A-L-E-K Posted December 20, 2014 Share Posted December 20, 2014 to no one's surprise, the NAM is going to start off on the torchy and west side of guidance Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonger Posted December 20, 2014 Share Posted December 20, 2014 Just a tad east and Chicago gets hammered on the GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted December 20, 2014 Share Posted December 20, 2014 On 12/20/2014 at 2:56 PM, Ottawa Blizzard said: I will be in Kitchener on Christmas Eve and Christmas Day. Judging by the latest Euro, I have a reasonable chance of seeing accumulating snow on Christmas Day. Technically EURO would still give some light accums to Toronto with the reach around snow on Xmas Day. But trends are not good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted December 20, 2014 Share Posted December 20, 2014 QC-moneybags special? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ottawa Blizzard Posted December 20, 2014 Share Posted December 20, 2014 On 12/20/2014 at 2:58 PM, snowstormcanuck said: Technically EURO would still give some light accums to Toronto with the reach around snow on Xmas Day. But trends are not good. In a way, the place this storm will be true Grinch is up in Ottawa. They have a snow cover right now, and this storm will wash and melt much of it away on Christmas Eve. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimChgo9 Posted December 20, 2014 Share Posted December 20, 2014 Never thought this was going to do much for MBY, other than rain, wind, and some back-end snow flurries. It's been garbage weather ahead of this thing. Also, add to the fact that this is the first significant storm of the season, they often turn out to be rain to snow events anyway. I am sure this changes between now and Tuesday, but it has been fun to watch this thing. As a side note, TV mets calling for perhaps a "couple of inches" of snow for Wednseday. Still and all, temps going into Tuesday will be in the low 40's. Temps for Christmas Eve look to be around freezing, and falling to the low 20's, but bouncing back to just above freezing on Christmas Day. Next chance of snow looks to be Monday, with temps in the low to mid 20's from Saturday on. Oh yeah... we are on our 9th cloudy day in a row here too.... talk about garbage weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted December 20, 2014 Share Posted December 20, 2014 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted December 20, 2014 Share Posted December 20, 2014 On 12/20/2014 at 3:49 PM, A-L-E-K said: I bet you've been waiting all winter to post that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted December 20, 2014 Share Posted December 20, 2014 Can't wait to see that hot dog gif Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted December 20, 2014 Share Posted December 20, 2014 White towel time. Christmas with a few windblown LES induced +SHSN is all I ask for. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted December 20, 2014 Share Posted December 20, 2014 On 12/20/2014 at 3:56 PM, BuffaloWeather said: Can't wait to see that hot dog gif saving it for the 0z NAM run showing 2' for moneyman Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted December 20, 2014 Share Posted December 20, 2014 STL looks like it gets smoked. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted December 20, 2014 Share Posted December 20, 2014 No west shift on this run at least, sounds good for the likes of St. Louis, Chicago and Milwaukee. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted December 20, 2014 Share Posted December 20, 2014 On 12/20/2014 at 4:03 PM, wisconsinwx said: No west shift on this run at least, sounds good for the likes of St. Louis, Chicago and Milwaukee. *Maybe* a touch west at the sfc. More noticeable shift west with the ul features. And quite a bit slower. Ugly warm tongue for Chicago at 102-108. But the good stuff is only a few miles away. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kaner88 Posted December 20, 2014 Share Posted December 20, 2014 On 12/20/2014 at 4:06 PM, snowstormcanuck said: *Maybe* a touch west at the sfc. More noticeable shift west with the ul features. And quite a bit slower. Ugly warm tongue for Chicago at 102-108. But the good stuff is only a few miles away. Heck of a gradient in north Illinois. Chicago gets nothing while north-central Illinois is surpassing the 1' mark, per Instant weather maps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ILSNOW Posted December 20, 2014 Share Posted December 20, 2014 pretty impressive clown maps off 12z GFShttp://www.instantweathermaps.com/GFS-php/showmap-conussfc.php?run=2014122012&time=PER&var=ASNOWI&hour=114 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brewers Posted December 20, 2014 Share Posted December 20, 2014 The overall track of the low reminds me somewhat of Dec 1987, although we have more northerly movement as the low occludes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted December 20, 2014 Share Posted December 20, 2014 On 12/20/2014 at 4:10 PM, Kaner88 said: Heck of a gradient in north Illinois. Chicago gets nothing while north-central Illinois is surpassing the 1' mark, per Instant weather maps. Looks like the city proper gets into some half decent wrap-around snows beyond 108. But yeah, the real damage is just to the west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted December 20, 2014 Share Posted December 20, 2014 It's a little west , little wetter and a little warmer. 12" gradient from Geos to LaSalle/Peru. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted December 20, 2014 Share Posted December 20, 2014 it's not done trending west Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RCNYILWX Posted December 20, 2014 Share Posted December 20, 2014 On 12/20/2014 at 4:06 PM, snowstormcanuck said: *Maybe* a touch west at the sfc. More noticeable shift west with the ul features. And quite a bit slower. Ugly warm tongue for Chicago at 102-108. But the good stuff is only a few miles away. Western half to 1/3 of our CWA gets a paste bomb on this run. Definitely a warm layer wrapped over immediate Chicago proper for a time. Quite the thermal gradient. +10 at 850 over IND and -4 over DVN/MLI at 12z Weds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted December 20, 2014 Share Posted December 20, 2014 On 12/20/2014 at 4:10 PM, ILSNOW said: pretty impressive clown maps off 12z GFS http://www.instantweathermaps.com/GFS-php/showmap-conussfc.php?run=2014122012&time=PER&var=ASNOWI&hour=114 Geos screwhole...toss it. That'd be a fun solution though. The drive to big snows would be short for some. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted December 20, 2014 Share Posted December 20, 2014 On 12/20/2014 at 4:14 PM, A-L-E-K said: it's not done trending west You really should start your own board, Debbie Downer Central. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted December 20, 2014 Share Posted December 20, 2014 On 12/20/2014 at 4:14 PM, A-L-E-K said: it's not done trending west You're golden. Enjoy. And pics please. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmc76 Posted December 20, 2014 Share Posted December 20, 2014 On 12/20/2014 at 4:16 PM, wisconsinwx said: You really should start your own board, Debbie Downer Central. He's not wrong. It's not done trending west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
huronicane Posted December 20, 2014 Share Posted December 20, 2014 It's going to be a nail biter. Hoping I don't get stuck in MSP on Christmas Eve. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonger Posted December 20, 2014 Share Posted December 20, 2014 On 12/20/2014 at 3:57 PM, snowstormcanuck said: White towel time. Christmas with a few windblown LES induced +SHSN is all I ask for. Ontario was never in this one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted December 20, 2014 Share Posted December 20, 2014 On 12/20/2014 at 4:17 PM, dmc76 said: He's not wrong. It's not done trending west. It may not be, but we really haven't seen many western solutions on the table with GFS or Euro Ensembles yet, so I'm not cliff jumping. Also, easy for you to say as Detroiters are already SOL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonger Posted December 20, 2014 Share Posted December 20, 2014 Frozen puddle and dusting Christmas morning for most, the classic SE quadrant storm scenario. What really sucks is that all of the lower peninsula looks screwed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted December 20, 2014 Share Posted December 20, 2014 On 12/20/2014 at 4:17 PM, dmc76 said: He's not wrong. It's not done trending west. Even if it doesn't trend further west, it's pretty clear that many of us will have to deal with the warm tongue of death and then rely on iffy wrap-around snows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.