dryslot Posted January 7, 2015 Share Posted January 7, 2015 Those can dry up and get shredded as they move east Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 7, 2015 Author Share Posted January 7, 2015 Euro misses a bit south with overrunning potential next Monday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jamesnichols89 Posted January 7, 2015 Share Posted January 7, 2015 I'm impressed by the models still showing the major storm system for next week, the 1-2 punch evolution looks interesting and seems more probable than one wound up bomb. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jamesnichols89 Posted January 7, 2015 Share Posted January 7, 2015 Euro misses a bit south with overrunning potential next Monday. I think that is to be expected, trough opens up afterwards allowing the second system to come up the coastline. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jamesnichols89 Posted January 7, 2015 Share Posted January 7, 2015 12z EURO at 144 hours shows the beginning of an East Coast monster shaping up in the GOM, a ton of moisture out ahead of the southern stream shortwave and northern stream shortwave digging southward over the Midwest. Key is getting confluence to setup just right to force the storm to the benchmark instead of riding inside of the area causing heavy rain instead of what we all want, heavy snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted January 7, 2015 Share Posted January 7, 2015 Nice looking rainstorm mid-week on the Euro. Winter 2014-2015. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 7, 2015 Share Posted January 7, 2015 12z GGEM has the system next thurs as well, Tracks it over the cape into the GOM but much weaker and progressive but still a decent snow event for the region 996mb over BOS... I'd hit it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 7, 2015 Author Share Posted January 7, 2015 That actually looks kind of icy over interior after brief light snow. The whole thing is a disorganized mess off the coast on the euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted January 7, 2015 Share Posted January 7, 2015 That actually looks kind of icy over interior after brief light snow. The whole thing is a disorganized mess off the coast on the euro. Maybe distant interior... not much cold or a high to the north for most of us in SNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 7, 2015 Share Posted January 7, 2015 What is Ryan talking about lol? A mini meltdown. Seems apparent some kind of wintry precip event next week on all models Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 7, 2015 Share Posted January 7, 2015 What is Ryan talking about lol? A mini meltdown. Seems apparent some kind of wintry precip event next week on all models He's talking about the EURO verbatim. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted January 7, 2015 Share Posted January 7, 2015 What is Ryan talking about lol? A mini meltdown. Seems apparent some kind of wintry precip event next week on all models Huh? Euro is maybe an inch of snow/sleet for you washed away by rain. If you're excited by that... have at it! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 7, 2015 Share Posted January 7, 2015 He's talking about the EURO verbatim.Not according to others Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 7, 2015 Share Posted January 7, 2015 Not according to others I'd post it but I can't... I'm looking at it right now. Hard to snow with 925mb temps of +5C at IJD and +4C at BDL. You could say it is maybe too warm, but verbatim that's what it shows. Even up here its only -2C at 925mb. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 7, 2015 Share Posted January 7, 2015 He's talking about the EURO verbatim. Not worth getting worked up on a 170+ hr OP run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 7, 2015 Author Share Posted January 7, 2015 I dunno. Antecedent airmass is pretty cold initially at 00z Wednesday. So I'd have a hard time believing the sfc temps warm as much as the euro says by 18z Wednesday with a benchmark sfc track. But it does verbatim warm us into the mid 30s by then. It looks like another storm for Thursday that looks snowier. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 7, 2015 Share Posted January 7, 2015 Everyone would like the follow up one on Friday next week on the 12z Euro, Well except PF........lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted January 7, 2015 Share Posted January 7, 2015 I dunno. Antecedent airmass is pretty cold initially at 00z Wednesday. So I'd have a hard time believing the sfc temps warm as much as the euro says by 18z Wednesday with a benchmark sfc track. But it does verbatim warm us into the mid 30s by then. It looks like another storm for Thursday that looks snowier. Yes... Thursday looks quite nice. I'll that that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 7, 2015 Share Posted January 7, 2015 Everyone would like the follow up one on Friday next week on the 12z Euro, Well except PF........lol That one would be just what the eastern SNE guys need to get the turn-around going. A solid east of the CT River event, with largest impacts from ORH to BOS. Plenty of time for that one to trend <duck and run> Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 7, 2015 Share Posted January 7, 2015 Plenty of time for that one to trend <duck and run> No blocking so anything can happen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 7, 2015 Share Posted January 7, 2015 The 1st wave was rain for some but not for all and the follow up wave was all snow basically for the region Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 7, 2015 Share Posted January 7, 2015 lol just saw the 00z run had that storm as 981mb over ALB... so that's a good eastward trend at day 8 for you guys Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jamesnichols89 Posted January 7, 2015 Share Posted January 7, 2015 I'm only out to hour 168, looks warm still. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jamesnichols89 Posted January 7, 2015 Share Posted January 7, 2015 I guess EURO is colder for the second storm, most models show rain for the first wave and snow for the second wave. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 7, 2015 Share Posted January 7, 2015 Most of us are buried d8-9 on the euro today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jamesnichols89 Posted January 7, 2015 Share Posted January 7, 2015 How are we buried with a 997mb low? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted January 7, 2015 Share Posted January 7, 2015 The rainstorm on the Euro is not the same snowstorm that the GFS, PGFS and GGEM are showing. The follow-up storm is. The Euro rainer misses south on the GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 7, 2015 Share Posted January 7, 2015 How are we buried with a 997mb low? Because its 984mb not 997 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 7, 2015 Share Posted January 7, 2015 At this range I approve of the Euro. At least it is something to watch Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 7, 2015 Share Posted January 7, 2015 To bad we lost a bunch of posters off the bridge with that 1st wave on tues, They really would have enjoyed fridays The first wave actually looked to help the second wave stay snow for SNE... the first storm that brings some rain to the area and snow to the deep interior, actually forces the second storm SE of New England. Last night's 00z run cut the storm from ALB to BML because it was just one big consolidated system without the leading energy. This new run has it more disjointed but it actually allows the follow up energy to be pushed SE along the front. So everyone lamenting the rain from the first system, has that to thank for the second storms track. Without that, I bet that thing would've ripped inland again like 00z. I really like on Weatherbell now you can easily toggle between the last couple runs...makes it very easy to spot the differences. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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