South_MountainWX Posted January 17, 2015 Share Posted January 17, 2015 Hey were deep sea fishin tonight boys its game on fab feb here we come!!!! Dear god......... Edit yall can fill in the blank.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 17, 2015 Share Posted January 17, 2015 On 1/17/2015 at 6:05 AM, superjames1992 said: Just gotta hold this look for another 384 runs of the RAP. If we don't get a storm on the 23rd or 26th the skies might be healed enough for this storm! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 17, 2015 Author Share Posted January 17, 2015 On 1/17/2015 at 6:09 AM, wncsnow said: If we don't get a storm on the 23rd or 26th the skies might be healed enough for this storm!We may have to sacrifice the 23 and 26. , to the cutter gods! They are just setting the table for the Groundhog Day storm we will never forget, gonna be BL issues, but a good look at 384! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 17, 2015 Share Posted January 17, 2015 On 1/17/2015 at 6:13 AM, mackerel_sky said: We may have to sacrifice the 23 and 26. , to the cutter gods! They are just setting the table for the Groundhog Day storm we will never forget, gonna be BL issues, but a good look at 384! In all seriousness, I haven't given up hope on the 23rd storm yet, especially in the Euro gives us hope in about 15 mins.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sparklecity Posted January 17, 2015 Share Posted January 17, 2015 It's about time for the euro to throw us a bone. We're running out of different Euro solutions that don't show snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NGA WINTER Posted January 17, 2015 Share Posted January 17, 2015 Guys don't be discouraged yet! Suppression isn't a terrible trend at this time. Christmas 2010 storm was suppressed until like 3 days until the storm! It's better than a cutter, night folks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WidreMann Posted January 17, 2015 Share Posted January 17, 2015 Suppression isn't the problem; cold air is. We have no cross-polar flow on the GFS. It's actually probably above normal for most of the period. Unless we want rain, the pattern in northern Canada and Alaska needs to change. Absolutely awful. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Shawn Posted January 17, 2015 Share Posted January 17, 2015 On 1/17/2015 at 7:13 AM, WidreMann said: Suppression isn't the problem; cold air is. We have no cross-polar flow on the GFS. It's actually probably above normal for most of the period. Unless we want rain, the pattern in northern Canada and Alaska needs to change. Absolutely awful. Nobody wants to face the fact there is no legitimate fresh cold air, even if the models have a "warm bias" it isn't going to matter to the many of us that will be 40F or warmer in the deeper South. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solak Posted January 17, 2015 Share Posted January 17, 2015 Don't really want more sogginess... Quote LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN (1.00-2.00") WILL BE POSSIBLE IN VICINITY OF THE TRIANGLE AND NORTHERN COASTAL PLAIN WHERE THE MOST FAVORABLE DEEP-LAYER FORCING/MOISTURE WILL BE JUXTAPOSED. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted January 17, 2015 Share Posted January 17, 2015 On 1/17/2015 at 6:09 AM, GaWx said: This is only generating what could easily be alltime record heavy SN in much of N MS (12"+)! I wish that went out two more frames. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted January 17, 2015 Share Posted January 17, 2015 On 1/17/2015 at 7:13 AM, WidreMann said: Suppression isn't the problem; cold air is. We have no cross-polar flow on the GFS. It's actually probably above normal for most of the period. Unless we want rain, the pattern in northern Canada and Alaska needs to change. Absolutely awful. This is why we need a big wound up storm...unless the models are really underestimating the cold air. At least with a big dog, there will be a chance for what cold there is to get drawn into the storm. Plus, Mack's favorite process, dynamic cooling, will give somebody some snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted January 17, 2015 Share Posted January 17, 2015 The 0z GFS is about as cold as I've ever seen it in the LR for Canada and the US. -40 850s about to cross the boarder into MN! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted January 17, 2015 Share Posted January 17, 2015 On 1/17/2015 at 5:06 AM, WxBlue said: Cullasaja and Dry Falls.yeah those are both on the river. There is also bridal veil falls which you can drive under. Whitewater falls is not very far away either. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WidreMann Posted January 17, 2015 Share Posted January 17, 2015 On 1/17/2015 at 12:34 PM, Cold Rain said: This is why we need a big wound up storm...unless the models are really underestimating the cold air. At least with a big dog, there will be a chance for what cold there is to get drawn into the storm. Plus, Mack's favorite process, dynamic cooling, will give somebody some snow.Dynamic cooling works 1 time out of 10, and never where I live. If the storm needs dynamic cooling, then I just count it as a rain storm and move on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted January 17, 2015 Share Posted January 17, 2015 Sounds like the 12z GFS is coming in colder! Reporting live from the Model PBP thread, this is Bri...I mean, Cold Rain. Now back to you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jshetley Posted January 17, 2015 Share Posted January 17, 2015 Dry and cold is the worst thing that can happen. Hopefully that will not happen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 17, 2015 Author Share Posted January 17, 2015 On 1/17/2015 at 4:38 PM, jshetley said: Dry and cold is the worst thing that can happen. Hopefully that will not happen.No problem here! I don't see it getting below freezing here for the next 18 days! I mean TWC has basically 60s through Wednesday ! January thaw? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted January 17, 2015 Share Posted January 17, 2015 Fab Feb. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sparklecity Posted January 17, 2015 Share Posted January 17, 2015 I see the 12z GFS still has our Groundhog Day storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 17, 2015 Author Share Posted January 17, 2015 Yep, she's a beauty!! For entertainment purposes only (Larry)! It actually has some form of snow and ice for alot of members 12, even 24 and 36 hours befor this!! So starting about the 31st, really only about 14 days out, and would be epic epicness! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GlaringSun Posted January 17, 2015 Share Posted January 17, 2015 On 1/17/2015 at 5:50 PM, mackerel_sky said: Yep, she's a beauty!! For entertainment purposes only (Larry)! It actually has some form of snow and ice for alot of members 12, even 24 and 36 hours befor this!! So starting about the 31st, really only about 14 days out, and would be epic epicness! There's a 1053 high coming down towards the SE after that snowstorm... In theory, if that look holds, it would mean even colder temperatures right after the storm, correct? Certainly looks like it.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted January 17, 2015 Share Posted January 17, 2015 I have faith in the NAVGEM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 17, 2015 Author Share Posted January 17, 2015 On 1/17/2015 at 5:55 PM, Heitmeyer said: There's a 1053 high coming down towards the SE after that snowstorm... In theory, if that look holds, it would mean even colder temperatures right after the storm, correct? Certainly looks like it..Yes , I think you are correct! That would keep it very cold after the fantasy snow and would keep it on the ground for days and days, instead of the usual melt the same day snows we often get! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted January 17, 2015 Share Posted January 17, 2015 Wonder if the models are still out to lunch or not handling things right or take your pick reason for not showing a storm, or if dry as a bone is becoming a real possibility finally. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted January 17, 2015 Share Posted January 17, 2015 On 1/17/2015 at 6:41 PM, Cold Rain said: Wonder if the models are still out to lunch or not handling things right or take your pick reason for not showing a storm, or if dry as a bone is becoming a real possibility finally. I am going with the J-N Rule. When the JMA and the NAVGEM agree on a storm within 200 hours, you can LOCK IT UP!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NRVwxfan. Posted January 17, 2015 Share Posted January 17, 2015 On 1/17/2015 at 5:50 PM, mackerel_sky said: Yep, she's a beauty!! For entertainment purposes only (Larry)! It actually has some form of snow and ice for alot of members 12, even 24 and 36 hours befor this!! So starting about the 31st, really only about 14 days out, and would be epic epicness! Ill take 2 of these please. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted January 17, 2015 Share Posted January 17, 2015 On 1/17/2015 at 6:43 PM, superjames1992 said: I am going with the J-N Rule. When the JMA and the NAVGEM agree on a storm within 200 hours, you can LOCK IT UP!!! Yeah, there are the two models you want on your side! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeyefan1 Posted January 17, 2015 Share Posted January 17, 2015 On 1/17/2015 at 6:46 PM, Cold Rain said: Yeah, there are the two models you want on your side! The gfs took all my rain away Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted January 17, 2015 Share Posted January 17, 2015 On 1/17/2015 at 8:48 PM, buckeyefan1 said: The gfs took all my rain away But you have 5 members of the low res GFS that give you plenty. You're good! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jburns Posted January 17, 2015 Share Posted January 17, 2015 Has anyone seen calculus today? I have a bad feeling about this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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