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Model discussion thread


ORH_wxman

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Thread the needle but may have some legs

 

Definitely would be a thread the needle event along the front...no real good throw into the cold sector, but still 1.7" QPF in 6-hours is laughable.  Its worth watching though, maybe someone in eastern sections can grab a plowable snow...or its just a hiccup run and everyone is partly cloudy.

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Congrats interior Maine and NH on the 00z gfs for the Monday system. Crushed in those area.

Big Rainer verbatim for a lot of SNE, especially east

We've certainly got a few days to see how this actually plays out on the models but the way things have gone so far a modest snow gain for the deep interior with some mix/rain for the rest of SNE is hard to ignore. I'm used to snow to ip/zr events here because that's how it's gone so far except for last Friday's clipper. Hopefully by Thursday we have a better sense if there are better options in play besides ots or hug the coast.

Nice to see storm potential though. It may not be a record winter but I feel like everyone will be happy by March 1st. Also nice to see no major conus warm ups being locked in.

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Definitely would be a thread the needle event along the front...no real good throw into the cold sector, but still 1.7" QPF in 6-hours is laughable.  Its worth watching though, maybe someone in eastern sections can grab a plowable snow...or its just a hiccup run and everyone is partly cloudy.

 

Well, The euro has it as well so i don't think you can discount it as a hiccup run, Its an odd evolution but in this winter, who knows.....lol

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We've certainly got a few days to see how this actually plays out on the models but the way things have gone so far a modest snow gain for the deep interior with some mix/rain for the rest of SNE is hard to ignore. I'm used to snow to ip/zr events here because that's how it's gone so far except for last Friday's clipper. Hopefully by Thursday we have a better sense if there are better options in play besides ots or hug the coast.

Nice to see storm potential though. It may not be a record winter but I feel like everyone will be happy by March 1st. Also nice to see no major conus warm ups being locked in.

I could see you doing really well with a system like the gfs shows tonight.

I feel as though you guys have had an okay winter so far, definitely not the case here.

The problem with this system is the cold air seems to be rushing in behind it. Kind of seems destined to be another clunker, especially east. You could cash in though.

Lots of time left unfortunately.

Would be nice too see my first 2" event of the season at some point

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