SnoSki14 Posted January 6, 2015 Share Posted January 6, 2015 Pretty comical gfs run verbatim. Finds a way to drop virtually zero snow over the entire run and then, you guessed it, has a nice big cutter at the end of the run. You want it to show a snowstorm in the LR or within 5-7 days? Why, do you want to end up being more disappointed when it changes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted January 6, 2015 Share Posted January 6, 2015 You want it to show a snowstorm in the LR or within 5-7 days? Why, do you want to end up being more disappointed when it changes. Just pointing out what it shows. Obviously I'm not putting stock in a 300+ hour cutter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted January 6, 2015 Share Posted January 6, 2015 GEM is spinning up a blizzard for next week Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Valley Snowman Posted January 6, 2015 Share Posted January 6, 2015 Day 8-10 bears watching. Close to something bigger on the Euro op and some ensemble members show a decent hit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted January 6, 2015 Share Posted January 6, 2015 Euro has two storms in fantasy land next week. Nearly every model is now developing a coastal or two. Pretty cold too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 6, 2015 Share Posted January 6, 2015 Euro has two storms in fantasy land next week. Nearly every model is now developing a coastal or two. Pretty cold too. 00z GFS had the weenie nightmare...cold and colder and dry for 2 weeks followed by a cutter.I got a chuckle out of that because all you could do is laugh if that's how the next two weeks went. It's like morbid curiosity to imagine how that would play out haha. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 6, 2015 Share Posted January 6, 2015 Were people drunk? Still not the best signal for storms although I wouldn't rule it out. You'd think Jan 2011 was coming reading these posts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Go Kart Mozart Posted January 6, 2015 Share Posted January 6, 2015 JB tweets that the euro weeklies are the coldest he has ever seen. Can anyone verify? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 6, 2015 Share Posted January 6, 2015 JB tweets that the euro weeklies are the coldest he has ever seen. Can anyone verify? I think he was drunk. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 6, 2015 Share Posted January 6, 2015 Other than today and Friday light events...none of the models showed any kind of snowstorm anywhere near New England. Desperate times lead to weenie measures Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 6, 2015 Share Posted January 6, 2015 Other than today and Friday light events...none of the models showed any kind of snowstorm anywhere near New England. Desperate times lead to weenie measures The euro ensembles do show something later next week...it's an ok signal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 6, 2015 Share Posted January 6, 2015 The euro ensembles do show something later next week...it's an ok signal. Better chance of an inch or 2 today than from that deal Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted January 6, 2015 Share Posted January 6, 2015 The euro ensembles do show something later next week...it's an ok signal.This is what I'm talking about... There is a threat out there in fantasy range Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 6, 2015 Share Posted January 6, 2015 Loop the 06z GFS if you want to feel good about cold and dry then warm and wet, lol. This week looks decently snowy. Should be a fun time with some arctic boundaries and weak energy moving through to keep flakes in the air off and on all week. The long range is as usual a total toss-up, the ECMWF looks better than the GFS, but it does relax a bit. Luckily this is the time of year when we can deal with fairly marginal temps and still be ok. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Randy4Confluence Posted January 6, 2015 Share Posted January 6, 2015 The euro ensembles do show something later next week...it's an ok signal. Better chance of a camel going through the eye of needle. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted January 6, 2015 Share Posted January 6, 2015 Better chance of a camel going through the eye of needle.At least we are tracking storms and not paltry clippers after a cutter. If we can get that high over SNE in a better position over the next week it could be a more substantial snowstorm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted January 6, 2015 Share Posted January 6, 2015 I didn't find the look all that great. Gfs is a toaster as I mentioned last night, and the GEM does spin up a pretty nice storm middle of next week. The problem is, verbatim its warm or marginal for a good chunk of the region. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted January 6, 2015 Share Posted January 6, 2015 I didn't find the look all that great. Gfs is a toaster as I mentioned last night, and the GEM does spin up a pretty nice storm middle of next week. The problem is, verbatim its warm or marginal for a good chunk of the region.The GEM starts out a little mild but the storm deepens and a CCB develops dropping warning level snowfall across a large portion of the area. It doesn't really matter at this range though in terms of minute details like that. Just happy it has a storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 6, 2015 Author Share Posted January 6, 2015 OP Euro cooking up a nice event at D7. Verbatim a close miss. But it has a nice upper air look if this can get into the region. This one has been on and off the models for a couple days now. Something to watch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted January 6, 2015 Share Posted January 6, 2015 OP Euro cooking up a nice event at D7. Verbatim a close miss. But it has a nice upper air look if this can get into the region. This one has been on and off the models for a couple days now. Something to watch. Hard to compare to 0z in 24hr intervals, but definitely has made improvements compared to 12z yesterday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted January 6, 2015 Share Posted January 6, 2015 OP Euro cooking up a nice event at D7. Verbatim a close miss. But it has a nice upper air look if this can get into the region. This one has been on and off the models for a couple days now. Something to watch. It's getting there - a mild look though for the CP aloft if it comes much farther north. With plentiful LL cold maybe some icing issues too? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BRSno Posted January 6, 2015 Share Posted January 6, 2015 Maybe Friday will overperform Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted January 6, 2015 Share Posted January 6, 2015 if we can avoid suppression depression could be an interesting stretch there sun-wed of next week. pretty good agreement on HP N of the Lakes and boundary offshore. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Valley Snowman Posted January 6, 2015 Share Posted January 6, 2015 yes right now the trough axis looks a little bit too far east on the European and Canadian and the high-pressure Ridge looks a little bit too strong and close. Rather than one consolidated storm you get multiple waves that side swipe the area. Haven't looked at any of the upper air charts but someone mentioned that it looked a little more positive. PNA spike looks impressive. Wouldn't be shocked if we ended up with something decent but wouldn't be surprised if we had a whiff either . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 6, 2015 Share Posted January 6, 2015 I wouldn't sweat the details on the euro op given its performance lately. That fact it has something is good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted January 6, 2015 Share Posted January 6, 2015 yes right now the trough axis looks a little bit too far east on the European and Canadian and the high-pressure Ridge looks a little bit too strong and close. Rather than one consolidated storm you get multiple waves that side swipe the area. Haven't looked at any of the upper air charts but someone mentioned that it looked a little more positive. PNA spike looks impressive. Wouldn't be shocked if we ended up with something decent but wouldn't be surprised if we had a whiff either . lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 6, 2015 Share Posted January 6, 2015 if we can avoid suppression depression could be an interesting stretch there sun-wed of next week. pretty good agreement on HP N of the Lakes and boundary offshore. definitely has that look of one perhaps two threats as the PV pulls out. Often times a less intense parent type low hits with a moderate event and then several days later a more potent vort max, possible cutoff low winds up. Have seen hints of that on a couple of models. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted January 6, 2015 Share Posted January 6, 2015 euro ens have a nice look too early next week. 1036 N of VT and a very clear boundary off the carolinas. not a bad place to start from at 6-7 days out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted January 6, 2015 Share Posted January 6, 2015 also have nice semblance of LP offshore middle of next week. certainly seems like the next window to watch Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 6, 2015 Share Posted January 6, 2015 also have nice semblance of LP offshore middle of next week. certainly seems like the next window to watch Yep and whaddya know....heights raised again through hr 300 out west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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