WxUSAF Posted December 28, 2014 Share Posted December 28, 2014 I'll give this event a 50/50 shot. It will either snow or it won't. I use the same odds with a mega millions ticket. You either win or you wont. Hmmm. Don't think that's how statistics work, but I think 50/50 is probably about right if we're talking about at least conversational snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted December 28, 2014 Share Posted December 28, 2014 Speak for yourself Present! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted December 28, 2014 Author Share Posted December 28, 2014 It's going to happen. Friggen haters. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted December 28, 2014 Share Posted December 28, 2014 0z runs...prediction? PAIN. Clubber Lang In Rocky 3 but this prophecy will apply to this situation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted December 28, 2014 Share Posted December 28, 2014 0z runs...prediction? PAIN. Clubber Lang In Rocky 3 but this prophecy will apply to this situation. How much pain could possibly be inflicted by models showing zero snow versus an inch or less. lolz Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlaskaETC Posted December 28, 2014 Share Posted December 28, 2014 If Vegas gets snow before DC does, I'm going to be pissed off. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted December 28, 2014 Share Posted December 28, 2014 Most important NAM run of the early season about to start! Should be telling. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clueless Posted December 28, 2014 Share Posted December 28, 2014 Fortunately, our crappy start to Winter, wasted 3 weeks etc etc, has produced some really nice threads. Lol. Good try Ian. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted December 28, 2014 Share Posted December 28, 2014 sref's looked pretty amped maybe too much for snow even lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted December 28, 2014 Share Posted December 28, 2014 sref's looked pretty amped maybe too much for snow even lol 0.25"+ but surface looked warm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted December 28, 2014 Author Share Posted December 28, 2014 sref's looked pretty amped maybe too much for snow even lol that's good we want them to take this to buffalo Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted December 28, 2014 Share Posted December 28, 2014 The CRAS nearly takes it to Buffalo. The fact it is this far North while not super-amped should be a red flag. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted December 28, 2014 Share Posted December 28, 2014 Ralph Wiggum posting the CRAS. Is it 2009 again? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted December 28, 2014 Share Posted December 28, 2014 NAM at 51 doesn't look like 18z 57hr...just saying Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted December 28, 2014 Share Posted December 28, 2014 Slower and looks a bit more anemic through 63HR. I don't think we'll be very excited by this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted December 28, 2014 Share Posted December 28, 2014 at 60 hrs., looks a bit slower but stouter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted December 28, 2014 Share Posted December 28, 2014 Slower and looks a bit more anemic through 63HR. I don't think we'll be very excited by this. it looked a little better to me at 60 because the precip was further west/sw of us, though it is definitely slower I guess we'll know real soon Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted December 28, 2014 Share Posted December 28, 2014 Looks fine. Couple of inches. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted December 28, 2014 Share Posted December 28, 2014 More modeled snowfall! NAM sticks to its guns giving us snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted December 28, 2014 Share Posted December 28, 2014 Apologies. I thought it looked worse comparing hour to hour from last run. Looks pretty good actually. Stoked! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted December 28, 2014 Share Posted December 28, 2014 You guys are adorable. I'm an official #hater. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted December 28, 2014 Share Posted December 28, 2014 NAM struggles to come as far north as earlier, but I wish we could get exactly what it shows tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted December 28, 2014 Share Posted December 28, 2014 Slower and looks a bit more anemic through 63HR. I don't think we'll be very excited by this. oops few inches is good enough for me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted December 28, 2014 Share Posted December 28, 2014 Here come the posts that will say the NAM sucks. is there any need for that as we all know it and this is just "Saturday night at the DeNials" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted December 28, 2014 Share Posted December 28, 2014 oops few inches is good enough for me Not as good up my way. Difference between 2 inches and flurries on the 70HR NAM is pretty meaningless, though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted December 28, 2014 Share Posted December 28, 2014 Hi-res NAM only goes out through 60 (poor us) but the sim radar suggests it supports the NAM if it were to go out past 60 hours. Boy, I must be getting desperate if I'm extrapolating the Hi-res NAM to support the NAM post 60 hours. Woo! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted December 28, 2014 Author Share Posted December 28, 2014 You guys are adorable. I'm an official #hater. Come on man the NAM is locked in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted December 28, 2014 Share Posted December 28, 2014 Here come the posts that will say the NAM sucks. The NAM sucks like a Nazgul. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted December 28, 2014 Share Posted December 28, 2014 not bad BWI http://68.226.77.253/text/NAM80km/NAM_kbwi.txt DCA http://68.226.77.253/text/NAM80km/NAM_kdca.txt IAD http://68.226.77.253/text/NAM80km/NAM_kiad.txt Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted December 28, 2014 Share Posted December 28, 2014 Come on man the NAM is locked in. I'm usually the most optimistic one in this forum. Should be telling that I'm pooing all over this. But yall go ahead. #desperation Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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