powderfreak Posted January 11, 2015 Share Posted January 11, 2015 Issue will be have and have nots. I think we see a situation where either my area or PF misses out in faster moving coastal systems. I really think the signals are very clear that snow is coming. Fits very well with developing pattern and how the Eurasian weather evolved a little later this year. Delayed but not denied Yeah I think this can't continue, and whether it's a pattern change or just luck, there's gotta be at least a moderate widespread 4-8" or 6-12" event coming for like central SNE. Sooner or later Kev, ORH, 40/70, axis has to get a warning level storm. I like your idea of fast moving coastals...climo is high enough in those interior SNE areas that sooner or later a decent event will come along. It may not be a 40"+ month, but I gotta imagine at least 20" falls in February through the heart of SNE. I'm not sure what would "salvage" winter, but my guess would be at least 2 warning criteria storms for that crew. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted January 11, 2015 Share Posted January 11, 2015 Just went back and read some of the earlier comments in this thread about expectations for January. They seem eerily similar to the current expectations for February. And Tip, you should probably stop hot-linking model maps...your posts don't make sense anymore because the images are all from current runs. This one in particular looks a little silly right now: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted January 11, 2015 Share Posted January 11, 2015 Just went back and read some of the earlier comments in this thread about expectations for January. They seem eerily similar to the current expectations for February. And Tip, you should probably stop hot-linking model maps...your posts don't make sense anymore because the images are all from current runs. This one in particular looks a little silly right now: Just goes to show how hit and miss snow can be. Its funny, we've been pretty solidly below normal temp wise, and have nothing to show for it more or less. I'm not expecting a blockbuster turnaround. Too many ways that can go wrong or simply not happen. It would be nice to salvage Feb with a few nice events though, then again, it could end up like this month, who really knows Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 11, 2015 Share Posted January 11, 2015 We can have an above normal February with snow and history still show this as a turd burger. We are so far behind already and have another two weeks of crap barring a butterfly burp somehow that changes things. I just see an extended period of stormy and cold weather starting about 1/24. Where the axis is of heavy snow is unknown Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 11, 2015 Share Posted January 11, 2015 We can have an above normal February with snow and history still show this as a turd burger. We are so far behind already and have another two weeks of crap barring a butterfly burp somehow that changes things. I just see an extended period of stormy and cold weather starting about 1/24. Where the axis is of heavy snow is unknown I agree 100%. Gotta get through wee one, cold and boring, and week two, milder and.boring, then.we have a.shot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chrisrotary12 Posted January 12, 2015 Share Posted January 12, 2015 I have been away for a few days. I see that winter has still been cancelled (although there was some nice mood snows this morning on way to train). Euro & GEM both similar in their advertisement of a parade of storms off the East Coast with seemingly everyone one of them being too far away. Will have to see how that changes and if we get lucky. But more importantly.......fill me in: Have we had the meltdowns yet? Who & when? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 12, 2015 Share Posted January 12, 2015 Well it may effect two posters, but se ma could have bouts of some light OES this week as winds sort of converge there. N winds vs NE winds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
amarshall Posted January 12, 2015 Share Posted January 12, 2015 Well it may effect two posters, but se ma could have bouts of some light OES this week as winds sort of converge there. N winds vs NE winds. hopefully me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
butterfish55 Posted January 12, 2015 Share Posted January 12, 2015 Well it may effect two posters, but se ma could have bouts of some light OES this week as winds sort of converge there. N winds vs NE winds. Cape Cod, MASSACHUSETTS? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 12, 2015 Share Posted January 12, 2015 Well it may effect two posters, but se ma could have bouts of some light OES this week as winds sort of converge there. N winds vs NE winds. Let's start a thread for it! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 12, 2015 Share Posted January 12, 2015 Cape Cod, MASSACHUSETTS? The irony is the CC is not a good place for classic OES. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted January 12, 2015 Share Posted January 12, 2015 The irony is the CC is not a good place for classic OES. It depends on which Cape Cod you are referring to, of course. Did you mean to say Cape Cod, MA? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 12, 2015 Share Posted January 12, 2015 Well it may effect two posters, but se ma could have bouts of some light OES this week as winds sort of converge there. N winds vs NE winds. This poster isn't in the least bit interested. Will be nothing here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoolMike Posted January 12, 2015 Share Posted January 12, 2015 It depends on which Cape Cod you are referring to, of course. Did you mean to say Cape Cod, MA? I must have missed something: I don't get the joke. There is only the one Cape Cod. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 12, 2015 Share Posted January 12, 2015 The pattern looks fine after about Thanks Giving, 2015 ... you folks just need to adopt a modicum of patience - Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zeus Posted January 12, 2015 Share Posted January 12, 2015 The pattern looks fine after about Thanks Giving, 2015 ... you folks just need to adopt a modicum of patience - But Thanks Giving 2015 has been canceled due to lack of gratitude. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 12, 2015 Share Posted January 12, 2015 Winter at it's finest, ball shriveling cold punctuated by quick changes to non-snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted January 12, 2015 Share Posted January 12, 2015 euro ens look mighty chilly again later in the run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 12, 2015 Share Posted January 12, 2015 euro ens look mighty chilly again later in the run. I just want something, I'll disrobe for a 3-6" event followed by 36F rain at this point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 12, 2015 Share Posted January 12, 2015 Both GEFS and EC ensembles are looking at pretty cold signals for late month today. That's a lot of ridging out west right up into the EPO region. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 12, 2015 Share Posted January 12, 2015 Weeklies were decent. Week 3 was really cold. Aleutian ridge though which is interesting. Nina-like. Week 4 sort of was muddled. Signs of higher heights near us, but also out west too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 12, 2015 Share Posted January 12, 2015 Probably one of the best weeklies yet actually. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 12, 2015 Share Posted January 12, 2015 Probably one of the best weeklies yet actually. Patience grasshopper. Hopefully right around the 24th it all begins Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 12, 2015 Share Posted January 12, 2015 Patience grasshopper. Hopefully right around the 24th it all beginsseems likely Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 12, 2015 Share Posted January 12, 2015 Cold signals are good..but I'd prefer a less cold signal and more stormy look We've seen the ens look cold several times this winter which has verified..but they never seem to signal big storminess Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 12, 2015 Share Posted January 12, 2015 Cold signals are good..but I'd prefer a less cold signal and more stormy look We've seen the ens look cold several times this winter which has verified..but they never seem to signal big storminess EC ensembles have a pretty good PNA spike around 1/25...then it retros the ridge a bit further west...but that spike around 1/25 is probably a good candidate for a storm system in our area if we wanted to take an educated WAG this far out. The GEFS are similar but the spike is a little bit later and the GEFS don't retro the ridge as much (which is actually better...I'd want to keep the very high heights around the NW territories). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 12, 2015 Share Posted January 12, 2015 This is not a discussion a snow lover likes to see between 3 well respected SNE mets CapeCodWeather.Net @capecodweather 30m30 minutes ago If ensemble guidance is right...last week of the month we go right back into the icebox. Big cold signal...again. Eric Fisher @ericfisher 26m26 minutes ago @capecodweather And also a 'no snow' signal....the worst combo ever. \ Ryan Hanrahan @ryanhanrahan 20m20 minutes ago @ericfisher @capecodweather yup... Worst ever. I'd rather 60F and a parade of winter cutters Eric Fisher @ericfisher 19m19 minutes ago @ryanhanrahan @capecodweather fact Ryan Hanrahan @ryanhanrahan 12m12 minutes ago @ericfisher @capecodweather euro weeklies drop the cold hammer week 3. Eric Fisher @ericfisher 4m4 minutes agoQueens, NY @ryanhanrahan @capecodweather sigh.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 12, 2015 Share Posted January 12, 2015 This is how you mute a torch..no AN days ASOUT Eric Fisher @ericfisher 10m 10 minutes ago #Boston well below avg temps this Jan so far. All below/near avg in fcast, then major arctic chill to end month? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 12, 2015 Share Posted January 12, 2015 Sunday looks mild, but probably about it. However, as we learned from late December, if the cold pushes into the Plains first, the risk of a cutter preceding the cold is high. Food for thought. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted January 12, 2015 Share Posted January 12, 2015 But Thanks Giving 2015 has been canceled due to lack of gratitude. Looks like the warm up may be a joke from what I see on modeling. Chances look to be some of the best of the winter when that ridging establishes itself over AK. The negative attitude toward cold without snow is absurd at it's heart. "I'd rather have it be 50-60F!" Well, einstein, it doesn't snow at those temperatures so I will hope for the cold pattern thank you very much. I guarantee people would still b1tch too so it's a lose-lose situation. I bet when it snows some of the same people will be bitching about shoveling or something. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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