 area this year it seams. This system is too warm, the clipper is gone, and anything else is 10 or more days away. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jburns Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 If you did not intend to shut him up, then what do you call it when a mod makes the above post??? You said he was like DT. I strongly believe he is not. Your opinion vs. my opinion. How does that not concern me. You properly moved this to the banter thread earlier. Maybe it should be moved again to a new thread. "Banter opinions that the mods agree with." Your opinion doesn't matter because you are part of a group of posters that have been members for several years, but have few posts. Of those few posts, even fewer are weather related. They crawl out from under wherever they hide whenever there is a controversy, just to further stir the pot. A simple check of who posted today in this matter provides some good examples of what I am talking about. IMO some have multiple accounts, some are new accounts of previously banned posters. I don't really care, but I'm sure not going to be concerned with their opinion. Oh, while I am at it let me be a bit specific to you. I said Webber reminds me of DT. I didn't say he was a clone of DT. Your funny list of things DT said was just that. A list of funny things DT said, that have no relationship to what I said previously. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metalicwx366 Posted January 21, 2015 Share Posted January 21, 2015 Superjames, how was 2004-05 a bad winter with all those snow events?! Looked like one hell of a winter with all those events. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tazaroo Posted January 21, 2015 Share Posted January 21, 2015 I got this feeling things will start trending more se at 0z with the weekend storm like the trend all season. Maybe enough to get some us especially mountainous areas, maybe more. Of course if its too weak we may still not get enough cold air. Of course I could be totally wrong LoL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted January 21, 2015 Share Posted January 21, 2015 Superjames, how was 2004-05 a bad winter with all those snow events?! Looked like one hell of a winter with all those events. 1.7" of snow here... less than 20% of average. RDU was worse at 0.9"... about 15% of average. Lots of events, but not much to show for it. I'd say on average we get 5-10 snowfalls per season, with quite a few of them being non-accumulating. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeyefan1 Posted January 21, 2015 Share Posted January 21, 2015 Your opinion doesn't matter because you are part of a group of posters that have been members for several years, but have few posts. Of those few posts, even fewer are weather related. They crawl out from under wherever they hide whenever there is a controversy, just to further stir the pot. A simple check of who posted today in this matter provides some good examples of what I am talking about. IMO some have multiple accounts, some are new accounts of previously banned posters. I don't really care, but I'm sure not going to be concerned with their opinion. Oh, while I am at it let me be a bit specific to you. I said Webber reminds me of DT. I didn't say he was a clone of DT. Your funny list of things DT said was just that. A list of funny things DT said, that have no relationship to what I said previously. This +1000000000.......I know it happens every winter, but this year has been unreal. I've honestly had it with those that do nothing more than state how horrible it is here, before going back into hiding. This place is like home to a lot of us and I'm tired of internet trolls thinking it's some sort of badge of honor to come over here, cause trouble then brag about it someplace else. For those to which these two posts are talking about.......this is the only warning you will get Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pcbjr Posted January 21, 2015 Share Posted January 21, 2015 Amen. In biblical translation, that means "let it be" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Batman Posted January 21, 2015 Share Posted January 21, 2015 Your opinion doesn't matter because you are part of a group of posters that have been members for several years, but have few posts. Of those few posts, even fewer are weather related. They crawl out from under wherever they hide whenever there is a controversy, just to further stir the pot. A simple check of who posted today in this matter provides some good examples of what I am talking about. IMO some have multiple accounts, some are new accounts of previously banned posters. I don't really care, but I'm sure not going to be concerned with their opinion. Oh, while I am at it let me be a bit specific to you. I said Webber reminds me of DT. I didn't say he was a clone of DT. Your funny list of things DT said was just that. A list of funny things DT said, that have no relationship to what I said previously. So let me get this straight. Is there a certain number of posts you have to make here before one's opinion matters to you? Let me be clear and then I will not speak on this again. I have been around this forum for several years. I am Batman. I am only Batman. I have never been anything on this forum other than Batman. I have posted very little for two main reasons. 1.) I am very busy and barely have time to read through posts in a normal day. However, reading the posts of others following the model runs is usually quicker and more informative for me than going to websites and trying to decipher them for myself. 2.) There are many on here (mets and non-mets) that bring much more to the table than I do. I weigh in when I see something pertinent that has not been addressed. But most of the time, the main contributors here do a much better job than I would do. Therefore, I sit back listen and learn as my time allows. Having said that, I do probably weigh in more often on things that don't require a met degree or extensive experience in following models. If someone says we have blowtorched this winter when my January temps are 3-4 degrees below normal, I will likely weigh in and say not in my backyard. When someone says this has been a terrible winter at 2 pm on a January day and my outside temp is 28, I may feel compelled to remind folks of the winters in the SE where shorts and t-shirt weather was very common. I also feel compelled to weigh in when someone is getting piled on for making a very legitimate post or just voicing their opinion. Who knows, the scenario I just described may be the case of others that are in that "group of posters" as you referenced above. Let me be clear one more time. I don't crawl. I don't hide. And to be honest, when you called out a guy that has probably put more info on this forum than anybody else all winter. When you said you "see DT in this kid". When you said to him "back off and I mean right now you are in way over your head". At that point, your opinion ceased to matter to me. Oh, and one last thing. The funny little DT quotes I posted were all quotes that I and many others have heard DT say to other people that disagreed with him. I have never heard Webber say anything like that to anyone and doubt I will. The point (if I must spell it out)is that I do not see DT in this kid. He is much more professional. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jburns Posted January 21, 2015 Share Posted January 21, 2015 So let me get this straight. Is there a certain number of posts you have to make here before one's opinion matters to you? Let me be clear and then I will not speak on this again. I have been around this forum for several years. I am Batman. I am only Batman. I have never been anything on this forum other than Batman. I have posted very little for two main reasons. 1.) I am very busy and barely have time to read through posts in a normal day. However, reading the posts of others following the model runs is usually quicker and more informative for me than going to websites and trying to decipher them for myself. 2.) There are many on here (mets and non-mets) that bring much more to the table than I do. I weigh in when I see something pertinent that has not been addressed. But most of the time, the main contributors here do a much better job than I would do. Therefore, I sit back listen and learn as my time allows. Having said that, I do probably weigh in more often on things that don't require a met degree or extensive experience in following models. If someone says we have blowtorched this winter when my January temps are 3-4 degrees below normal, I will likely weigh in and say not in my backyard. When someone says this has been a terrible winter at 2 pm on a January day and my outside temp is 28, I may feel compelled to remind folks of the winters in the SE where shorts and t-shirt weather was very common. I also feel compelled to weigh in when someone is getting piled on for making a very legitimate post or just voicing their opinion. Who knows, the scenario I just described may be the case of others that are in that "group of posters" as you referenced above. Let me be clear one more time. I don't crawl. I don't hide. And to be honest, when you called out a guy that has probably put more info on this forum than anybody else all winter. When you said you "see DT in this kid". When you said to him "back off and I mean right now you are in way over your head". At that point, your opinion ceased to matter to me. Oh, and one last thing. The funny little DT quotes I posted were all quotes that I and many others have heard DT say to other people that disagreed with him. I have never heard Webber say anything like that to anyone and doubt I will. The point (if I must spell it out)is that I do not see DT in this kid. He is much more professional. It's a deal and I will hold you to it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hvward Posted January 21, 2015 Share Posted January 21, 2015 So let me get this straight. Is there a certain number of posts you have to make here before one's opinion matters to you? Let me be clear and then I will not speak on this again. I have been around this forum for several years. I am Batman. I am only Batman. I have never been anything on this forum other than Batman. I have posted very little for two main reasons. 1.) I am very busy and barely have time to read through posts in a normal day. However, reading the posts of others following the model runs is usually quicker and more informative for me than going to websites and trying to decipher them for myself. 2.) There are many on here (mets and non-mets) that bring much more to the table than I do. I weigh in when I see something pertinent that has not been addressed. But most of the time, the main contributors here do a much better job than I would do. Therefore, I sit back listen and learn as my time allows. You should get Alfred to read the board during the day so he can update you at night after you get home from saving Gotham. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonathan Posted January 21, 2015 Share Posted January 21, 2015 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metalicwx366 Posted January 21, 2015 Share Posted January 21, 2015 What's up with next week? The Euro control run at 192 hours shows Waycross with 850s of -10c and thicknesses less than 522 and the surface temps are still near 50. Warm layer near 925mb? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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