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January 2015 General Discussion


Powerball

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KIND long term disco from last night.  Man these guys sound like they are distancing themselves from the long range models as far as they can. I mean is there even a forecaster involved in the forecast here?  Not that I blame them, but I just thought it was amusing.  Sounds like they are just throwing what the models say on the board in utter futility lol....

 

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
ISSUED AT 325 AM EST THU DEC 25 2014

THE INITIALIZATION FROM THE REGIONAL MODEL WILL BE ACCEPTED.
FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS HIGH MOST OF THE PERIOD. IT BECOMES
MODERATE WEDNESDAY.

EARLY IN THE PERIOD THE EUROPEAN...GFS...AND GFS ENSEMBLE MODELS ALL
HAVE THE REGIONS WEATHER CONTROLLED BY HIGH PRESSURE. THEY ALSO
FORECAST FAIRLY SIMILAR 850 MILLIBAR TEMPERATURES. WITH THEM ALL
PREDICTING ABOUT THE SAME THING...PROBABLY THAT WILL HAPPEN.


WEDNESDAY LARGER DIFFERENCES ARISE. THE DIFFERENCES ARE NOT SO
EXTREME AS TO MAKE A TOTAL DIFFERENCE IN THE WEATHER INDIANA GETS. 
*(What the ????)
STILL...THE RANGE OF POSSIBILITIES IS GREATER THAN EARLIER IN THE
WEEK

 
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KIND long term disco from last night.  Man these guys sound like they are distancing themselves from the long range models as far as they can. I mean is there even a forecaster involved in the forecast here?  Not that I blame them, but I just thought it was amusing.  Sounds like they are just throwing what the models say on the board in utter futility lol....

 

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...

ISSUED AT 325 AM EST THU DEC 25 2014

THE INITIALIZATION FROM THE REGIONAL MODEL WILL BE ACCEPTED.

FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS HIGH MOST OF THE PERIOD. IT BECOMES

MODERATE WEDNESDAY.

EARLY IN THE PERIOD THE EUROPEAN...GFS...AND GFS ENSEMBLE MODELS ALL

HAVE THE REGIONS WEATHER CONTROLLED BY HIGH PRESSURE. THEY ALSO

FORECAST FAIRLY SIMILAR 850 MILLIBAR TEMPERATURES. WITH THEM ALL

PREDICTING ABOUT THE SAME THING...PROBABLY THAT WILL HAPPEN.

WEDNESDAY LARGER DIFFERENCES ARISE. THE DIFFERENCES ARE NOT SO

EXTREME AS TO MAKE A TOTAL DIFFERENCE IN THE WEATHER INDIANA GETS. *(What the ????)

STILL...THE RANGE OF POSSIBILITIES IS GREATER THAN EARLIER IN THE

WEEK

 

I wonder if that is someone training or something.  I certainly hope so.  "...probably that will happen" :lmao:  

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Discussion from Duluth NWS, regarding the wind chills. This sounds like nearly a repeat of the dangerous wind chills last year, on nearly the same day of the year.

 

 

SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY...THIS WILL BE A BITTERLY COLD PERIOD. LOW
TEMPERATURES MONDAY MORNING WILL LIKELY BE WELL BELOW ZERO...AND
ABOUT 20 DEGREES BELOW NORMAL. NORTHWEST TO W WINDS OF 5 TO 10 MPH
SHOULD BE ENOUGH TO PRODUCE WIDESPREAD DANGEROUS WIND CHILLS. THERE
ARE EARLY INDICATIONS OF WARNING CRITERIA WIND CHILLS...ABOUT 40 TO
45 BELOW ZERO...FOR AREAS OF NE MINNESOTA ALONG AND NORTH OF HIGHWAY
2. THESE WIND WARNING CRITERIA WIND CHILLS COULD LINGER INTO THE
TIME KIDS ARE GOING TO SCHOOL MONDAY MORNING.

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Starting Sunday I might as well hibernate...  single digit highs (maybe not even that one day) and lows below 0F...showing -15F here by Weds....  we really have no snow cover, so hopefully we get something to cover up the ground.   Naefs show a return to normal by mid month or earlier, so this hopefully is short lived.   Really a stinker of a patter...no snow, cold...  plus side is we should have some sunshine with all this cold.

 

Nice day today..>Van showing 30F when i was buzzing down the interstate at highly illegal speeds :bike:

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