Chicago Storm Posted December 20, 2014 Author Share Posted December 20, 2014 12z ECMWF EPS control run takes the SLP up into C. MI, west of DTW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted December 20, 2014 Share Posted December 20, 2014 Easy to say when you're sitting right under the deformation zone. EURO and GFS have backed off slightly on the wind gust potential. Much smaller area of 50kt+ H85 winds on both models compared to yesterday's runs. Actually the overall size of the windfield seems to have decreased as well. lolololol on one run. Nice try Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted December 20, 2014 Share Posted December 20, 2014 That monster pac jet makes "landfall" tomorrow. Will be interesting to see the wind speeds and how well the models have been handling it. A few RAOB sites on the west coast of the US/Canada that we can check. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted December 20, 2014 Share Posted December 20, 2014 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted December 20, 2014 Share Posted December 20, 2014 And it's beyond annoying. Take it to the other thread or shut up just having a little fun amid the frustration....sorry for the inconvenience and pain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted December 20, 2014 Share Posted December 20, 2014 ^A lot of those are deeper/west of the op Euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Central Illinois Posted December 20, 2014 Share Posted December 20, 2014 Can anyone tell me the general area of where the swath of snow was on 12z euro? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted December 20, 2014 Author Share Posted December 20, 2014 Congrats Hawkeye on ECMWF ensemble 42. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted December 20, 2014 Share Posted December 20, 2014 Can anyone tell me the general area of where the swath of snow was on 12z euro? Northwoods snowstorm, nothing much south of those areas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted December 20, 2014 Share Posted December 20, 2014 18z NAM may try to come west. Trough digging more and slightly farther west at 60 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Central Illinois Posted December 20, 2014 Share Posted December 20, 2014 Northwoods snowstorm, nothing much south of those areas Thanks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chitown Storm Posted December 20, 2014 Share Posted December 20, 2014 Congrats Hawkeye on ECMWF ensemble 42. There's west, and then there's WEST. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Younar Posted December 20, 2014 Share Posted December 20, 2014 Northwoods snowstorm, nothing much south of those areas. ecmwf_tsnow_michigan_23.png Any chance you could zoom that out a tick to capture MSP? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted December 20, 2014 Share Posted December 20, 2014 Monster 1002 mb low Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
smoof Posted December 20, 2014 Share Posted December 20, 2014 Monster 1002 mb low USA_PRMSL_msl_084.gif Lol, this trend of a more positive tilt trough on all the latest model runs sucks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted December 20, 2014 Share Posted December 20, 2014 Congrats Hawkeye on ECMWF ensemble 42. A few of the GEFS showed Iowa getting pasted as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted December 20, 2014 Share Posted December 20, 2014 Any chance you could zoom that out a tick to capture MSP? Through the end of Christmas Day. Storm on the NAM is a dud on this run. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted December 20, 2014 Share Posted December 20, 2014 12z ECMWF EPS control run takes the SLP up into C. MI, west of DTW. How strong? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rainman Posted December 20, 2014 Share Posted December 20, 2014 This evolution does put many of us in a more favorable position for the second wave a couple days later. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted December 20, 2014 Author Share Posted December 20, 2014 This evolution does put many of us in a more favorable position for the second wave a couple days later.That wave is DOA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rainman Posted December 20, 2014 Share Posted December 20, 2014 That wave is DOA. Looks fine on the EC. Low goes right by Toledo. Better than wrapping up and lifting into the upper MS valley and extending our crapfest another few days. I'm not saying it's a lock or anything. I'm just looking for a few flakes like everyone else. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted December 20, 2014 Author Share Posted December 20, 2014 How strong?It's sub-970mb up near the Hudson. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
smoof Posted December 20, 2014 Share Posted December 20, 2014 Looks fine on the EC. Low goes right by Toledo. Better than wrapping up and lifting into the upper MS valley and extending our crapfest another few days. I'm not saying it's a lock or anything. I'm just looking for a few flakes like everyone else. I could really use a storm tracking between toledo and detroit, that's the best track for MBY, this is OT though talking about the storm after this one so i'll shut up lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted December 20, 2014 Author Share Posted December 20, 2014 Looks fine on the EC. Low goes right by Toledo. Better than wrapping up and lifting into the upper MS valley and extending our crapfest another few days. I'm not saying it's a lock or anything. I'm just looking for a few flakes like everyone else.Weak system, which weakens even further as it moves from the Plains and into the Lakes. Little in the way of precip as well.It follows too soon behind the Christmas system to end up being anything of note. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rainman Posted December 20, 2014 Share Posted December 20, 2014 Weak system, which weakens even further as it moves from the Plains and into the Lakes. Little in the way of precip as well. It follows too soon behind the Christmas system to end up being anything of note. Eh, it has a week to come in a little slower than currently progged. The potential is there and it's better than it was when it was wrapping up a low over Wisconsin. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
extremewx52 Posted December 20, 2014 Share Posted December 20, 2014 18Z GFS dumping snow in W Central Illinois at 96 hr. Gonna be a close run for Chicago folks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted December 20, 2014 Share Posted December 20, 2014 18Z GFS dumping snow in W Central Illinois at 96 hr. Gonna be a close run for Chicago folks. Slower than 12z (through 96). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonger Posted December 20, 2014 Share Posted December 20, 2014 Looks like St. Louis might get crushed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonger Posted December 20, 2014 Share Posted December 20, 2014 Chicago might be in this one still. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
extremewx52 Posted December 20, 2014 Share Posted December 20, 2014 Western suburbs of Chicago remains all snow with ~1.5 inches of QPF on the 18Z GFS. Slower solution allowing cold air to get in and precip to get thrown into the cold sector. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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