mitchnick Posted December 28, 2014 Share Posted December 28, 2014 It's not officially a storm until those indecipherable maps come out. this old man can read them I guess if they had a hashtag in front of them, you younger folk could figure them out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted December 28, 2014 Author Share Posted December 28, 2014 GFSes aren't impressed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted December 28, 2014 Share Posted December 28, 2014 GFSes aren't impressedI'm shocked Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NYCSNOWMAN2020 Posted December 28, 2014 Share Posted December 28, 2014 I'm rooting for you guys. I'm not a sour grapes person lol.. Would be nice a 1-3 /2-4 type event for you guys ..for my neck of the woods 29-30 flurries ..ooo well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted December 28, 2014 Share Posted December 28, 2014 Im with randy. Nam has zero chance to be right Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted December 28, 2014 Author Share Posted December 28, 2014 I'm shockedThanks Deb Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
T. August Posted December 28, 2014 Share Posted December 28, 2014 GFSes aren't impressed 06z will be rockin'. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted December 28, 2014 Share Posted December 28, 2014 06z will be rockin'. more like stoned Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighStakes Posted December 28, 2014 Share Posted December 28, 2014 Regardless that it's the NAM it's nice to see things perk up around here. Well that was short lived. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx Posted December 28, 2014 Share Posted December 28, 2014 For an event 2-3 days away, this could be the NAM's good range at range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted December 28, 2014 Share Posted December 28, 2014 There is zero chance the NAM is right. Zero. I'd bet my life on it. We fall into this trap every year. I don't care who gets mad. We gotta stop flogging ourselves. The NAM is a sadist. LOL...you aren't fooling anyone Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted December 28, 2014 Share Posted December 28, 2014 LOL...you aren't fooling anyone I hope not, cause I'm not trying to. But I guess that sounds cute for you to say, so... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clueless Posted December 28, 2014 Share Posted December 28, 2014 Someone correct me but didn't nam lead the way last December on 1 or 2 events . I remember euro being dry within 72 hrs of one event . Can't recall exactly though. One event, I believe. But that doesn't make me a believer. Let's take this car topper and run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lsukev Posted December 28, 2014 Share Posted December 28, 2014 The Euro is looking less pathetic. But still pathetic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterymix Posted December 28, 2014 Share Posted December 28, 2014 NAM still has very light Tuesday snow showers, with DC area closer to the precipitation axis and lighter snow showers towards the M-D line. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
high risk Posted December 28, 2014 Share Posted December 28, 2014 NAM still has very light Tuesday snow showers, with DC area closer to the precipitation axis and lighter snow showers towards the M-D line. probably not fair to call it "very light snow showers", as the simulated radar products show an organized area of "synoptic" snow, and liquid totals are still 0.10"+ over much of the area with 0.25+ just south. not saying it's correct, but while it has admittedly backed off a bit from its earlier solutions (with a weaker 500 wave), it hasn't gone to a totally weak event either Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted December 28, 2014 Share Posted December 28, 2014 I hope not, cause I'm not trying to. But I guess that sounds cute for you to say, so... just figured you were really hoping the other way Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterymix Posted December 28, 2014 Share Posted December 28, 2014 probably not fair to call it "very light snow showers", as the simulated radar products show an organized area of "synoptic" snow, and liquid totals are still 0.10"+ over much of the area with 0.25+ just south. not saying it's correct, but while it has admittedly backed off a bit from its earlier solutions (with a weaker 500 wave), it hasn't gone to a totally weak event either Ah! A red tag person gone into the battle armed with NAM. The 6z NAM has some consistency. I'm using the term very light because visibilities may not drop much in this event. The societal impacts are likely to be traffic problems. just because...people drive with bad wipers, bad brakes and bald tires. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted December 28, 2014 Share Posted December 28, 2014 Ah! A red tag person gone into the battle armed with NAM. The 6z NAM has some consistency. I'm using the term very light because visibilities may not drop much in this event. The societal impacts are likely to be traffic problems. 12z NAM will be the one to watch. 6z backed off slightly from 0z. If all we see are the lightest shades of green at every hour interval we are toast. Just my 2 cents. Still can't believe it's this hard to get a car topper but I guess those are the cards we are playing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
high risk Posted December 28, 2014 Share Posted December 28, 2014 12z NAM will be the one to watch. 6z backed off slightly from 0z. If all we see are the lightest shades of green at every hour interval we are toast. Just my 2 cents. Still can't believe it's this hard to get a car topper but I guess those are the cards we are playing. yes, still having a hard time jumping on board, as the NAM is really the only model with the stronger 500 mb solution that is required to make this happen. I would normally discount the NAM being on its own island, but the 9z SREF is still quite wet for our area, which makes me hesitant to totally write off the idea. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted December 28, 2014 Share Posted December 28, 2014 yes, still having a hard time jumping on board, as the NAM is really the only model with the stronger 500 mb solution that is required to make this happen. I would normally discount the NAM being on its own island, but the 9z SREF is still quite wet for our area, which makes me hesitant to totally write off the idea. From a red tagger that gives this event a bit of a boost. May end up nothing but at least we have some skin in the game. Thank you sir. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted December 28, 2014 Share Posted December 28, 2014 yes, still having a hard time jumping on board, as the NAM is really the only model with the stronger 500 mb solution that is required to make this happen. I would normally discount the NAM being on its own island, but the 9z SREF is still quite wet for our area, which makes me hesitant to totally write off the idea. The SREF has been pretty wet for 3 runs, and right with the NAM idea of a more northerly, robust wave. Still time. 12z runs will be telling Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eurojosh Posted December 28, 2014 Share Posted December 28, 2014 The SREF has been pretty wet for 3 runs, and right with the NAM idea of a more northerly, robust wave. Still time. 12z runs will be telling us we have nothing to track until mid-January at the earliest Fixed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted December 28, 2014 Share Posted December 28, 2014 Fixed. A classic edit sir. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ers-wxman1 Posted December 28, 2014 Share Posted December 28, 2014 I wouldn't buy into the over amped solution. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted December 28, 2014 Share Posted December 28, 2014 I wouldn't buy into the over amped solution. I don't think most of us are...if there are some flakes flying Tuesday it would be a win Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted December 28, 2014 Share Posted December 28, 2014 I wouldn't buy into the over amped solution. But might as well track it till there is zero chance. Its short lead. Not like there is anything else. The upcoming cutter insn't interesting. Pattern chasing... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eurojosh Posted December 28, 2014 Share Posted December 28, 2014 Nam'd! Different evolution, similar result... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
T. August Posted December 28, 2014 Share Posted December 28, 2014 Nam'd! Different evolution, similar result... Beat me to it lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted December 28, 2014 Author Share Posted December 28, 2014 all hail nam Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.