CoastalWx Posted January 14, 2015 Share Posted January 14, 2015 I giggle at that. The strapping one is better And the one of an abandoned ORHWXMAN in a sled That storm at the end of the GFS is the first one like that to be modeled in a while... Yeah that's a good one. Poor Will left out in the cold. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 14, 2015 Share Posted January 14, 2015 That's a cold look with some coastal potential on the GEFS. Big ridge retros to near the Bering Sea, but has an appendage over the N pole. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 14, 2015 Author Share Posted January 14, 2015 There's basically a 1,000 mile spread on the GEFS members for where the clipper tracks...it's one reason not to get hung up on these solutions 7 days out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jamesnichols89 Posted January 14, 2015 Share Posted January 14, 2015 I like the Ukie, that's a rain to snow solution I think. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SR Airglow Posted January 14, 2015 Share Posted January 14, 2015 EURO still wants nothing to do with the SEMA IVT for tonight/tomorrow, by far the least robust of the guidance now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jamesnichols89 Posted January 14, 2015 Share Posted January 14, 2015 I wouldn't pay attention to the EURO for something happening now, its snowing here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dan123 Posted January 14, 2015 Share Posted January 14, 2015 That's a cold look with some coastal potential on the GEFS. Big ridge retros to near the Bering Sea, but has an appendage over the N pole.Miller b potential as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 14, 2015 Share Posted January 14, 2015 EURO still wants nothing to do with the SEMA IVT for tonight/tomorrow, by far the least robust of the guidance now. I expect nothing more than flakes here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jamesnichols89 Posted January 14, 2015 Share Posted January 14, 2015 Yeah flakes is all that is possible here on Cape Cod. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 14, 2015 Share Posted January 14, 2015 EURO still wants nothing to do with the SEMA IVT for tonight/tomorrow, by far the least robust of the guidance now.Thats why Scooter just melted in that thread Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 14, 2015 Share Posted January 14, 2015 Miller b potential as well. Well I incorporated that by saying coastal, but yeah that too. I guess what myself and Will have been saying is that this is not technically the same pattern. Those features are very high amplitude unlike what we just had. Sure a negative NAO would help, but if you treat a big ridge out west as a slide, any s/w will slide down along it and have the potential to dig. I also will add this is more after any clipper deal next week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
leesun Posted January 14, 2015 Share Posted January 14, 2015 I remember that one as I was commuting home from NYC that day. It took me 3 hours to get from Greenwich to New Haven and I had to ditch the car at the Amtrak station in New haven and take the train home. Probably the worst drive of my life! Probably the most notable one for people on here is 3/8/05.They definitely are not very common though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 14, 2015 Share Posted January 14, 2015 Thats why Scooter just melted in that thread Not really. I haven't seen it. That's been my expectation, regardless. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SR Airglow Posted January 14, 2015 Share Posted January 14, 2015 I expect nothing more than flakes here. I could see a 1/2" or so for you, you're probably in the best spot of anyone for it. Are you guys talking about the GEFS for the D6-7 clipper or the D9-10 thing? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 14, 2015 Share Posted January 14, 2015 I could see a 1/2" or so for you, you're probably in the best spot of anyone for it. Are you guys talking about the GEFS for the D6-7 clipper or the D9-10 thing? I'm too far west I think. Will was talking about the day 6-7 clipper. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted January 14, 2015 Share Posted January 14, 2015 Cutters gonna cut. Winter 2014-2015 continues on the Euro with the Sunday/Monday storm tracking over Philly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dan123 Posted January 14, 2015 Share Posted January 14, 2015 Well I incorporated that by saying coastal, but yeah that too. I guess what myself and Will have been saying is that this is not technically the same pattern. Those features are very high amplitude unlike what we just had. Sure a negative NAO would help, but if you treat a big ridge out west as a slide, any s/w will slide down along it and have the potential to dig. I also will add this is more after any clipper deal next week.Yes agreed. The ensemble mean looks very impressive for the -EPO ridge in the 11-15 day. Looks like last year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted January 14, 2015 Share Posted January 14, 2015 Euro actually gets the 50F isotherm near the Pike by 00z Monday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 14, 2015 Share Posted January 14, 2015 Cutters gonna cut. Winter 2014-2015 continues on the Euro with the Sunday/Monday storm tracking over Philly. Warm it up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 14, 2015 Share Posted January 14, 2015 HV inland runner on the Euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 14, 2015 Share Posted January 14, 2015 Euro actually gets the 50F isotherm near the Pike by 00z Monday. Poor folks with 1.5" glacier. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2Otown_WX Posted January 14, 2015 Share Posted January 14, 2015 Cutters gonna cut. Winter 2014-2015 continues on the Euro with the Sunday/Monday storm tracking over Philly. I'm going to take a page out of the Kevin reverse psychology book. No one should be emotionally invested in the Sunday-Monday threat. All guidance and pattern persistence suggests that it will produce nothing but a cold rain. EDIT: Or maybe a mild rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 14, 2015 Share Posted January 14, 2015 It's pretty much looked mild whether it's rain or sunny. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 14, 2015 Share Posted January 14, 2015 Why the trolling ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 14, 2015 Author Share Posted January 14, 2015 The Euro is a rainer for powderfreak even...that's an ugly solution. Hopefully it doesn't verify. I'd rather keep the ski resorts ice-free. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted January 14, 2015 Share Posted January 14, 2015 The Euro is a rainer for powderfreak even...that's an ugly solution. Hopefully it doesn't verify. I'd rather keep the ski resorts ice-free. Yeah would cancel my Killington trip on Monday if the Euro verified. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Whineminster Posted January 14, 2015 Share Posted January 14, 2015 Rinse and Reload? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 14, 2015 Share Posted January 14, 2015 Euro is interesting with that 5H feature, thats a different look today, going to have to watch this pretty close Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted January 14, 2015 Share Posted January 14, 2015 12z Euro is a huge weenie run at hour 120. WOW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 14, 2015 Author Share Posted January 14, 2015 Euro is interesting with that 5H feature, thats a different look today, going to have to watch this pretty close I would rather that thing gets out of here to let the clipper into our region...but not on this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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