CoastalWx Posted January 7, 2015 Share Posted January 7, 2015 Looks like the models are going to try and rebuild -EPO. Also a semblance of ridging over the N Pole. Haven't really seen that this season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 7, 2015 Share Posted January 7, 2015 Looks like the models are going to try and rebuild -EPO. Also a semblance of ridging over the N Pole. Haven't really seen that this season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted January 7, 2015 Share Posted January 7, 2015 Moving this and my response to the model thread where it belongs: Not sure when realism turned into someone being gone..when we get a coastal tell me I'm wrong .. Not now when nothing except weak systems as far as eye can see .Even our overrunning early next week likely squashed Move your computer screen closer then. And you are wrong - even if we don't get a coastal. Just because one doesn't happen doesn't mean one can't happen. So if you bother to look at the current models: 0z Euro at 216 has a 981mb low over the NY/CT/MA corner. 06z GFS has a 1004mb low SE of the benchmark at 204 going to a 991mb low just south of Nova Scotia at 216. PGFS has a 995mb low just south of Nova Scotia at 210. Now if we take into account the Euro's bias to be too wound up in the medium range and the GFS's bias to be too progressive in the medium range, what does that leave us with? Not to mention, the GGEM has a 995mb low over ACK at 198 going to a 982mb low over down east ME at 210. Both the EPS and the GEFS have the signal as well. Yes, early next week is probably missing south, but that is just one of several in a train of impulses that is coming. There are no guarantees of anything, especially a wound-up coastal, but there are definitely signals for the possibility of one - and that doesn't preclude an ocean storm nor does it preclude a rainstorm, btw. So in short, stop being a dope. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 7, 2015 Share Posted January 7, 2015 Moving this and my response to the model thread where it belongs: Move your computer screen closer then. And you are wrong - even if we don't get a coastal. Just because one doesn't happen doesn't mean one can't happen. So if you bother to look at the current models: 0z Euro at 216 has a 981mb low over the NY/CT/MA corner. 06z GFS has a 1004mb low SE of the benchmark at 204 going to a 991mb low just south of Nova Scotia at 216. PGFS has a 995mb low just south of Nova Scotia at 210. Now if we take into account the Euro's bias to be too wound up in the medium range and the GFS's bias to be too progressive in the medium range, what does that leave us with? Not to mention, the GGEM has a 995mb low over ACK at 198 going to a 982mb low over down east ME at 210. Both the EPS and the GEFS have the signal as well. Yes, early next week is probably missing south, but that is just one of several in a train of impulses that is coming. There are no guarantees of anything, especially a wound-up coastal, but there are definitely signals for the possibility of one - and that doesn't preclude an ocean storm nor does it preclude a rainstorm, btw. So in short, stop being a dope. LMAO...You go!! And very good points I might add. We have been finding ways to fail lately with regard to snow, maybe we start to turn that trend around soon?? That would be so nice if we can. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zeus Posted January 7, 2015 Share Posted January 7, 2015 Moving this and my response to the model thread where it belongs: Move your computer screen closer then. And you are wrong - even if we don't get a coastal. Just because one doesn't happen doesn't mean one can't happen. So if you bother to look at the current models: 0z Euro at 216 has a 981mb low over the NY/CT/MA corner. 06z GFS has a 1004mb low SE of the benchmark at 204 going to a 991mb low just south of Nova Scotia at 216. PGFS has a 995mb low just south of Nova Scotia at 210. Now if we take into account the Euro's bias to be too wound up in the medium range and the GFS's bias to be too progressive in the medium range, what does that leave us with? Not to mention, the GGEM has a 995mb low over ACK at 198 going to a 982mb low over down east ME at 210. Both the EPS and the GEFS have the signal as well. Yes, early next week is probably missing south, but that is just one of several in a train of impulses that is coming. There are no guarantees of anything, especially a wound-up coastal, but there are definitely signals for the possibility of one - and that doesn't preclude an ocean storm nor does it preclude a rainstorm, btw. So in short, stop being a dope. They say the definition of insanity is continuing on the same path while expecting different results. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted January 7, 2015 Share Posted January 7, 2015 They say the definition of insanity is continuing on the same path while expecting different results. I'll humor you. What is the "same path" being continued on, and by whom or what? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zeus Posted January 7, 2015 Share Posted January 7, 2015 I'll humor you. What is the "same path" being continued on, and by whom or what? Getting into that would bring us much too far off topic. Let us discuss the models, happily, as we once did. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 7, 2015 Share Posted January 7, 2015 Nice little overrunning event on the GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 7, 2015 Share Posted January 7, 2015 12z GFS hitting on an overunning (SWFE) event around the 13th Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
J Paul Gordon Posted January 7, 2015 Share Posted January 7, 2015 Nice little overrunning event on the GFS. When? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 7, 2015 Author Share Posted January 7, 2015 12z GFS is interested in overrunning snows for Monday night and Tuesday. Maybe some IP/ZR in parts of CT where mid-levels get marginal. Of course the 00z suite was pretty suppressed with this but 12z GFS is more interested so something to watch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 7, 2015 Share Posted January 7, 2015 Looks like it hangs back a lot of moisture there after with a trough like feature Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 7, 2015 Share Posted January 7, 2015 1-2 punch coming up on the GFS? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 7, 2015 Share Posted January 7, 2015 Looks like another over runner to follow up the one on Tues as the 1st one exits the NE, Miller B? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 7, 2015 Share Posted January 7, 2015 Looks like another over runner to follow up the one on Tues as the 1st one exits the NE That may be more than an overrunner. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 7, 2015 Share Posted January 7, 2015 That may be more than an overrunner. Yeah, I did an edit, Miller B? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 7, 2015 Share Posted January 7, 2015 Yeah, I did an edit, Miller B? Seems like it, although flow is a bit progressive. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 7, 2015 Share Posted January 7, 2015 Seems like it, although flow is a bit progressive. Still maybe a bit SE but closer then the last few runs, Out past trucation but still have plenty of time for this one, At least it is something to track other then squall lines Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 7, 2015 Share Posted January 7, 2015 Well signal is there on guidance anyways. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 7, 2015 Share Posted January 7, 2015 Well signal is there on guidance anyways. Yes, That's all you can ask this far out, May have something in that time frame other then cold and flurries to track Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted January 7, 2015 Share Posted January 7, 2015 Well, I approve the 12z GFS. That would certainly make for an improved January. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 7, 2015 Share Posted January 7, 2015 12z Para GFS has the 1st wave not as robust but also an over runner Miller B type on the follow up as well, Dual lows.....lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted January 7, 2015 Share Posted January 7, 2015 The GFS and PGFS show two different ways to wind her up. And holy heck on the para. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 7, 2015 Share Posted January 7, 2015 The GFS and PGFS show two different ways to wind her up. And holy heck on the para. Cut off 972mb over the cape Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted January 7, 2015 Share Posted January 7, 2015 Cut off 980mb over LI to 970 over the cape Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 7, 2015 Share Posted January 7, 2015 +PNA baby. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 7, 2015 Share Posted January 7, 2015 lol, 965mb in the GOM on the ParaGFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 7, 2015 Share Posted January 7, 2015 to 970 over the cape 965mb in the GOM................lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted January 7, 2015 Share Posted January 7, 2015 +PNA baby. No, the pattern is too progressive. Nickels and dimes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 7, 2015 Share Posted January 7, 2015 Down to 960mb, Blizzard Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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