ORH_wxman Posted December 18, 2014 Share Posted December 18, 2014 The Jan 15th OTS storm would have killed this board The Jan 15th OTS storm would have killed this board No, missing White Juan in mid Feb 2004 would have killed. The 1/15 storm we actually all got some snow in down in SNE. I think I had about 2 inches. It was a clipper system...the max was down south in NJ/NYC/PHL area, but it wasn't like we missed a 12"+ storm...though I'm sure plenty would have complained they didn't get the 7-8 inches of feathers on 0.25" of QPF that they got. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 18, 2014 Share Posted December 18, 2014 although Kev to me got a foot to 10 inches in this one, it shat the bed last minute. I'd take my chances with 04 for sure Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 18, 2014 Share Posted December 18, 2014 No, missing White Juan in mid Feb 2004 would have killed. The 1/15 storm we actually all got some snow in down in SNE. I think I had about 2 inches. It was a clipper system...the max was down south in NJ/NYC/PHL area, but it wasn't like we missed a 12"+ storm...though I'm sure plenty would have complained they didn't get the 7-8 inches of feathers on 0.25" of QPF that they got. Feb 04 sucked balls, normal temps with 3 inches of snow, Jan 15th was progged to blow up but didn't Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted December 18, 2014 Share Posted December 18, 2014 Miserable month. I'd rather a torch Not my favorite, but having consecutive days with afternoon highs of -11 and -8 (with wind) was memorable, as were the 15-ft icicles hanging from 3 sides of Augusta's talles building after a water pipe froze/broke during one of those bitter nights. And the meager 7.7" snow is now only the 3rd lowest of my 17 yr here, worsted by 2013 and 2014. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 18, 2014 Share Posted December 18, 2014 Not my favorite, but having consecutive days with afternoon highs of -11 and -8 (with wind) was memorable, as were the 15-ft icicles hanging from 3 sides of Augusta's talles building after a water pipe froze/broke during one of those bitter nights. And the meager 7.7" snow is now only the 3rd lowest of my 17 yr here, worsted by 2013 and 2014. how did you do Jan 77 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 18, 2014 Share Posted December 18, 2014 interesting GEFS clusters from 12Z fully 65% now place a 980ish LP pretty much directly over NYC with a big switch with the remaining 35% in the lakes, interesting trends for sure, better news for ski country. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted December 18, 2014 Share Posted December 18, 2014 ec ensembles are damn cold after day 10...that's a pretty frigid look with the PV just getting stronger at the end of the run. lolthe EPO tanks and stays there Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted December 18, 2014 Share Posted December 18, 2014 interesting GEFS clusters from 12Z fully 70% now place a 980ish LP pretty much directly over NYC while a big switch with the remaining 10% in the lakes, interesting trends for sure, better news for ski country.deep SE flow ahead of it screws everyone... there isn't much snow with the system overall Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 18, 2014 Share Posted December 18, 2014 deep SE flow ahead of it screws everyone... there isn't much snow with the system overall Ski country and trends, long ways to go Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 18, 2014 Share Posted December 18, 2014 great upslope signal for Christmas day to refresh the areas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 18, 2014 Share Posted December 18, 2014 great upslope signal for Christmas day to refresh the areas. 18z GFS has some decent backside westerly flow upslope. Hammers the west slopes of the Adirondacks actually. As long as we can get a few inches on the backside we'll be good. Today's 2-4" of like sand/graupel made a world of difference and you pretty much couldn't tell it rained yesterday. Heck I've picked up an inch of snow in the last 3-4 hours at home as light snow continues. Hopefully we can hone in some upslope behind the low to keep it looking and feeling wintery and festive for all the tourists. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hazey Posted December 18, 2014 Share Posted December 18, 2014 Jan 2004 was decent here. I'd take that again in a heartbeat. Then feb of course. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 18, 2014 Author Share Posted December 18, 2014 More food for thought, many times the snow doesn't come when the pattern immediately switches, it comes when it tries to wax or wane a bit. So, if within 5 days it does not snow, please do not complain. I can see that happening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 19, 2014 Share Posted December 19, 2014 That's such a strong PV over Hudson Bay on the D13-15 Euro ensembles...I'm not sure I've ever seen it strengthen that fast that far out...should be interesting to track. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 19, 2014 Author Share Posted December 19, 2014 That's such a strong PV over Hudson Bay on the D13-15 Euro ensembles...I'm not sure I've ever seen it strengthen that fast that far out...should be interesting to track. Yeah no kidding. Right down to 498 decameters. Jesus. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
leo1000 Posted December 19, 2014 Share Posted December 19, 2014 Yeah no kidding. Right down to 498 decameters. Jesus. Is that colder than last winter around this time. Are we gettting siberian cold or more arctic cold?. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 19, 2014 Share Posted December 19, 2014 More food for thought, many times the snow doesn't come when the pattern immediately switches, it comes when it tries to wax or wane a bit. So, if within 5 days it does not snow, please do not complain. I can see that happening. Good point to make...prep for the inevitable "its cold out now but its still not snowing dammit" type posts. I'd say the first threat will come after that initial push of cold air inundates the midwest and eastern US, then relaxes a little like you said. Initially the cold delivery will likely be enough to squash any shortwave that tries to amplify, until the atmosphere rebounds a bit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 19, 2014 Author Share Posted December 19, 2014 Good point to make...prep for the inevitable "its cold out now but its still not snowing dammit" type posts. I'd say the first threat will come after that initial push of cold air inundates the midwest and eastern US, then relaxes a little like you said. Initially the cold delivery will likely be enough to squash any shortwave that tries to amplify, until the atmosphere rebounds a bit. It wouldn't surprise me if that happened. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 19, 2014 Share Posted December 19, 2014 Good point to make...prep for the inevitable "its cold out now but its still not snowing dammit" type posts. I'd say the first threat will come after that initial push of cold air inundates the midwest and eastern US, then relaxes a little like you said. Initially the cold delivery will likely be enough to squash any shortwave that tries to amplify, until the atmosphere rebounds a bit.yeah guaranteed you wouldn't make a where is the snow post,lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 19, 2014 Share Posted December 19, 2014 Is that colder than last winter around this time. Are we gettting siberian cold or more arctic cold?. 32F is 32F, no? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 19, 2014 Share Posted December 19, 2014 yeah guaranteed you wouldn't make a where is the snow post,lol I just wanted to make sure you were prepared for what's coming up if it doesn't snow immediately, Ginxy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
leo1000 Posted December 19, 2014 Share Posted December 19, 2014 32F is 32F, no? True oh well we don't need siberian cold. I just hope we get some big snowstorms this year coastal storms. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 19, 2014 Share Posted December 19, 2014 True oh well we don't need siberian cold. I just hope we get some big snowstorms this year coastal storms. You're in Nova Scotia? You should have no problem with big coastal storms...you guys get monsters up there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 19, 2014 Share Posted December 19, 2014 I just wanted to make sure you were prepared for what's coming up if it doesn't snow immediately, Ginxy. lol you know me better than that.I do worry about Scooter though, another 11-12 and it may get ugly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted December 19, 2014 Share Posted December 19, 2014 lol you know me better than that.I do worry about Scooter though, another 11-12 and it may get ugly. I don't think that's even remotely possible with the pattern depicted starting around new years. But I'd worry about everyone's mental health if another 11-12 walked through that door - not just scooter's! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 19, 2014 Share Posted December 19, 2014 lol you know me better than that.I do worry about Scooter though, another 11-12 and it may get ugly. Haha it's all in good fun. You don't get antsy like some of us do. Patience comes with experience. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 19, 2014 Share Posted December 19, 2014 lol you know me better than that.I do worry about Scooter though, another 11-12 and it may get ugly. You have to like the odds of one of these next 5 that are modeled will hit pay dirt Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 19, 2014 Author Share Posted December 19, 2014 Yep, I would refrain from the board. God Bless Ginxy, but snow on remote mtn tops in NNE don't get my mojo going. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
leo1000 Posted December 19, 2014 Share Posted December 19, 2014 You're in Nova Scotia? You should have no problem with big coastal storms...you guys get monsters up there. Yeah I know but all we been having lately is rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 19, 2014 Share Posted December 19, 2014 Yep, I would refrain from the board. God Bless Ginxy, but snow on remote mtn tops in NNE don't get my mojo going.Hahaha. You mean watching 2,000ft+ from MRG to Jay to Sugarloaf get dusted in January doesn't make you excited to jump out of bed and check the window, err webcams?That was a real crappy winter. Still the lowest season at the picnic tables (211") in the 10 years I've been here. But although it was low, at least it did snow a little...which made it seem like a relatively good year compared to the rest of New England. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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