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bluewave

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todays ao forecast is better than yesterday and continue to be up and down every day...if the ao drops to -4 chances are good for a major storm or cold outbreak...sooner or later the cold will catch up with the moisture...some el nino winters have a lot of down time when you consider snowstorms...1968-69 went almost two months between snowstorms and the first one was a fluke backside event...February and early March had all the action...1994-95 had action in February...I still think February could be a great month...

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lowest daily winter ao value since 1950...I hope I didn't miss a date...Weather at the time for NYC...
season.......value.....date.....
1949-50......-2.854.....3/15/50......1.4" 3/14...record cold the beginning of the month...
1950-51......-4.353.....12/27/50....3" snow 12/27 and 9 degrees...the biggest snow and coldest temperature of the winter...
1951-52......-3.805.....3/4/1952....4" snow 3/2...
1952-53......-3.766.....12/27/52....12 degrees is the coldest temp. of the season...3" snow 12/31...
1953-54......-3.495.....1/30/54......cold continues...Cold snowy January...
1954-55......-3.064.....1/4/55........cold continues...
1955-56......-4.564.....2/15/56......1.4" 2/17 and 2/22...Big March snows...KU...
1956-57......-4.473.....2/21/57......2.6" snow 3/1...
1957-58......-4.030.....3/11/58......snow storms 3/14 and 3/21...KU event...
1958-59......-4.026.....1/7/59........cold continues...

1959-60......-4.108.....1/28/60......18 degrees 2/3 is the coldest temp for Feb...Big March cold and snow...KU...
1960-61......-2.719.....1/10/61......greatest snowy and cold period followed 1/15-2/12...three KU's...
1961-62......-4.417.....3/4/62........record cold 3/2 and the Ash Wednesday storm 3/6...
1962-63......-5.010.....1/21/63......Near record cold 1/23 and 4" snow 1/26...Biggest snow of the season...
1963-64......-4.470.....12/20/63....1.4" 12/18...6.6" 12/23-24...11 degrees 12/20 coldest for that month...January Blizzard...KU...
1964-65......-3.973.....1/26/65......ice storm 1/24 and continued cold...
1965-66......-5.130.....1/28/66......8 degrees is the coldest temp. of the season 1/28...Ku storm 7" on 1/30...
1966-67......-4.147.....12/13/66....wet snow and rain 12/13-14 is the start of two weeks of snow and cold...7" snow 12/24-25...
1967-68......-3.490.....2/7/68........8 degrees 2/11...Cold and dry continues...
1968-69......-5.282.....2/13/69......17 degrees 2/17 is the coldest temp for the month...15" of snow 2/9-10...KU...

1969-70......-6.365.....3/5/70........20 degrees 3/10 coldest temp for the month...4" of snow 3/29...
1970-71......-2.821.....2/6/71........12 degrees max 2/2...
1972-73......-2.044.....12/17/72...24 degrees max 12/17...
1973-74......-2.792.....12/19/73...big ice storm 12/16-17...17 degrees 12/19 is the coldest temp of the month...
1974-75......-1.695.....12/18/74...some minor cold in a mild month...one of the few times the weather was benign at the ao minimum...
1975-76......-3.262.....1/24/76......-1 degrees 1/23 is the coldest temp of the winter...1" of snow 1/23...
1976-77......-7.433.....1/15/77......-2 degrees on the 17th is the coldest temp of the winter...5" snow 1/14-15...
1977-78......-5.291.....2/5/78........10 degrees 2/5 is the coldest temperature of the season...18" snow 2/6-7...KU...
1978-79......-4.387.....1/25/79......Very cold and snowy February...KU...

1979-80......-3.705.....1/24/80......continued cold and dry...longest stretch of cold that winter...
1980-81......-4.318.....3/4/81........largest snowfall for the winter...8.6" 3/5...
1981-82......-3.804.....12/30/81...January 1982 was very cold and snowy...
1982-83......-3.410.....2/6/83........4" of snow 2/6 and 18" 2/11-12...KU...
1983-84......-3.706.....3/13/84......record cold 3/10...7" snow 3/8-9...
1984-85......-6.226.....1/19/85.....-2 degrees 1/21 is the coldest temperature that winter...4.1" 1/17...1" 1/20...
1985-86......-3.894......2/6/86.......4.5" of snow 2/7 and 2/11...Snowiest period of the winter...
1986-87......-3.507.....3/9/87........2" snow 3/12...Near record cold 3/10...
1987-88......-2.314.....2/28/88......0.6" 2/27 is the last measurable snow...Thawing after...
1988-89......-0.318.....3/4/89........2.5" 3/6 and near record cold 3/7...

1989-90......-3.482.....12/10/89...One of the coldest Decembers on record...
1990-91......-3.381.....3/9/91.......24 degrees 3/12...benign after that...
1991-92......-2.597.....12/4/91.....0.7" 12/5...benign after that...
1992-93......-2.228.....3/2/93.......Super storm 3/13...Near record cold followed...KU...
1993-94......-3.503.....2/24/94.....2.6" 2/23...12 degrees 2/27...Feb KU...
1994-95......-3.116.....3/9/95.......20 degrees 3/10 is the coldest temp for the month...KU in Feb...
1995-96......-4.353.....12/19/95...8" of snow during a very cold period...January blizzard..KU...
1996-97......-3.377.....12/30/96...11 degrees New Years Day....
1997-98......-4.269.....1/10/98.....14 degrees New Years day...Coldest of the winter...
1998-99......-3.856.....3/10/99......5" snow 3/14-15...17 degrees 3/8 is the coldest temp for the month...

1999-00......-2.118.....2/18/00......3" snow and ice 2/22...KU in January...
2000-01......-4.854.....2/25/01......6" snow 2/22 and 17 degrees...coldest for the month...
2001-02......-3.293.....12/28/01...Coldest period of the winter followed but benign...
2002-03......-3.575.....1/22/03......7 degrees 1/24 is the coldest for the winter...KU in February...
2003-04......-4.387.....1/17/04......1 degree 1/16 is the coldest temp of the season...6" of snow 1/15...Dec. KU...
2004-05......-4.337.....2/26/05......6" of snow 2/25 and 8" 2/29...KU in January...
2005-06......-3.569.....12/5/05......2" snow 12/4...1" 12/6 and 6" 12/9...14 degrees 12/14 is the coldest temp of the season...KU in Feb...
2006-07......-2.184.....2/4/07........8 degrees 2/5 is the coldest for the winter...
2007-08......-2.468.....1/2/08........12 degrees 1/3 second coldest of the winter...
2008-09......-3.178.....2/3/09........4.3" 2/5 12 degrees...

2009-10......-5.821.....12/21/09...11" snow 12/19-20...KU...16 degrees 12/18 is the coldest for the month...
2010-11......-5.172.....12/18/10...20" of snow 12/26-27...23 max on 12/14..

2011-12......-3.451.....01/28/12...4.3" of snow 1/21...Biggest of the season...

2012-13......-5.688.....03/20/13...3.0" of snow 3/18 and continued cold...

2013-14......-2.605.....01/27/14...5 degrees 1/22...11" of snow 1/21...21 max 1/28...

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^^^^^^^^^Great stats as usual Uncle.

 

We came really close to 6 inches in early February 1985 following that very impressive

-AO plunge with the record Arctic outbreak. But the La Nina pattern

was too much to overcome for a more significant snow event.

 

NYC

Feb 2,1985.........4.3 inches.

Feb 5-6,1985......5.7 inches.

 

1985 1 17 -4.895

1985 1 18 -5.693

1985 1 19 -6.226

1985 1 20 -5.581

1985 1 21 -4.224

1985 1 22 -2.916

1985 1 23 -2.175

1985 1 24 -1.791

1985 1 25 -1.765

1985 1 26 -1.843

1985 1 27 -1.908

1985 1 28 -1.656

1985 1 29 -1.258

1985 1 30 -0.766

1985 1 31 -0.275

1985 2 1 -0.488

1985 2 2 -1.502

1985 2 3 -1.968

1985 2 4 -1.905

1985 2 5 -2.345

1985 2 6 -3.310

NYC got 4.1" on Jan. 17th, 1985...another inch on the 19th with below zero temps...

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January 21st, 1985 was the most impressive display of Arctic sea smoke that I ever saw on the Atlantic south of Long Beach.

I saw steam rising from the Narrows in January 1985 and Christmas 1980...1985 and 1981 had very mild second halves of February...when the ao goes below -5 big things happen...Not so much in March only because it is so late in the season...

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