87storms Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 The Euro still gives them 20-30+, so I don't think so. i think long island is in the game. if i was in the city and points west i wouldn't pop the champagne just yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 I mean this as no disrespect to nws lwx, the last two storms were difficult situations and I think the initial forecasts made 36-48 hours out were good bases on best guidance at that time. But over the years it seems that the nws is slow to react to changing situations. That's the only thing I don't understand. For instance it was very clear by evening Friday that the warning in nw va was not going to verify but they stuck with it until the storm was just about over. With today some of the 4-6" forecasts were shot when the initial precip went north of us last night but again the stuck with a forecast made on older guidance. I know this will ruffle feathers as we are all prideful of our work but maybe there is a reason why the lag time in adjusting to changes and I really would like to know what it might be. I really am not picking a fight and say this with utmost respect to people who do a difficult job. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 For anyone else that enjoys a good snowstorm at the beach, here's a site you might want to check out later today and tomorrow. http://thesurfersview.com/live-beach-cams Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 If anyone (other than my family) gives a sh-t what I think, this is what I gave them (total for both days): DC: 1-3" Columbia: 2-5" Baltimore: 2-5" Bel Air: 5-9" Cecil county: 6-10" I honestly think that is bullish for balt south. If we were going to be colder overnight I think that might be ok. I have a hunch that the 95 corridor gets skunked (or a slushy 1" or less) overnight and morning that melts off before anything refires later in the day. And anything that does refire will likely be hit and miss and quicker to exit than we think, This one really has that feel of a complete SJ until you get up into the norther tier and 30+ miles west. Bel Air and Cecil are proably in the best spot for boom but it's going to be dependent on a lot of things breaking right. And nothing has broken right with this one so far it seems. I'm questioning whether I get an honest inch to measure. Feeling cautiously optimistic that the low end of this (at least) will verify for DC/Columbia/Baltimore. North parts of DC have about 0.5" already and Columbia/Baltimore area has around 0.75-1.5". The Harford County/Cecil County part looks to bust hard unless the western edge fills back in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 I mean this as no disrespect to nws lwx, the last two storms were difficult situations and I think the initial forecasts made 36-48 hours out were good bases on best guidance at that time. But over the years it seems that the nws is slow to react to changing situations. That's the only thing I don't understand. For instance it was very clear by evening Friday that the warning in nw va was not going to verify but they stuck with it until the storm was just about over. With today some of the 4-6" forecasts were shot when the initial precip went north of us last night but again the stuck with a forecast made on older guidance. I know this will ruffle feathers as we are all prideful of our work but maybe there is a reason why the lag time in adjusting to changes and I really would like to know what it might be. I really am not picking a fight and say this with utmost respect to people who do a difficult job. They didn't just stick with it, mine actually went up to 6-8 in the WSW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kay Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 Feeling cautiously optimistic that the low end of this (at least) will verify for DC/Columbia/Baltimore. North parts of DC have about 0.5" already and Columbia/Baltimore area has around 0.75-1.5". The Harford County/Cecil County part looks to bust hard unless the western edge fills back in. We are used to the NE MD jackpot illusion. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 Lol @ Ian. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted January 26, 2015 Author Share Posted January 26, 2015 Lol @ Ian. he's not wrong Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 he's not wrong No. I wasn't disagreeing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bodhi Cove Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 Lol @ Ian. $10 he'll step in it again within the next hour. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted January 26, 2015 Author Share Posted January 26, 2015 No. I wasn't disagreeing. I know Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted January 26, 2015 Author Share Posted January 26, 2015 $10 he'll step in it again within the next hour. min fyp Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bodhi Cove Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 fyp Oh snap! Already ??? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted January 26, 2015 Author Share Posted January 26, 2015 Oh snap! Already ??? no. just playing the odds Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted January 26, 2015 Author Share Posted January 26, 2015 actually the euro is coming out. waiting for analysis Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 Gotta love kids. Wife took ours to the Dr. today. Why? Just the usual peanut lodged in the nostril. Tried everything to get it out, but it was in there good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 Gotta love kids. Wife took ours to the Dr. today. Why? Just the usual peanut lodged in the nostril. Tried everything to get it out, but it was in there good. My son got this little rubber stopper stuck in his nose once. Came off a toy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 Gotta love kids. Wife took ours to the Dr. today. Why? Just the usual peanut lodged in the nostril. Tried everything to get it out, but it was in there good. a while back when the hubby was out of town, K decided to get creative and stick a cheerio up her nose. Freaked me out. Thankfully, she didn't stick it up too far and i was able to pull it out with tweezers. I walk away to throw away the cheerio and she sticks another up there. I could see it. so I left it there until she was done eating, crying the entire time. Hasn't stuck anything up her nose since. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 She did the same thing one time with eggs, but those came out with no problem. Just got off the phone with my wife and the ped Dr couldn't get it out so she had to take her to the ENT down the road. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 Still not sure how much I trust the short-range models (none or very little, can't decide), but they look rough for Philly-NYC corridor. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 She did the same thing one time with eggs, but those came out with no problem. Just got off the phone with my wife and the ped Dr couldn't get it out so she had to take her to the ENT down the road. Oh fun! I remember one of my sisters stuck a bead up her nose... wayyyyy up there. Had to take her to an ENT to remove it with a very long, skinny tweezer thing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NinjaWarrior2 Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 I'm seriously ready for Spring now, and not a Cold and Rainy spring, I want a Spring like 2009 with 90s in April. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PrinceFrederickWx Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 This winter is like a combination of all the worst aspects of 10/11 and 97/98. So far, I'd rank it as the worst winter I've ever experienced- at least 11/12 and 01/02 torched the region so we had nice mild days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mrs.J Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 Well decided that we needed to have something to warm us up. So made from scratch brownies. They just came out of the oven and are all warm and delicious. Makes up for the girls not getting to go out and sled. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 Well decided that we needed to have something to warm us up. So made from scratch brownies. They just came out of the oven and are all warm and delicious. Makes up for the girls not getting to go out and sled. Add some vanilla ice cream on top of it. Delicious! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 I guess in weenie world, one bad screwjob = winter cancel meh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlaskaETC Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 NYC/BOS: Hugging the NAM/EURO Mid-Atlantic: Hugging RAP/HRRR Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dailylurker Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 I guess in weenie world, one bad screwjob = winter cancel meh It's all good. We score next Monday lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 Unless I get more later, I'm sitting at 13" below climo with a seasonal total of 7". I can get that with one February storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ltrain Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 It's all good. We score next Monday lol. Looks like I'll be up every night watching. I just want a good 4-8 or 6-10 storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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