aldie 22 Posted December 30, 2014 Share Posted December 30, 2014 We are due for some cold and dry Baby steps Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted December 30, 2014 Share Posted December 30, 2014 Looking forward to my mud freezing for a couple days before the jan thaw Yep, In the thaw I'll golf and then start organizing my fishing tackle because spring is coming soon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted December 30, 2014 Share Posted December 30, 2014 ^did Wes just cancel winter? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted December 30, 2014 Share Posted December 30, 2014 Yep, In the thaw I'll golf and then start organizing my fishing tackle because spring is coming soon. Probably the opposite this year where the blocking shows up in late March/April and we have many days of CAD...45 and drizzle... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted December 30, 2014 Share Posted December 30, 2014 Probably the opposite this year where the blocking shows up in late March/April and we have many days of CAD...45 and drizzle... You're probably right, I don't ;look much beyond 2 weeks and week 2 looks to be on the warm side....plus the days are getting warmer. MY comment earlier was made somewhat tongue in cheek. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kay Posted December 30, 2014 Share Posted December 30, 2014 You're probably right, I don't ;look much beyond 2 weeks and week 2 looks to be on the warm side....plus the days are getting warmer. MY comment earlier was made somewhat tongue in cheek. People tremble when you use the g and f words. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sparky Posted December 30, 2014 Share Posted December 30, 2014 love the new thread title. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted December 30, 2014 Share Posted December 30, 2014 18z gfs scoots the clipper north of us. Thread title remains safe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlaskaETC Posted December 30, 2014 Share Posted December 30, 2014 18z gfs scoots the clipper north of us. Thread title remains safe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted December 30, 2014 Share Posted December 30, 2014 18z gfs scoots the clipper north of us. Thread title remains safe.Whew, dodged that bullet. Thought it might snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted December 30, 2014 Share Posted December 30, 2014 Was just about to comment on it. F this winter. Clipper skips us, and NYC north get a nice snowfall. But hey, it's 180 hours out. Plenty of time for this to trend worse for us. Edit: Para gives NW areas a shot at frozen at 102 (0z Sun)? Anything frozen would be very short lived if it even happens this weekend. High to the N is too far east to do anything. At least the GFS pumps the 582dm ridge to the nc/va border late in the run as another bowling ball digs the CA coast. We might hit 60. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted December 30, 2014 Share Posted December 30, 2014 18z gfs scoots the clipper north of us. Thread title remains safe. Have faith. This one's happening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
T. August Posted December 30, 2014 Share Posted December 30, 2014 I pray you didn't mistake my comment for an expression of hope. Seeing ads for meeting Maryland singles (50+) has me more excited than anything the pattern/models show. The missing 180/86 hr panels on the para are probably sparing me extra pain. Yep... I saw them. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
T. August Posted December 30, 2014 Share Posted December 30, 2014 I'm so thankful the website gave me a couple of minutes to prepare myself for that. If I'm looking at this right, you got TSSN on 11/26 and finished with .2 snow? I don't think I have ever seen that before and somehow it all makes so much sense during this season of fail. Yes, that's right. The best .2" ever lol. Big fatties with thunder. If I remember correctly a house was actually struck by lightning in N. HarCo that day. The northern part of the county was also the jackpot with 3" running from Jarrettsville into NW Cecil County. Different world up there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted December 30, 2014 Share Posted December 30, 2014 Who here will be surprised if the weekend system ends up as a sheared out mess? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted December 30, 2014 Share Posted December 30, 2014 Who here will be surprised if the weekend system ends up as a sheared out mess? Hoping but not sure that would help or hurt the situation. Wouldn't a system that bombs help shake things up a bit? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
poolz1 Posted December 31, 2014 Share Posted December 31, 2014 Personally, I hope to see some wound up cutters giving the midwest blizzard conditions. Sheared out messes help nobody IMO. At least a strong system could temporarily alter the pattern and give us a window to score a fluke storm in this crappy pattern. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted December 31, 2014 Share Posted December 31, 2014 Who here will be surprised if the weekend system ends up as a sheared out mess? I sure would. The AO and -PNA say it ought to go towards the lakes and that's what the euro and GEFS ensemble means are showing. YOu still could see a bit of freezing rain but the low isn't likely to go to our south like the early runs. The one sheared out solution is today's ukmet which brings a northern stream low out really fast and then brings a wave to our south. That's your hope but probably not the most likely solution. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clueless Posted December 31, 2014 Share Posted December 31, 2014 I will root for 60s and rain any day at this point. Just think that we are helping Wes get an early start on improving his game. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted December 31, 2014 Share Posted December 31, 2014 I sure would. The AO and -PNA say it ought to go towards the lakes and that's what the euro and GEFS ensemble means are showing. YOu still could see a bit of freezing rain but the low isn't likely to go to our south like the early runs. The one sheared out solution is today's ukmet which brings a northern stream low out really fast and then brings a wave to our south. That's your hope but probably not the most likely solution. I was actually thinking about the numerous systems that have simply fizzled as we get closer. Even Santabomb didn't come close to its early modeling. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wonderdog Posted December 31, 2014 Share Posted December 31, 2014 I was actually thinking about the numerous systems that have simply fizzled as we get closer. Even Santabomb didn't come close to its early modeling. Over amped by the models and over-hyped by some. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted December 31, 2014 Share Posted December 31, 2014 Looking forward to my mud freezing for a couple days before the jan thaw I have already fixed my drive twice from people running off the side... already need a 3rd time... I could use a freeze Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wkd Posted December 31, 2014 Share Posted December 31, 2014 Definitely the funniest thread I've seen this winter. Keep it up. Good to find humor in a sorry situation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kurtstack Posted December 31, 2014 Share Posted December 31, 2014 Looks like a beautiful two weeks of 1040-1050 highs whipping across the CONUS without any staying power followed by lake cutters as the High's move off into the Atlantic. Perhaps one or two of these lake cutters can work become deck shufflers, and help us transition into a more favorable pattern. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kurtstack Posted December 31, 2014 Share Posted December 31, 2014 We lucked our way to pay dirt last year without a real -NAO and that just ain't likely to happen two years in a row, especially if we're playing with a back and forth AO. The AO hasn't really been back n forth. It's pretty much been positive all winter with some neutral to slightly below blips. If it was back n forth and heading for -2 to -3 range, I'd probably gain interest in the models. Everybody likes to talk about how we lucked into last year, but since we are fooked this year, I guess it's all that's left to talk about. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted December 31, 2014 Share Posted December 31, 2014 For met winter so far, yeah, it has been mostly positive, but going back a bit further you see what looks like three +/- transitions during November. To your point, moving forward we look to stay positive, but there is still a fair amount of talk (Cohen) about a shift to a negative regime toward the end of January. We'll see. Im going to be plenty pissed when we get a stout -AO and -NAO in late-March through April... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NinjaWarrior2 Posted December 31, 2014 Share Posted December 31, 2014 At least it's not a cold rain. 12z GFS has DC at 65 degrees Sunday Afternoon Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted December 31, 2014 Share Posted December 31, 2014 At least it's not a cold rain. 12z GFS has DC at 65 degrees Sunday Afternoon i'm in Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kurtstack Posted December 31, 2014 Share Posted December 31, 2014 I will take nearly any weather that isn't 30s and rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlaskaETC Posted December 31, 2014 Share Posted December 31, 2014 I want -10 degree days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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