ORH_wxman Posted January 9, 2015 Author Share Posted January 9, 2015 The western ridge is more impressive on the euro vs an output like the GFS. You need a good PNA spike for this one to work and that's what the euro does. GFS is flatter and also incorporates less energy into the trough. The irony is this causes the GFS to leave a chunk behind in the SW US. Something we'd normally expect out of the euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
codfishsnowman Posted January 9, 2015 Share Posted January 9, 2015 I'm putting you on a time out, ya Sour Sally.i feel his pain....this winter blows and none of the snow we have had has been "fun" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 9, 2015 Share Posted January 9, 2015 Not on new GFS Nope, Fringe on the second wave Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 9, 2015 Share Posted January 9, 2015 Meh. It's all annoying. Scooter meltdown. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 9, 2015 Share Posted January 9, 2015 Scooter meltdown. No, it's just not easy with a 2 yr old. Here ya go..run around in the coating! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 9, 2015 Share Posted January 9, 2015 No, it's just not easy with a 2 yr old. Here ya go..run around in the coating! Post less, play more! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 9, 2015 Share Posted January 9, 2015 12z GGEM is pretty toasty for SNE with the monday event as it shifted north from 0z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted January 9, 2015 Share Posted January 9, 2015 Nope, Fringe on the second wave Elongated low resulting in a compacted precipitation shield to the west. Does the Euro look like that as well? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zeus Posted January 9, 2015 Share Posted January 9, 2015 No, it's just not easy with a 2 yr old. Here ya go..run around in the coating! "There isn't enough snow for my kid to play in during this first full week of January, and just punted next week, but don't be mistaken, I'm not melting down." GET IN THE CORNER, MISTER. I think everything looks lovely. But I still say we need some rain to wash the salt off these roads! I don't want them tasting so salty. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 9, 2015 Share Posted January 9, 2015 "There isn't enough snow for my kid to play in during this first full week of January, and just punted next week, but don't be mistaken, I'm not melting down." GET IN THE CORNER, MISTER. I think everything looks lovely. But I still say we need some rain to wash the salt off these roads! I don't want them tasting so salty. When you adopt that little kid from Laos, you'll see. It's just annoying. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 9, 2015 Share Posted January 9, 2015 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 9, 2015 Share Posted January 9, 2015 Elongated low resulting in a compacted precipitation shield to the west. Does the Euro look like that as well? More consolidated into one low on the Euro and tracked it over CC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted January 9, 2015 Share Posted January 9, 2015 12z GGEM is pretty toasty for SNE with the monday event as it shifted north from 0z I'd normally toss it but its gotten the idea correct now 3 events in a row beyond 96 hours, it even had been the wettest with today's sytem. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 9, 2015 Share Posted January 9, 2015 Ggem is very ICy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 9, 2015 Share Posted January 9, 2015 I'd normally toss it but its gotten the idea correct now 3 events in a row beyond 96 hours, it even had been the wettest with today's sytem. Wow, We always mention it but usually does not verify, That is interesting that its been right, Usually it has some huge run to run swings Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 9, 2015 Share Posted January 9, 2015 GGEM did get more interesting up here on Monday. Solid advisory snowfall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted January 9, 2015 Share Posted January 9, 2015 Wow, We always mention it but usually does not verify, That is interesting that its been right, Usually it has some huge run to run swings Its probably wrong this time...the NAM is not exactly amped up at 84 hours, that usually tells you any models that are probably are out to lunch, the NAM bias at 84 is probably one of the most useful we have and its flat relative to where it should be if that GGEM solution is right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 9, 2015 Share Posted January 9, 2015 GGEM did get more interesting up here on Monday. Solid advisory snowfall. image.jpg Yeah, It was much better, GFS has trended further NW over the last couple runs as well, GGEM did whiff the late week event though verbatim Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 9, 2015 Share Posted January 9, 2015 Its probably wrong this time...the NAM is not exactly amped up at 84 hours, that usually tells you any models that are probably are out to lunch, the NAM bias at 84 is probably one of the most useful we have and its flat relative to where it should be if that GGEM solution is right. That would fit in the wild run to run swings then, Did not look in depth at 0z to see where it was comparison wise Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 9, 2015 Author Share Posted January 9, 2015 Euro is pretty nice looking for Monday. South coast has ptype issues early on but probably 2-4 most of the rest of SNE. Even south coast goes to snow tho Precip goes up into NNE too bit probably more like 1-2 there. The orographics spots would obviously get more Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted January 9, 2015 Share Posted January 9, 2015 Euro is pretty nice looking for Monday. South coast has ptype issues early on but probably 2-4 most of the rest of SNE. Even south coast goes to snow tho Precip goes up into NNE too bit probably more like 1-2 there. The orographics spots would obviously get more seemed pretty "mild" to me for CT / RI / SE / E MA. maybe a ugly sleet/ice mix? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 9, 2015 Share Posted January 9, 2015 Euro is pretty nice looking for Monday. South coast has ptype issues early on but probably 2-4 most of the rest of SNE. Even south coast goes to snow tho Precip goes up into NNE too bit probably more like 1-2 there. The orographics spots would obviously get more Excellent. Thank you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 9, 2015 Author Share Posted January 9, 2015 seemed pretty "mild" to me for CT / RI / SE / E MA. maybe a ugly sleet/ice mix? I thought t looked pretty snowy though maybe PVD-GHG southeast? 00z Tuesday has the freezing line at the sfc south of BOS so I think they'd be fine. Could start a bit sloppy in the afternoon maybe but it looks like the sfc quickly cools. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jamesnichols89 Posted January 9, 2015 Share Posted January 9, 2015 So how much would the South Coast get verbatim the 12z EURO Will? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted January 9, 2015 Share Posted January 9, 2015 I thought t looked pretty snowy though maybe PVD-GHG southeast? 00z Tuesday has the freezing line at the sfc south of BOS so I think they'd be fine. Could start a bit sloppy in the afternoon maybe but it looks like the sfc quickly cools. i suppose it's a fruitless and effort and probably not worth the analysis at this time frame...lol. has kind of a weird 850 / 925 look again. looked fine for BOS / ORH / Berks...maybe N CT as well (especially NW). verbatim it has some places cold at the surface, "mild" at 925, then cold enough again at 850. just sort of weird. probably due to the SW flow out ahead of it and then the cold press coming S. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted January 9, 2015 Share Posted January 9, 2015 So how much would the South Coast get verbatim the 12z EURO Will? you would get about a coating on the euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 9, 2015 Share Posted January 9, 2015 And it's ots with the Friday coastal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 9, 2015 Author Share Posted January 9, 2015 i suppose it's a fruitless and effort and probably not worth the analysis at this time frame...lol. has kind of a weird 850 / 925 look again. looked fine for BOS / ORH / Berks...maybe N CT as well (especially NW). verbatim it has some places cold at the surface, "mild" at 925, then cold enough again at 850. just sort of weird. probably due to the SW flow out ahead of it and then the cold press coming S. Yeah I didn't even look at 925 to be honest. Just sfc and 850. There could def be like a narrow band of sleet/ice in this setup. It wouldn't surprise me. Probably in that N RI to HFD zone on this run of the euro looking a bit closer now. The high presses down fairly quick though so it would probably transition to snow after a few hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted January 9, 2015 Share Posted January 9, 2015 For the later threat, while the Euro and GFS end up placing the surface low in a similar place, they are still pretty different at h5. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted January 9, 2015 Share Posted January 9, 2015 Yeah I didn't even look at 925 to be honest. Just sfc and 850. There could def be like a narrow band of sleet/ice in this setup. It wouldn't surprise me. Probably in that N RI to HFD zone on this run of the euro looking a bit closer now. The high presses down fairly quick though so it would probably transition to snow after a few hours. of course would matter more if it were sunday and we were talking tomorrow. lol think the potential for some sleet / ice is definitely there. won't scour out the LL cold inland. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.