packbacker Posted January 15, 2015 Share Posted January 15, 2015 On 1/15/2015 at 3:53 PM, Cold Rain said: No it's not. It's not going to snow in the SE. It's not going to snow in the SE. It's not going to snow in the SE. It's not going to snow in the SE. Why? Because. Just because. If we don't get snow before Jan's out then we aren't getting snow this winter. I should preface that by saying "we" someone outside of the mountains in NC/SC/GA as we are still RDU and we seem to repel snowstorms here. It's an active pattern with blocking, ridging in the west and deep trough in the east. The PV sitting over the lakes is always a wildcard though, but that can also result in a big storm with a super phase. If you blend the ridge placement between GEFS/EPS day 8-10 we would be in a good spot (knock on wood). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frazdaddy Posted January 15, 2015 Share Posted January 15, 2015 On 1/15/2015 at 3:53 PM, Cold Rain said: No it's not. It's not going to snow in the SE. It's not going to snow in the SE. It's not going to snow in the SE. It's not going to snow in the SE. Why? Because. Just because. CR we need a winter poem Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Southern Track Posted January 15, 2015 Share Posted January 15, 2015 On 1/15/2015 at 3:55 PM, mackerel_sky said: Prepare for a cutter at 12z GFS! It's comingMack why are you yelling!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted January 15, 2015 Share Posted January 15, 2015 On 1/15/2015 at 3:55 PM, mackerel_sky said: Prepare for a cutter at 12z GFS! It's coming With the new GFS I don't know what to be rooting for, with the old GFS we would be rooting for something progressive SE of us. I thought the Euro run was fine last night, at that range it will shift east, how much depends on how fast it amplifies and ridge/trough placement. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted January 15, 2015 Share Posted January 15, 2015 No doubt man! As it stands now, it looks great! On 1/15/2015 at 2:27 PM, NCSNOW said: Look at the accuweather se radr ptype and hit play. I double dog dare you in east TN or NC. Looks can be deceiving but it looks like a winter storm fixing to roll from Murphy to Manteo. Been a long time since I seen a radar look this sexy. Wow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packfan98 Posted January 15, 2015 Share Posted January 15, 2015 Brad Panovich @wxbrad 1m1 minute ago WPC is testing days 4-7 forecast probabilities for winter p-types. #wxcs2014 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
oconeexman Posted January 15, 2015 Share Posted January 15, 2015 On 1/15/2015 at 3:55 PM, mackerel_sky said: Prepare for a cutter at 12z GFS! It's comingNope...it's time for good Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted January 15, 2015 Share Posted January 15, 2015 Might be another good gfs run here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted January 15, 2015 Share Posted January 15, 2015 This is the door of one of our kindergarten classes at the school I work for. Maybe this will provide some cheer! Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tnweathernut Posted January 15, 2015 Share Posted January 15, 2015 At some point we need to stop "punting" storms and possible periods and we need to hit on one or two. JMO Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FallsLake Posted January 15, 2015 Share Posted January 15, 2015 On 1/15/2015 at 4:22 PM, strongwxnc said: This is the door of one of our kindergarten classes at the school I work for. Maybe this will provide some cheer! ImageUploadedByTapatalk1421338937.101348.jpg Sent from my iPhone I guess you could also say leaders are like snowflakes; they're nowhere to be found. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 15, 2015 Author Share Posted January 15, 2015 On 1/15/2015 at 4:03 PM, Southern Track said: Mack why are you yelling!!! I don't know where to start, but maybe it's going to hit 50 today and the non storm, looks to have decent moisture that apparently , the models couldn't pick up and it's to warm! Yippeeeee! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 15, 2015 Author Share Posted January 15, 2015 And there it is! The Thusday storm is now the table setter for the storm after that! My table is stacked to the ceiling with dishes and utensils, from all the table setting , pattern changing storms and after the table is set storms! I'm out of dam dishes! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isopycnic Posted January 15, 2015 Share Posted January 15, 2015 Sun!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted January 15, 2015 Share Posted January 15, 2015 On 1/15/2015 at 4:42 PM, Isopycnic said: Sun!!! Dont get used to it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeyefan1 Posted January 15, 2015 Share Posted January 15, 2015 On 1/15/2015 at 4:22 PM, strongwxnc said: This is the door of one of our kindergarten classes at the school I work for. Maybe this will provide some cheer! Sent from my iPhone Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isopycnic Posted January 15, 2015 Share Posted January 15, 2015 On 1/15/2015 at 4:43 PM, Queencitywx said: Dont get used to it. Maybe we'll get to experience more of this warm object this weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jshetley Posted January 15, 2015 Share Posted January 15, 2015 The 12z GFS looks dry through 10 days. Looks like any storm stays well south through that time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sparklecity Posted January 15, 2015 Share Posted January 15, 2015 Does the new GFS still have a tendency to suppress storms in this time frame like the old one, or am I being ? I don't think it looks too bad considering its over a week away, plenty of time to trend in a positive direction. I still think this is the best shot we've had all winter at a major winter storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted January 15, 2015 Share Posted January 15, 2015 On 1/15/2015 at 2:44 PM, snowstorm2011 said: I'm close enough. I can see AL from my house. Does that count ? Can you also see Russia? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted January 15, 2015 Share Posted January 15, 2015 On 1/15/2015 at 4:01 PM, frazdaddy said: Yepp... The only saving grace that winter was really low heating bills and our epic chase. Didn't you guys chase the Snowquester storm in March 2013? I don't think 2011-2012 really had any legit chase storms (unless you wanted to chase to the Triad/northward for our 2-5" in late February). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jburns Posted January 15, 2015 Share Posted January 15, 2015 On 1/15/2015 at 5:29 PM, superjames1992 said: Didn't you guys chase the Snowquester storm in March 2013? I don't think 2011-2012 really had any legit chase storms (unless you wanted to chase to the Triad/northward for our 2-5" in late February). Yeah. If he means our chase to Front Royal, VA, it was the first week in March, 2013. It does seems like it was a long time ago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted January 15, 2015 Share Posted January 15, 2015 On 1/15/2015 at 5:25 PM, superjames1992 said: Can you also see Russia?he can see Atlanta, that's close enough. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frazdaddy Posted January 15, 2015 Share Posted January 15, 2015 On 1/15/2015 at 5:29 PM, superjames1992 said: Didn't you guys chase the Snowquester storm in March 2013? I don't think 2011-2012 really had any legit chase storms (unless you wanted to chase to the Triad/northward for our 2-5" in late February). Yeah ..my bad. Reading comp not a strong point today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
South_MountainWX Posted January 15, 2015 Share Posted January 15, 2015 I have full respect for gsp but the radar looks great probley not reachin the ground but im sure the upstate will get more than .1 lol it wont be the first time ive shoveled party cloudy... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LithiaWx Posted January 15, 2015 Share Posted January 15, 2015 Rain and 38, Snow to my NW in AL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
isohume Posted January 15, 2015 Share Posted January 15, 2015 On 1/15/2015 at 6:55 PM, South_MountainWX said: I have full respect for gsp but the radar looks great probley not reachin the ground but im sure the upstate will get more than .1 lol it wont be the first time ive shoveled party cloudy... Where did you see this? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Winterhawk Posted January 15, 2015 Share Posted January 15, 2015 On 1/15/2015 at 4:25 PM, FallsLake said: FallsLake, on 15 Jan 2015 - 11:25 AM, said:I guess you could also say leaders are like snowflakes; they're nowhere to be found. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MADDOGG Posted January 15, 2015 Share Posted January 15, 2015 had some sleet mixed in! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
southernskimmer Posted January 15, 2015 Share Posted January 15, 2015 High forecasted for my area today was 48. Still 39 at 2:30. New forecasted high down to 45. We may not make that. interesting Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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