HoarfrostHubb Posted January 2, 2015 Share Posted January 2, 2015 Experience tells me we'll see a coating to an inch with this setup. Maybe we'll luck out and get advisory amounts with the clipper. Baby steps Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 2, 2015 Share Posted January 2, 2015 I'm thinking 2 here then hours of sleet, an hour of zr then rain and hoping to keep a bit thru Sunday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 2, 2015 Share Posted January 2, 2015 Experience tells me we'll see a coating to an inch with this setup. Maybe we'll luck out and get advisory amounts with the clipper. You'll do better than that I think. I don't know where all the swan dives came from. Maybe instead of 2-4 it's closer to 2? LOL, this place makes me laugh at times. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 2, 2015 Share Posted January 2, 2015 Experience tells me we'll see a coating to an inch with this setup. Maybe we'll luck out and get advisory amounts with the clipper. Regarding that clipper, if that doesn't dive more south, and begin to develop some in the ocean, I think the qpf from that will be quite paltry at best. I know it will be fluff, but that can only take you so far too. A couple inches would probably be all if it doesn't develop in time for SNE...IMHO. If we do get some development in time, then things could get interesting for SNE if that becomes more of a possibility as we approach that timeframe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 2, 2015 Share Posted January 2, 2015 And like we said..that WSW this morning was ridiculous for SNE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 2, 2015 Share Posted January 2, 2015 From 3-5" to 2-4"...what a disappointment. lol...it's like a formatting issue with the grids. He probably went from 3.2" to 2.9" which caused the shift in range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 2, 2015 Share Posted January 2, 2015 I'm thinking 2 here then hours of sleet, an hour of zr then rain and hoping to keep a bit thru Sunday you bumpity uppidity since last I saw Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted January 2, 2015 Share Posted January 2, 2015 And like we said..that WSW this morning was ridiculous for SNE Not sure why that was up for a cutter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 2, 2015 Share Posted January 2, 2015 I'm thinking 2 here then hours of sleet, an hour of zr then rain and hoping to keep a bit thru Sunday I don't think that Two inches will hold up when the temps on Sunday will be near 60 degrees...that type of warmth will kill that two inches in quick order for sure. If you were closer to 45 on Sunday, it would be a different story, but those temps on Sunday are going to kill whatever we get here in CT. Sad but true. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 2, 2015 Share Posted January 2, 2015 You weenies, they issue it for snow and ice...not just snow. Nevermind who should of had it or not..but you all forget this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted January 2, 2015 Share Posted January 2, 2015 And like we said..that WSW this morning was ridiculous for SNE That's the only way to forewarn the public something is coming. There is no wwa precursor. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 2, 2015 Share Posted January 2, 2015 I don't think that Two inches will hold up when the temps on Sunday will be near 60 degrees...that type of warmth will kill that two inches in quick order for sure. If you were closer to 45 on Sunday, it would be a different story, but those temps on Sunday are going to kill whatever we get here in CT. Sad but true. Its not going to be anywhere near 60 here on Sunday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 2, 2015 Share Posted January 2, 2015 I really fail to see why some peeps are viewing Mike's (or mine) as b*tching. Just stating what Box has done and how it lines up with earlier thinking. Jeesh If you don't view him as a chronic complainer, then I'm simply at a loss. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 2, 2015 Share Posted January 2, 2015 If you don't view him as a chronic complainer, then I'm simply at a loss. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 2, 2015 Share Posted January 2, 2015 Experience tells me we'll see a coating to an inch with this setup. Maybe we'll luck out and get advisory amounts with the clipper.1-3". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 2, 2015 Share Posted January 2, 2015 Its not going to be anywhere near 60 here on Sunday I disagree. But we will see. Guidance isn't backing off on the warmth for Sunday Kevin, in fact it's been increasing the temps as we get closer. So if you are 57 it's not going to make much difference either...those are some 20-25 degrees above Normal. Snow doesn't last to long with temps like that...even at Mount Tollland. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 2, 2015 Share Posted January 2, 2015 GFS is still much cooler in the mid-levels than the NAM. It's pushing warning criteria here this run with a lot of glop on top. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 2, 2015 Share Posted January 2, 2015 If you don't view him as a chronic complainer, then I'm simply at a loss.You have had peed on Cheerios for a while Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 2, 2015 Share Posted January 2, 2015 18z GFS coming around a little bit more for the front end band in SNE...still not as good as the other guidance, but not quite as putrid as the previous several runs. Gets a bit better omega in here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 2, 2015 Share Posted January 2, 2015 Who else is intrigued by the short duration sensible changes this system has to offer the region ?? There is so much meteorology available to this thing, it's astounding really ... and equally amazing that 99% of the content in here is utterly fixated by snow, which in total will probably be the least prolific aspect of this system. Is there any awareness there at all ..? Anyway, 30kt sustained SSW flow coming into eastern CT/RI, and eventually spreading running up over the top of shallow residual chill left over by retreating high, really means one of the more spectacular 24-hour weather changes in store. This could rival some very impressive back-door events we've observed in April, only going the other way. I still have yet to see a back-door event even come close to rivaling that which took place in 1998, late March. 91F ...39 the next morning at UML. This event won't be that extreme, but I think of places like 1,000 feet high ORH there at Pyramids D. Golf, and the Air Port right next door, where they will have snow --> ice --> rain, and probably a temp jolt clear to the mid 50s or more, all inside of 18 hours. That's sick. I am also wondering how fast the cold crashes later that night. Actually ... congratulations!! There was a debate about the warm up on Sunday... word! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 2, 2015 Share Posted January 2, 2015 Well this is the storm thread where we specifically talk about the storm. There's a lot of talk about the warmth tomorrow between here and the model disco thread. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 2, 2015 Share Posted January 2, 2015 That's the only way to forewarn the public something is coming. There is no wwa precursor. That's what I had suggested earlier. It didn't seem that either the snow or ice would meeting a warning criteria, but otherwise folks would be caught off guard on what could be a dicey situation for a few hours. If you don't view him as a chronic complainer, then I'm simply at a loss. You're crazy. I think you're confusing 'complaining' with 'worrying'. 28.4/15 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted January 2, 2015 Share Posted January 2, 2015 1-3".agree Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 2, 2015 Share Posted January 2, 2015 You have had peed on Cheerios for a while Yea, ok. Just me that notices. You've got me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 2, 2015 Share Posted January 2, 2015 Yea, ok. Just me that notices. You've got me.Weenie Ray has left the buildingFact: Mike was not complaining in that earlier post Not opinion Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted January 2, 2015 Share Posted January 2, 2015 I really fail to see why some peeps are viewing Mike's (or mine) as b*tching. Just stating what Box has done and how it lines up with earlier thinking. Jeesh Well nobody has seen anything exciting in a while (at all), and i mean , if this talk were at a gtg , its all in good fun. On the board it sometimes is not clear. Also at some level no one wants their winter event poo pooed anymore And i agree its worrying Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted January 2, 2015 Share Posted January 2, 2015 If you read the box discussion it says western areas might need to be upgraded to a warning later on That's what I had suggested earlier. It didn't seem that either the snow or ice would meeting a warning criteria, but otherwise folks would be caught off guard on what could be a dicey situation for a few hours. You're crazy. I think you're confusing 'complaining' with 'worrying'. 28.4/15 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted January 3, 2015 Share Posted January 3, 2015 If you read the box discussion it says western areas might need to be upgraded to a warning later on Yeah, their discussion left the possibility of that front end omega thump being a little bigger, only takes 1-2 additional hours of sn/sn+ to make a big difference on impact. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 3, 2015 Share Posted January 3, 2015 I still think ice would be their bigger worry Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
alex Posted January 3, 2015 Share Posted January 3, 2015 Love GYX's snowfall map bullseye right around Bartlett lol. We'll see... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.