mahk_webstah Posted December 22, 2014 Share Posted December 22, 2014 And Euro puts the damper in 5...4...3..2..1? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zeus Posted December 22, 2014 Share Posted December 22, 2014 And Euro puts the damper in 5...4...3..2..1? That would fall in line with the natural order of things as far as headcanon is concerned, but we will wait and see, non? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted December 22, 2014 Share Posted December 22, 2014 That would fall in line with the natural order of things as far as headcanon is concerned, but we will wait and see, non? Qui Monsieur, just trying to stay a step ahead of the disappointment. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 22, 2014 Share Posted December 22, 2014 I sure like the chances coming up, Some cold, And some storms possibly, Right now we need the cold Nice look with a battleground over the northeast and New England...almost gradient like. Very cold air lurking north in Canada, and milder air down in the mid-Atlantic....lows approaching from the south/west, we'd have our good chances. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 22, 2014 Share Posted December 22, 2014 Nice look with a battleground over the northeast and New England...almost gradient like. Very cold air lurking north in Canada, and milder air down in the mid-Atlantic....lows approaching from the south/west, we'd have our good chances. The juice will be there, Yeah i like those 492 thicknesses near by Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
danstorm Posted December 22, 2014 Share Posted December 22, 2014 Nice look with a battleground over the northeast and New England...almost gradient like. Very cold air lurking north in Canada, and milder air down in the mid-Atlantic....lows approaching from the south/west, we'd have our good chances. Gradient seems too far north for us NYC-folk. So close you can almost touch it... or acquiesce and book a family ski trip to Smuggs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
J Paul Gordon Posted December 22, 2014 Share Posted December 22, 2014 12z GEM puts snow on the ground for most of us for New Year's (and yes, I know it is over a week out and that you should never trust that model--still fun to look at) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 22, 2014 Share Posted December 22, 2014 12z GEM puts snow on the ground for most of us for New Year's (and yes, I know it is over a week out and that you should never trust that model--still fun to look at) It actually gave us two snow events...it was snow for us on the 12/28-29 event too, though I'm still skeptical of that one. I think that one will cut west of us since it's almost like the 12/27 event but delayed a day or so...the original 12/27 event is so weak and far NW that a new one forms on the front before it passes us. I do think the 12/30-31 event is still on the table. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 22, 2014 Author Share Posted December 22, 2014 Euro is a nice snow event for NNE and down to even HUbby. Mix to snow for the rest. on the 28-29. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 22, 2014 Author Share Posted December 22, 2014 Although it's in a precarious spot like Will said. Again suppression is not my worry for sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zeus Posted December 22, 2014 Share Posted December 22, 2014 Euro is a nice snow event for NNE and down to even HUbby. Mix to snow for the rest. on the 28-29. Mix to snow? Interesting. More interested in the period beyond that system, though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted December 22, 2014 Share Posted December 22, 2014 Re the statements I made earlier wrt the EPO: It occurs to me ... the CDC had a "teleconnector outage" that lasted a week or so around Thanks Giggedy. When the site came back on line with updates ... the index was rather chaotic for several days, assuming giant values of PNA followed by comparatively negative ... switching almost nightly. The EPO and NAO were also wildly handled - tho not as extreme. Then, only in the last week the index looked tamer/more reasonable and coherent. I am wondering last night's flip-o-rino might not be related to some of that noise still rattling around in however it is exactly they calculate (if perhaps conserving previous signals to some degree) their EOFs Tonight's computations might be interesting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 22, 2014 Share Posted December 22, 2014 Euro is a nice snow event for NNE and down to even HUbby. Mix to snow for the rest. on the 28-29. Kind of pulled a GGEM there in squashing it enough for be a mainly frozen event...esp pike north. I tghink even BOS would finish with a good hit of snow on that after rain initially. Anyways, 7 days out and that one is still a longshot to me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 22, 2014 Share Posted December 22, 2014 12z Euro has a nice storm on the 29th Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 22, 2014 Share Posted December 22, 2014 The JUJU of a SNE GTG should never be underestimated. Lol. Good 12 Z runs for sure. Lets do this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 22, 2014 Share Posted December 22, 2014 Euro is a nice snow event for NNE and down to even HUbby. Mix to snow for the rest. on the 28-29. Yeah nice CNE jack with lighter snows north and rain changing to snow south. The threat at least remains viable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted December 22, 2014 Share Posted December 22, 2014 Euro is a nice snow event for NNE and down to even HUbby. Mix to snow for the rest. on the 28-29. Burlington? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted December 22, 2014 Share Posted December 22, 2014 The synoptic QPF chart for the 12z GFS looks like a solid 1-2" snow event between the Pike and Rt poop for 2nite. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 22, 2014 Author Share Posted December 22, 2014 Burlington? Yeah looked good there. Are you going up there? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 22, 2014 Share Posted December 22, 2014 Although it's in a precarious spot like Will said. Again suppression is not my worry for sure. Definitely not in coastal SNE in this pattern. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 22, 2014 Author Share Posted December 22, 2014 Kind of pulled a GGEM there in squashing it enough for be a mainly frozen event...esp pike north. I tghink even BOS would finish with a good hit of snow on that after rain initially. Anyways, 7 days out and that one is still a longshot to me. Yeah it could easily go the other way for sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 22, 2014 Author Share Posted December 22, 2014 Mix to snow? Interesting. More interested in the period beyond that system, though. That's there as well. Weenies crossed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 22, 2014 Share Posted December 22, 2014 Stupid euro would put BOS above normal for December...lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 22, 2014 Share Posted December 22, 2014 Well if the 28th don't work out we will have the NY one that the 12z Euro is cooking up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 22, 2014 Share Posted December 22, 2014 Burlington? Coming up to this neck of the woods? New Year's in BTV is awesome. Great vibe. Euro verbatim is a nice Advisory snow there. Just nice to see a threat continued. Something will happen in that time frame it looks like... whether its the 28th, 29th, 30th, 31st. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 22, 2014 Share Posted December 22, 2014 Yeah it could easily go the other way for sure. Given the bulk of the SE ridge, I'd favor much further NW at the moment. I wouldn't be shocked if the entire wave cut W of New England...but on today's 12z guidance so far it is getting a lot of help from some big confluence in Quebec due to that shortwave moving east from James Bay...so perhaps that trend is real. We probably won't know for another couple runs if it is or not. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 22, 2014 Share Posted December 22, 2014 Coming up to this neck of the woods? New Year's in BTV is awesome. Great vibe. Euro verbatim is a nice Advisory snow there. Just nice to see a threat continued. Something will happen in that time frame it looks like... whether its the 28th, 29th, 30th, 31st. And it looks to be just cold enough as well for what falls to be snow mainly for some Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted December 22, 2014 Share Posted December 22, 2014 Yeah looked good there. Are you going up there? I might dude. I have a few days off next week and what better way to spend it than chasing around frozen water. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 22, 2014 Share Posted December 22, 2014 And it looks to be just cold enough as well for what falls to be snow mainly for some Something juicy coming out of the Gulf at day 9. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted December 22, 2014 Share Posted December 22, 2014 Coming up to this neck of the woods? New Year's in BTV is awesome. Great vibe. Euro verbatim is a nice Advisory snow there. Just nice to see a threat continued. Something will happen in that time frame it looks like... whether its the 28th, 29th, 30th, 31st. Yeah, i love BTV. Advisory snow though? Meh. Ain't riding up there for that. Although y'alls advisory snow is like a super duper warning snow down here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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