Whineminster Posted December 24, 2014 Share Posted December 24, 2014 I smelled a rat a long time ago,something fishy about Dan Oh he's just rabble rousing like I've been the past few days...just helps us get through these doldrums, although looks like the trade winds will catch us in a week or so and all will expose themselves on the upper deck Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Boston Bulldog Posted December 24, 2014 Share Posted December 24, 2014 That is pretty much your classic textbook 07-08 SWFE type event Very similar to February 2014 as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted December 24, 2014 Share Posted December 24, 2014 FWIW, GEM has a nice moderate snow event in SNE in the 30-31st timeframe. That period looks interesting to me. Cold should be locked in at that point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted December 24, 2014 Share Posted December 24, 2014 Really would be nice to get something favorable in this period. It would be nice to finally see a legit snow event. Its all going to come down to timing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 24, 2014 Share Posted December 24, 2014 Early Christmas present on the Euro tonight with a pretty sizeable snow event on Dec 30-31...it went back to trying to show two events...but that first one on Dec 29-30 gets strung out and almost gets morphed into the 2nd one. I doubt it plays out like that. Already said it a bunch of times, but worth repeating...get used to the model chaos of 100 different versions of this setup. Fast flow, multiple shortwaves in a gradient pattern. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 24, 2014 Share Posted December 24, 2014 Early Christmas present on the Euro tonight with a pretty sizeable snow event on Dec 30-31...it went back to trying to show two events...but that first one on Dec 29-30 gets strung out and almost gets morphed into the 2nd one. I doubt it plays out like that. Already said it a bunch of times, but worth repeating...get used to the model chaos of 100 different versions of this setup. Fast flow, multiple shortwaves in a gradient pattern. it's exactly what we hoped for, first system drags down the boundary, cold air establishes,second system organizes and boom. Now let's get this under 96, patience grasshoppers Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 24, 2014 Share Posted December 24, 2014 it's exactly what we hoped for, first system drags down the boundary, cold air establishes,second system organizes and boom. Now let's get this under 96, patience grasshoppers Yes, I'd much prefer the dominant system to be Dec 30-31. But even on this run, the James Bay shortwave is pretty impressive so the leading s/w is cold enough for snow too. But our risk of cutting the storm is certainly less if we can keep the main show later. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 24, 2014 Share Posted December 24, 2014 Yes, I'd much prefer the dominant system to be Dec 30-31. But even on this run, the James Bay shortwave is pretty impressive so the leading s/w is cold enough for snow too. But our risk of cutting the storm is certainly less if we can keep the main show later. pretty tightrope but that's how we do it best.lol it will change mucho but very nice to see. Dan 123456789 will be happy Navgem concurs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 24, 2014 Share Posted December 24, 2014 Happy balls cold New Year Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 24, 2014 Share Posted December 24, 2014 pretty tightrope but that's how we do it best.lol it will change mucho but very nice to see. Dan 123456789 will be happy Navgem concurs Good 00z suite for the OP model solution fetish crowd. All major OP model runs showed decent snow events tonight with the exception of the Ukie. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 24, 2014 Share Posted December 24, 2014 nice look, confidence growing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted December 24, 2014 Share Posted December 24, 2014 Dec 19-21 2008? Early Christmas present on the Euro tonight with a pretty sizeable snow event on Dec 30-31...it went back to trying to show two events...but that first one on Dec 29-30 gets strung out and almost gets morphed into the 2nd one. I doubt it plays out like that. Already said it a bunch of times, but worth repeating...get used to the model chaos of 100 different versions of this setup. Fast flow, multiple shortwaves in a gradient pattern. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 24, 2014 Share Posted December 24, 2014 Man--that's cold on the Euro come New Year's. I think that only one ball is going to drop that night. 35.7/35, ugh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jamesnichols89 Posted December 24, 2014 Share Posted December 24, 2014 I agree with Will's assessment of the EURO tonight. Should be an interesting next couple of days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 24, 2014 Share Posted December 24, 2014 Nice wake up gift on the guidance overnight. Winters on the doorstep but we have spring showers and warmth between now and then. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 24, 2014 Share Posted December 24, 2014 And yet BOX says no and it's only a light event from the Pike south lol.. Wonder if they looked at yesterdays models Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 24, 2014 Share Posted December 24, 2014 And yet BOX says no and it's only a light event from the Pike south lol.. Wonder if they looked at yesterdays models Kevin--they caveat that with the fact that it is several days away and that their confidence level is "low". As such, I think they're covering all possibilities pretty well with that. Merry Christmas, Weenies. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 24, 2014 Share Posted December 24, 2014 Anyone slam dunking a cutter or a snowstorm for New Years could end up with egg on their face. I would not rule out anything right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 24, 2014 Share Posted December 24, 2014 In any case, overall guidance suggests Leon wants to make at e very least a cameo appearance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted December 24, 2014 Share Posted December 24, 2014 Yes, I'd much prefer the dominant system to be Dec 30-31. But even on this run, the James Bay shortwave is pretty impressive so the leading s/w is cold enough for snow too. But our risk of cutting the storm is certainly less if we can keep the main show later. Dec 19-21 set up? 2 storms close together connected by 24 hours of very light snow? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 24, 2014 Share Posted December 24, 2014 Dec 19-21 2008? I wish. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 24, 2014 Share Posted December 24, 2014 Dec 19-21 set up? 2 storms close together connected by 24 hours of very light snow? 2008? Not sure of those dates. Thought 08 was a few days earlier. I think I ended up with over a foot total. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 24, 2014 Share Posted December 24, 2014 2008? Not sure of those dates. Thought 08 was a few days earlier. I think I ended up with over a foot total. Yea, I had a 21" cumulative total. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted December 24, 2014 Share Posted December 24, 2014 2008? Not sure of those dates. Thought 08 was a few days earlier. I think I ended up with over a foot total. Actually up here it was a 5 inches on like the 17th I think, then a 12 incher on the 19th, a period of very light continuous snow on the 20th and 14 inches on the 21st. Will had mentioned wanting consolidation to one shortwave, but models seem to be indicating possibility of 2. Dec 08 with a Nina SWFE set up I think. It was my first storm (afterte ice storm) after moving up here. Twas awesome welcome. Neither GYX nor BOX are enthused at all about Sunday, but indicate Monday night/Tuesday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 24, 2014 Share Posted December 24, 2014 Yea, I had a 21" cumulative total. Just checked....BOS had close to 19 combined. That was a good winter with one bad month per recollection. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 24, 2014 Share Posted December 24, 2014 Just checked....BOS had close to 19 combined. That was a good winter with one bad month per recollection. Yea, that was the 2nd installment in what turned out to be a series of awful months of March. We had essentially one bonafide event that month on March 1-2....the JJ Foley's "dump in pants" event. haha The one in which the local media was calling for like 20", despite the mid levels going west....morons. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 24, 2014 Author Share Posted December 24, 2014 This is one of, if not the worst December ever. Sure it's been warmer and less snow (although not by much), but man this constant marine puke of 40 and drizzle is horrible. Just an all out horror show. Thank the heavens the sun will be out tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 24, 2014 Share Posted December 24, 2014 This is one of, if not the worst December ever. Sure it's been warmer and less snow (although not by much), but man this constant marine puke of 40 and drizzle is horrible. Just an all out horror show. Thank the heavens the sun will be out tomorrow. The beast to your east has just pillaged you this month. You are broken Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 24, 2014 Author Share Posted December 24, 2014 The beast to your east has just pillaged you this month. You are broken What does that have to do with clouds? It's been cloudy everywhere. Only social misfits and 40yr olds living in basements logging onto Mr. Skin every night enjoy this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 24, 2014 Share Posted December 24, 2014 This is one of, if not the worst December ever. Sure it's been warmer and less snow (although not by much), but man this constant marine puke of 40 and drizzle is horrible. Just an all out horror show. Thank the heavens the sun will be out tomorrow. I agree with you. This is the worst December that I can recall. I guess "worst" and "worse" are subjective terms and it just depends on what a given individual values. Obviously we all want snow and cold; however if I am not getting snow, then I, personally, I would prefer nice weather in association with a pattern that is not going to be tantalizing as hell. In simplistic terms, if a month is not going to feature snow, then: 1) I want to be comfortable 2) I do not want to be teased with faux potential that is never realized...ie thirtysomething degree rainers, and/or cold, dry surpression. This December has been laden with the former more than any that I can readily recall, which renders this the worst December in memory for me. Yes, worse than months like December 2006, which was a month filled with "nice", comfortable weather and confidence that it just wasn't going to snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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