TalcottWx Posted January 7, 2015 Share Posted January 7, 2015 Euro ensemble have below average mslp anoms on the east coast 14th-17th and 20th-23rd. Ridging into AK at the end of the run. GFS ens have similar. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted January 7, 2015 Share Posted January 7, 2015 Can someone post a jan 05 chart so I can compare? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted January 7, 2015 Share Posted January 7, 2015 Para GFS @ 18z was out to sea. @ 12z, it had a blizzard over SNE and multiple shots of snow. Model noise. I am going to go out on a limb and say that its 18z solution is more likely than its 12z solution. However, with the Euro and old GFS in decent agreement and their ensembles as well, I would expect something closer to that. I hope it stays interesting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted January 7, 2015 Share Posted January 7, 2015 It's a shame that in a week or so we will no longer have access to the GFS (old) and the para GFS will be taking its place. I'm not convinced in the slightest that this new 13K GFS is any more accurate than the 27K GFS and having the ability to look at both and compare them to the other global models is beneficial. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted January 8, 2015 Share Posted January 8, 2015 0z old GFS is an absolute snoozer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 8, 2015 Share Posted January 8, 2015 0z old GFS is an absolute snoozer. Lots of options. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted January 8, 2015 Share Posted January 8, 2015 Lots of options. Definitely a lot of scenarios on the table. Wide ranging, but seems as if rain is the outlier right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 8, 2015 Share Posted January 8, 2015 I'd take the 00z Canadian GEM , models are bouncing all over the place for what happens in the next 8 days. Nickel and dime type events but would get it done over time. Personally I think the upcoming period will be more profitable for SNE... I think we could go into a scenario like last year, that with real cold air in place or nearby, lots of WAA overrunning events could be in play Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted January 8, 2015 Share Posted January 8, 2015 euro looks great to me for friday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
8611Blizz Posted January 8, 2015 Share Posted January 8, 2015 euro looks great to me for friday Please define great? 2-3"? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 8, 2015 Share Posted January 8, 2015 00z EURO absolutely destroys SNE at day 8. That's a game changer type storm right there for you guys. 12-18"+ for HFD/ORH/BOS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NaoPos Posted January 8, 2015 Share Posted January 8, 2015 Euro rakes you's guys. 990 on the BM . CCB LOVE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted January 8, 2015 Share Posted January 8, 2015 Euro rakes you's guys. 990 on the BM . CCB LOVE.Another option on the table. Boom. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jamesnichols89 Posted January 8, 2015 Share Posted January 8, 2015 I didn't get the same vibe from looking at the free site images of the EURO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 8, 2015 Share Posted January 8, 2015 I didn't get the same vibe from looking at the free site images of the EURO. James, you really can't evaluate the euro without seeing where different levels of the atmosphere go. So the vibe I got when initially looking at the freebies was not as robust as looking at the pay site which told me the euro was grilling a 6 pack of weenies on the BBQ. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 8, 2015 Share Posted January 8, 2015 Models are all over the place, but we'll definitely warm up near MLK it seems. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 8, 2015 Share Posted January 8, 2015 00z EURO absolutely destroys SNE at day 8. That's a game changer type storm right there for you guys. 12-18"+ for HFD/ORH/BOS. Not much signal for a major mild up that some places have been hitting ..Hopefully that holds Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 8, 2015 Share Posted January 8, 2015 Not much signal for a major mild up that some places have been hitting ..Hopefully that holds Of it's there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Valley Snowman Posted January 8, 2015 Share Posted January 8, 2015 Yeah the GFS and Canadian OP both look suppressed late next week. That and over a week away keeps me from getting to excited but that was an eye candy run on the Euro Op. The ensembles have a variety of different decent hits thrown in there as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 8, 2015 Share Posted January 8, 2015 Euro and ensembles have the storm but we've been fooled by that before. After, the pacific takes over for a period of time. I said that yesterday and stand by that. It won't be denied IMO. Now is it for two days or a week, I don't know, but nothing really exciting after next week for a little while as it looks now. My guess is maybe later in the month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 8, 2015 Share Posted January 8, 2015 Of it's there. Well I mean no big torch like some are touting. A couple days 30's to near 40 is fine. Muted is the way to plan for now anyway Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 8, 2015 Share Posted January 8, 2015 Well I mean no big torch like some are touting. A couple days 30's to near 40 is fine. Muted is the way to plan for now anyway Man you never learn, do you. Could easily be a cutter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 8, 2015 Share Posted January 8, 2015 Well I mean no big torch like some are touting. A couple days 30's to near 40 is fine. Muted is the way to plan for now anyway Euro ensembles advertise warmer than that for a couple of days. 50+ is distinctly possible in the coming January thaw. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 8, 2015 Share Posted January 8, 2015 Euro ensembles advertise warmer than that for a couple of days. 50+ is distinctly possible in the coming January thaw. How accurate have they been this winter? I'll take 40 under Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 8, 2015 Share Posted January 8, 2015 Euro ensembles advertise warmer than that for a couple of days. 50+ is distinctly possible in the coming January thaw. All the models also came in warmer last night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 8, 2015 Share Posted January 8, 2015 Surprisingly.. the overrunning event Monday/Tuesday has gain support on the models as we've gotten closer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 8, 2015 Share Posted January 8, 2015 How accurate have they been this winter? I'll take 40 under LOL. You just don't learn. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 8, 2015 Share Posted January 8, 2015 How accurate have they been this winter? I'll take 40 under They're not in their own. The pattern is going to reshuffle. We may well have a decent snowpack and it may well be in jeopardy before a reload. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted January 8, 2015 Share Posted January 8, 2015 Hpc talked about snow in the northeast dys 6 and 7 Surprisingly.. the overrunning event Monday/Tuesday has gain support on the models as we've gotten closer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 8, 2015 Share Posted January 8, 2015 They're not in their own. The pattern is going to reshuffle. We may well have a decent snowpack and it may well be in jeopardy before a reload. I'm not denying a mild up comes. But I am not seeing any signs of some big torch of 50's for days Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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