CoolMike Posted December 17, 2014 Share Posted December 17, 2014 Dont' have time today - did the 12z euro came out ugly again today? Edit: Just updated the website and saw the posts - sorry - some sort of problem on my end. Looks ugly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 17, 2014 Author Share Posted December 17, 2014 On 12/17/2014 at 7:28 PM, Damage In Tolland said: Well there isn't 3. Now there's 2. Nope, that's 3. Plz C preivous posts. K, Thx. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
alex Posted December 17, 2014 Share Posted December 17, 2014 Does this also look like rain all the way to NNE? On 12/17/2014 at 7:26 PM, CoastalWx said: Transition storm 3. As I stated. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 17, 2014 Share Posted December 17, 2014 On 12/17/2014 at 7:19 PM, Damage In Tolland said: Well if it happens like that. Christmas is cancelled. Literally That would be one for the ages Think of the good fortune you have. You are healthy and strong, your children are in great shape without so many of the problems that can occur, presumably you are in a good marriage, you own your home and make enough to afford the Yankees truck and other toys. Be thankful. Snow a week later would make you quickly forget the rain on 12/25 or leading in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 17, 2014 Share Posted December 17, 2014 On 12/17/2014 at 7:30 PM, CoastalWx said: Nope, that's 3. Plz C preivous posts. K, Thx.You were counting the Sunday storm as 1. That's no more remember ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 17, 2014 Author Share Posted December 17, 2014 On 12/17/2014 at 7:30 PM, alex said: Does this also look like rain all the way to NNE? It's too far out to really say, but obviously up there it becomes difficult for more liquid. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 17, 2014 Author Share Posted December 17, 2014 On 12/17/2014 at 7:30 PM, Damage In Tolland said: You were counting the Sunday storm as 1. That's no more remember ? Yep, Christmas, and then I said the one near the 27th could be messy and/or ugly. I also said that has a better chance of more frozen fwiw. This is a classic pattern shift. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 17, 2014 Share Posted December 17, 2014 On 12/17/2014 at 7:26 PM, CoastalWx said: Transition storm 3. As I stated.Yeah...really nothing surprising. We haven't had an airmass with deep cold in awhile. Any snow from these systems was really to be a bonus down there. I'm not sure why the weenies are having a conniption. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 17, 2014 Share Posted December 17, 2014 On 12/17/2014 at 7:32 PM, CoastalWx said: Yep, Christmas, and then I said the one near the 27th could be messy and/or ugly. I also said that has a better chance of more frozen fwiw. This is a classic pattern shift.So now there's 2. Xmas and the second one Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 17, 2014 Share Posted December 17, 2014 On 12/17/2014 at 7:30 PM, weathafella said: Think of the good fortune you have. You are healthy and strong, your children are in great shape without so many of the problems that can occur, presumably you are in a good marriage, you own your home and make enough to afford the Yankees truck and other toys. Be thankful. Snow a week later would make you quickly forget the rain on 12/25 or leading in. Every snowflake is precious Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 17, 2014 Share Posted December 17, 2014 On 12/17/2014 at 7:33 PM, Damage In Tolland said: So now there's 2. Xmas and the second one Oh god haha. Now it's semantics. You know what he was talking about. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 17, 2014 Author Share Posted December 17, 2014 On 12/17/2014 at 7:33 PM, Damage In Tolland said: So now there's 2. Xmas and the second one Are you drunk? Sunday, Christmas, and then whatever happens on the 27th. Of course now the Sunday one may be a non-event,I am referring to the thinking a couple of days ago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eduggs Posted December 17, 2014 Share Posted December 17, 2014 On 12/17/2014 at 7:26 PM, CoastalWx said: Transition storm 3. As I stated. No guarantee there is any sort of transition. In fact some places might be transitioning from a snowy late fall/early winter into a non-snowy period. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 17, 2014 Share Posted December 17, 2014 It's like ripping off a Band-Aid. You don't really want to, but doing quickly is better than slowly tugging it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 17, 2014 Author Share Posted December 17, 2014 On 12/17/2014 at 7:38 PM, eduggs said: No guarantee there is any sort of transition. In fact some places might be transitioning from a snowy late fall/early winter into a non-snowy period. It's a transition. Period. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eduggs Posted December 17, 2014 Share Posted December 17, 2014 On 12/17/2014 at 7:39 PM, CoastalWx said: It's a transition. Period. Depends on your perspective and your location. Weather is by nature transient so I guess we are always transitioning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 17, 2014 Author Share Posted December 17, 2014 On 12/17/2014 at 7:40 PM, eduggs said: Depends on your perspective and your location. Weather is by nature transient so I guess we are always transitioning. The hemispheric pattern now compared to 10 days from now is night and day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eduggs Posted December 17, 2014 Share Posted December 17, 2014 There is nothing "stable" about our current "pattern," nor is there anything stable about any upcoming "pattern." The lack of snow in any particular area is not a "pattern." Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 17, 2014 Author Share Posted December 17, 2014 On 12/17/2014 at 7:41 PM, eduggs said: There is nothing "stable" about our current "pattern," nor is there anything stable about any upcoming "pattern." The lack of snow in any particular area is not a "pattern." The current pattern has been stable since after T-Day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eduggs Posted December 17, 2014 Share Posted December 17, 2014 On 12/17/2014 at 7:41 PM, CoastalWx said: The hemispheric pattern now compared to 10 days from now is night and day. You are saying the weather today over the CONUS is very different than the modeled weather 10 days from now. That was also true 10 days ago. In fact that's usually true. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 17, 2014 Author Share Posted December 17, 2014 On 12/17/2014 at 7:43 PM, eduggs said: You are saying the weather today over the CONUS is very different than the modeled weather 10 days from now. That was also true 10 days ago. In fact that's usually true. You are melting down and arguing semantics. The overall hemispheric pattern has been similar since the end of November. Of course there are daily nuances. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eduggs Posted December 17, 2014 Share Posted December 17, 2014 On 12/17/2014 at 7:42 PM, CoastalWx said: The current pattern has been stable since after T-Day. I don't agree. There are some atmospheric characteristics that have been relatively consistent for a few weeks. But to call it a stable pattern is to drastically oversimplify the atmosphere and its evolution over that period. Overall people on this board oversimplify the concept of a pattern. It's not that black and white. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eduggs Posted December 17, 2014 Share Posted December 17, 2014 On 12/17/2014 at 7:45 PM, CoastalWx said: You are melting down and arguing semantics. The overall hemispheric pattern has been similar since the end of November. Of course there are daily nuances. I am not melting down. I just disagree with your philosophy with respect to patterns and forecasting in general. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 17, 2014 Author Share Posted December 17, 2014 On 12/17/2014 at 7:46 PM, eduggs said: I don't agree. There are some atmospheric characteristics that have been relatively consistent for a few weeks. But to call it a stable pattern is to drastically oversimplify the atmosphere and its evolution over that period. Overall people on this board oversimplify the concept of a pattern. It's not that black and white. This seems to be your monthly pee in the cheerios cry baby act. Take it elsewhere. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted December 17, 2014 Share Posted December 17, 2014 Another hot mess...the meltdowns continue. On 12/17/2014 at 7:43 PM, eduggs said: You are saying the weather today over the CONUS is very different than the modeled weather 10 days from now. That was also true 10 days ago. In fact that's usually true. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 17, 2014 Share Posted December 17, 2014 lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted December 17, 2014 Share Posted December 17, 2014 Another hot mess...the meltdowns continue. On 12/17/2014 at 7:43 PM, eduggs said: You are saying the weather today over the CONUS is very different than the modeled weather 10 days from now. That was also true 10 days ago. In fact that's usually true. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Valley Snowman Posted December 17, 2014 Share Posted December 17, 2014 looks like the European model has some nice 60 to 70 knot wind gusts at 10 meters along the coast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted December 17, 2014 Share Posted December 17, 2014 On 12/17/2014 at 7:32 PM, CoastalWx said: Yep, Christmas, and then I said the one near the 27th could be messy and/or ugly. I also said that has a better chance of more frozen fwiw. This is a classic pattern shift. after the 27th better chance for snow? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Go Kart Mozart Posted December 17, 2014 Share Posted December 17, 2014 Jeez with the last 20 minutes of posts! I need to find a new hobby. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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