alwaysready126 Posted December 16, 2014 Share Posted December 16, 2014 DT.... I have faith he won't disappear and he will give us a fooooking professional explanation. We are owed an explanation darn it! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
swamplover56 Posted December 16, 2014 Share Posted December 16, 2014 Hmm think we should listen more to red taggers and green taggers as well as other trusted posters other than those who put a snow map up 5 days before a storm. Did u even see the spread on the 12 euro ensembles jeez this thread is horrible Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
swamplover56 Posted December 16, 2014 Share Posted December 16, 2014 What explanation are u owed ? The storm is six days away please for the love of god go back to accuweather forums Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
leemhoc Posted December 16, 2014 Share Posted December 16, 2014 interesting week maybe in reality, but for me, I am writing this bad boy off. I am not going to lose sleep waiting for the euro when I fear I know what it will show. A good pattern will set up eventually though, or will it?I haven't posted here in a while but I need to point out the sheet stupidity of this statement. It is Monday... The euro and it's ensembles show a significant storm on the eastern seaboard. To write off this storm now is just plain crazy. We don't know how the storm will evolve, so much to sort out. Lol writing it off can't even comprehend someone with any semblance of meteorogical sense doing that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TeleConnectSnow Posted December 16, 2014 Share Posted December 16, 2014 What explanation are u owed ? The storm is six days away please for the love of god go back to accuweather forums Reality its four days away from it ramping up and forming down south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nygmen Posted December 16, 2014 Share Posted December 16, 2014 interesting week maybe in reality, but for me, I am writing this bad boy off. I am not going to lose sleep waiting for the euro when I fear I know what it will show. A good pattern will set up eventually though, or will it? u seem to do this with every storm...one bad trend and u throw in the towel ur posts are unredable and annoying smh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TeleConnectSnow Posted December 16, 2014 Share Posted December 16, 2014 I haven't posted here in a while but I need to point out the sheet stupidity of this statement. It is Monday... The euro and it's ensembles show a significant storm on the eastern seaboard. To write off this storm now is just plain crazy. We don't know how the storm will evolve, so much to sort out. Lol writing it off can't even comprehend someone with any semblance of meteorogical sense doing that. Ok, come back after the Euro and talk to me. That is all I ask of you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
swamplover56 Posted December 16, 2014 Share Posted December 16, 2014 Done ranting but it shouldn't shock anyone why almost all the good posters have left here. People writing off a storm as a slider after one set of model runs when those same people 24 hours ago were calling for in inland runner or cutter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TeleConnectSnow Posted December 16, 2014 Share Posted December 16, 2014 u seem to do this with every storm...one bad trend and u throw in the towel ur posts are unredable and annoying smh Actually I thought the Thanksgiving day storm was going to be a good storm for PHI-Bos. I was wrong, I never threw in the towel for that storm, most models at least had the storm 4-6 days out. This time around, not. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
swamplover56 Posted December 16, 2014 Share Posted December 16, 2014 Perms bands need to be issued Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TeleConnectSnow Posted December 16, 2014 Share Posted December 16, 2014 Done ranting but it shouldn't shock anyone why almost all the good posters have left here. People writing off a storm as a slider after one set of model runs when those same people 24 hours ago were calling for in inland runner or cutter One set of model runs? The GFS has been consistent for the past 2-3 days or so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
leemhoc Posted December 16, 2014 Share Posted December 16, 2014 Ok, come back after the Euro and talk to me. That is all I ask of you.So a six day euro prog is going to be your reason for writing off a storm, jeez ur stupider than I first thought. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
swamplover56 Posted December 16, 2014 Share Posted December 16, 2014 Did you look at the euro ensembles which are by very far the best to use in this time period? Did you see the cluster for the love of god man it's true there may be no storm but writing it off now come on man Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
leemhoc Posted December 16, 2014 Share Posted December 16, 2014 Did you look at the euro ensembles which are by very far the best to use in this time period? Did you see the cluster for the love of god man it's true there may be no storm but writing it off now come on manExactly. This guy thinks he knows everything when he obviously has no meteorological sense. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
swamplover56 Posted December 16, 2014 Share Posted December 16, 2014 The gfs did not pick up on last Tuesdays storm til 4 days prior please give it a rest Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nygmen Posted December 16, 2014 Share Posted December 16, 2014 Actually I thought the Thanksgiving day storm was going to be a good storm for PHI-Bos. I was wrong, I never threw in the towel for that storm, most models at least had the storm 4-6 days out. This time around, not. really? because i distinctly remember u giving up on that one two one night after the gfs came out then the euro had a snowstorm a few hours later...just stop posting please Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TeleConnectSnow Posted December 16, 2014 Share Posted December 16, 2014 Every needs to stop saying this is 6 days out. This will be forming down south on the 19th and coming up near the 20-21st. Only really 3-4 days before we will tell if this will actually happen or not. The ridge out west has been looking worse and worse each model run. Even the EURO, it might show a big storm, but the overall upper air pattern doesn't really even support it. But who knows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
leemhoc Posted December 16, 2014 Share Posted December 16, 2014 One set of model runs? The GFS has been consistent for the past 2-3 days or so.The gfs! Give me a break. The goofus has no idea what to do with this system. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
green tube Posted December 16, 2014 Share Posted December 16, 2014 DT.... I have faith he won't disappear and he will give us a fooooking professional explanation. We are owed an explanation darn it! https://www.facebook.com/WxRisk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TeleConnectSnow Posted December 16, 2014 Share Posted December 16, 2014 The euro has tendencies to overamplify systems in this range. Listen, I will be back after the EURO comes out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TonyLovesSnow Posted December 16, 2014 Share Posted December 16, 2014 Hmm think we should listen more to red taggers and green taggers as well as other trusted posters other than those who put a snow map up 5 days before a storm. Did u even see the spread on the 12 euro ensembles jeez this thread is horrible yeah maybe you should. But we are all allowed to post including the snow map that I posted 5 days before the last storm hit. Yes it was revised from 3-6 to a coating-1 inch on day one. Regardless redtaggers or mets we can all learn together. You mean to tell me that redtaggers can't learn a thing or two? Of course maybe not from me or you but there's always someone out there that will do a good job at a specific situation. We are all unique. As far as this upcoming storm is concerned, I think this is our storm if the EURO 0z run gives us a stronger and more northwest track, this will be our storm. Cause most models have it south of EURO, therefore it's safe to say that it won't be an inland runner. Could it hug the coast? Possibly. I truly believe the Euro will get this Miller A right. I mean at the end of the day, we've got to wake up. Realize that the EURO is like 3 for 3 this season. Maybe even more but 3 for 3 is 100% so I'd go with the EURO on this and see where it takes me. Whatever the EURO tells us tonight, I'm going to think the EURO solution will end up being right. Forecast modeling has come a long way, that's a big reason why the EURO weather model is rated the best. If it shows a strung out low going out to sea, than I must say that ill give up on this storm. Many chances its pretty much winter here for another 3 months coming your weenie way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted December 16, 2014 Author Share Posted December 16, 2014 The euro has tendencies to overamplify systems in this range. Listen, I will be back after the EURO comes out. We've had amplified systems this year which have been coastal or nearly coastal huggers-Thanksgiving eve and last week among them. It's way too early to write off a certain solution. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
alwaysready126 Posted December 16, 2014 Share Posted December 16, 2014 What explanation are u owed ? The storm is six days away please for the love of god go back to accuweather forums Just humor, swampy... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted December 16, 2014 Share Posted December 16, 2014 https://www.facebook.com/WxRisk LOL "Quite frankly the precipitation is so light on the new GFS model that I can say confidently I produce more liquid when I Piss than what the operational or regular GFS is depicting here. " Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
green tube Posted December 16, 2014 Share Posted December 16, 2014 LOL "Quite frankly the precipitation is so light on the new GFS model that I can say confidently I produce more liquid when I Piss than what the operational or regular GFS is depicting here. " the GFS always brings out a Shakespearean eloquence in DT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DTWXRISK Posted December 16, 2014 Share Posted December 16, 2014 wow what a moron interesting week maybe in reality, but for me, I am writing this bad boy off. I am not going to lose sleep waiting for the euro when I fear I know what it will show. A good pattern will set up eventually though, or will it? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DTWXRISK Posted December 16, 2014 Share Posted December 16, 2014 BINGO but why would it be a mess? should it be showing something else? In my opiniong a mess is when it doesn't make sense or doesn't reflect an accurate weather data. I'm just trying to understand if the model is messed up and shouldn't be taken into account. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TeleConnectSnow Posted December 16, 2014 Share Posted December 16, 2014 wow what a moron A young learning kid, who gets upset, I'll admit when a model flips, but to call me a moron is just ignorant. More like uniformed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yankeex777 Posted December 16, 2014 Share Posted December 16, 2014 What in the world is the para doing at hour 216? A sub 980 LP over Chicago LOL. Got to love this model... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted December 16, 2014 Share Posted December 16, 2014 The NOGAPS shows more of a hit than the GFS to an extent...that can be viewed 2 ways at this time frame...sometimes it can mean the GFS is clueless...other times as a few other Mets have noticed, when beyond 84 hours if thr NOGAPS is similar to other globals it often means the other globals are nowhere close to a final solution yet and are going to make a big move in some direction...I've found this works very often...a few years back the NOGAPS agreed dead on with all guidance of a big storm at 144 hours...by 108 hours the storm was gone on all models and never occurred. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.