weathafella Posted January 9, 2015 Share Posted January 9, 2015 The room for the 16th storm is for it to move west, not out to sea like the GFS shows. At least one red tagger says otherwise. What is your reasoning James? We hold Kevin to this standard and your should be also. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jamesnichols89 Posted January 9, 2015 Share Posted January 9, 2015 Well we have an amplifying ridging pattern setting up west and we are heading towards a -NAO on CPC teleconnections. So my best guess is that they will correct west like the GFS op and be more like the EURO eventually. It is just a matter of phasing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 9, 2015 Share Posted January 9, 2015 Scooter is quiet and post less this morning..Usually when that happens he sees something that makes him uneasy, low confidence and doesn't feel like getting into it with weenies Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted January 9, 2015 Share Posted January 9, 2015 The parallel GFS 6z run both shows the overrunning event north and the 16th storm running east of Cape Cod by 50 miles, perfect track for us, no tuckie tuckie.Cold appears lacking verbatim Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 9, 2015 Share Posted January 9, 2015 That would be a pretty unique track for a low and associated deformation band.LOL, just our imagination. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 9, 2015 Share Posted January 9, 2015 Well we have an amplifying ridging pattern setting up west and we are heading towards a -NAO on CPC teleconnections. So my best guess is that they will correct west like the GFS op and be more like the EURO eventually. It is just a matter of phasing. So NAO often gives a suppressed track. See 2009-10. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 9, 2015 Share Posted January 9, 2015 Scooter is quiet and post less this morning..Usually when that happens he sees something that makes him uneasy, low confidence and doesn't feel like getting into it with weeniespossibly working, quite the concept. Looks active and not so nickel and dimeaage Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dan123 Posted January 9, 2015 Share Posted January 9, 2015 Scooter is quiet and post less this morning..Usually when that happens he sees something that makes him uneasy, low confidence and doesn't feel like getting into it with weenies Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 9, 2015 Share Posted January 9, 2015 possibly working, quite the concept. Looks active and not so nickel and dimeaage He has almost 100,000 posts..He posts in his sleep..When he's quiet..it means he doesn't like something he sees. Same with Will. You know that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 9, 2015 Share Posted January 9, 2015 That would be a pretty unique track for a low and associated deformation band. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted January 9, 2015 Share Posted January 9, 2015 There would be humor in this benchmark-track solution verifying in the heart of January. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted January 9, 2015 Share Posted January 9, 2015 There would be humor in this benchmark-track solution verifying in the heart of January. If people hadn't jumped yet, they would be. Looks active at least Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted January 9, 2015 Share Posted January 9, 2015 Yea, it will probably be right. Yup. If we have an amped up solution, it's coming west Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 9, 2015 Share Posted January 9, 2015 Yup. If we have an amped up solution, it's coming westexplain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted January 9, 2015 Share Posted January 9, 2015 explain Yeah, there are so many uncertain pieces right now including the strength and position of both streams. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 9, 2015 Share Posted January 9, 2015 explain Seasonal trend? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zeus Posted January 9, 2015 Share Posted January 9, 2015 Seasonal trend? General defeatism is an important ingredient to forecasting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jamesnichols89 Posted January 9, 2015 Share Posted January 9, 2015 -NAO would lead to amplification of northern stream and southern stream phasing, leading us to a major storm system originating in the Gulf of Mexico. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 9, 2015 Share Posted January 9, 2015 Wide right on the GFS. I think the pattern is too progressive for now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 9, 2015 Share Posted January 9, 2015 Nickels and dimes. Wrap minds around that and enjoy each event we get Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 9, 2015 Share Posted January 9, 2015 Wide right on the GFS. I think the pattern is too progressive for now. If we can pop that ridge more out west than it will be a swing and a miss. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 9, 2015 Share Posted January 9, 2015 If we can pop that ridge more out west than it will be a swing and a miss. I don't know, the pattern sucks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 9, 2015 Share Posted January 9, 2015 I don't know, the pattern sucks. I thought that was implied, given what's transpired since Dec 1st. Just trying to help show the 's how that potential can happen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 9, 2015 Share Posted January 9, 2015 I don't know, the pattern sucks.Look forward to Monday.. And then we can see how late week looks. One at a time Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jamesnichols89 Posted January 9, 2015 Share Posted January 9, 2015 Scott, it can easily phase sooner and come up the coast as going out to sea. +PNA ridging and signs of the NAO going neutral. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 9, 2015 Share Posted January 9, 2015 Look forward to Monday.. And then we can see how late week looks. One at a time Meh. It's all annoying. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 9, 2015 Share Posted January 9, 2015 Scott, it can easily phase sooner and come up the coast as going out to sea. +PNA ridging and signs of the NAO going neutral. More rain for Cape Cod, MA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted January 9, 2015 Share Posted January 9, 2015 Wide right on the GFS. I think the pattern is too progressive for now. Not on new GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zeus Posted January 9, 2015 Share Posted January 9, 2015 More rain for Cape Cod, MA. I'm putting you on a time out, ya Sour Sally. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
codfishsnowman Posted January 9, 2015 Share Posted January 9, 2015 these tandem gfs's so annoying!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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