Srain Posted February 28, 2015 Share Posted February 28, 2015 Big problems near the Austin Metro area tonight. Freezing drizzle has caused numerous accidents this evening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Captmorg70 Posted February 28, 2015 Share Posted February 28, 2015 Here is FWD discussion on the new wave that has developed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jhamps10 Posted February 28, 2015 Share Posted February 28, 2015 anyone know what causes the wave like ripples? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bubba hotep Posted February 28, 2015 Share Posted February 28, 2015 anyone know what causes the wave like ripples? Could be shear or maybe even gravity waves? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bubba hotep Posted February 28, 2015 Share Posted February 28, 2015 DFW came in with 2.0" and a high of 30, both records! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quixotic1 Posted February 28, 2015 Share Posted February 28, 2015 Those look like gravity waves. ETA: If they are, then that really was a potent S/w Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brent Posted February 28, 2015 Share Posted February 28, 2015 I do believe the GGEM has finally lost its mind Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Srain Posted February 28, 2015 Share Posted February 28, 2015 Big mess across Travis and Williamson Counties this morning (Metro Austin Area) as freezing drizzle has left the bridges and flyovers nearly impassable. WWA was upgraded to a Warning due to so many accidents being work throughout Metro Austin. The Red River, Taos and Angle Fire ski areas have received over 20 inches of new snow the past 24 hours with higher totals across the higher terrain such as Katchina and Wheeler Peaks where more than 4 feet of snow has fallen. Heavy snow is expected across those ski areas into Tuesday as the Western upper trough continues to pump up moisture from the Eastern Pacific. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted February 28, 2015 Share Posted February 28, 2015 Big mess across Travis and Williamson Counties this morning (Metro Austin Area) as freezing drizzle has left the bridges and flyovers nearly impassable. WWA was upgraded to a Warning due to so many accidents being work throughout Metro Austin. The Red River, Taos and Angle Fire ski areas have received over 20 inches of new snow the past 24 hours with higher totals across the higher terrain such as Katchina and Wheeler Peaks where more than 4 feet of snow has fallen. Heavy snow is expected across those ski areas into Tuesday as the Western upper trough continues to pump up moisture from the Eastern Pacific. Big mess across Travis and Williamson Counties this morning (Metro Austin Area) as freezing drizzle has left the bridges and flyovers nearly impassable. WWA was upgraded to a Warning due to so many accidents being work throughout Metro Austin. The Red River, Taos and Angle Fire ski areas have received over 20 inches of new snow the past 24 hours with higher totals across the higher terrain such as Katchina and Wheeler Peaks where more than 4 feet of snow has fallen. Heavy snow is expected across those ski areas into Tuesday as the Western upper trough continues to pump up moisture from the Eastern Pacific. I can confirm that-very, very nasty morning here. I thought I left all this when I moved to the deep South. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bubba hotep Posted February 28, 2015 Share Posted February 28, 2015 Big mess across Travis and Williamson Counties this morning (Metro Austin Area) as freezing drizzle has left the bridges and flyovers nearly impassable. WWA was upgraded to a Warning due to so many accidents being work throughout Metro Austin. The Red River, Taos and Angle Fire ski areas have received over 20 inches of new snow the past 24 hours with higher totals across the higher terrain such as Katchina and Wheeler Peaks where more than 4 feet of snow has fallen. Heavy snow is expected across those ski areas into Tuesday as the Western upper trough continues to pump up moisture from the Eastern Pacific. You can see the beginnings of our next system spinning down the west coast with its partner in crime coming over the top of the ridge and heading towards coastal Alaska. The evolution of those two pieces of energy will go along way to determine if we will see another round of winter weather. Also, the up stream pattern will have a lot to say in what happens. The 12z GFS was a shift in the right direction, when compared to 06z, and it really hammers NE Texas and Arkansas. It also gets DFW with a pretty nice hit. Another week of model watching on deck? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Srain Posted February 28, 2015 Share Posted February 28, 2015 The 12Z trends came in a bit stronger with the shortwave diving into Arizona and Northern Mexico. Our Winter seems to have been front and back loaded with the usually cold mid November and now in late February/early March. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Roy Posted February 28, 2015 Share Posted February 28, 2015 This is not on-topic, but don't think we have regional off-topic rooms...so feel free to delete mods. But, I just got a mailed red-light ticket for apparently not stopping long enough turning right. Looking at the video, I do come to a complete stop...a short one, but I do. I will make sure I do so much longer in the future, but I find this absurd. No police officer would have ever stopped me, but due to a camera, I get a "civil penalty." Anybody successfully contest these things at an administrative hearing? Somehow I doubt it's worth it, as these hearings are probably just meant to rubber stamp you owe the violation. Definitely one bad thing about moving here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DoctorMu Posted February 28, 2015 Share Posted February 28, 2015 I do believe the GGEM has finally lost its mind That's amazing - just lol @ 2° in the Hill Country. Hope the general trend means one last shot at wintry mischief for those of us in SE TX Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vwgrrc Posted February 28, 2015 Share Posted February 28, 2015 NWS AFD on next system: A strong cold front is prognosticated to move across North Texas Tuesday night and bring much colder air and windy conditions. Since the upper low will still be west of the region at this time...there will be a potential for more winter weather Wednesday through Wednesday night. It is much too early to assess the potential impacts from this event but forecast soundings suggest that sleet would be the primary precipitation type and if model quantitative precipitation forecast is correct...it could be measurable and possibly significant. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DFWWeather Posted February 28, 2015 Share Posted February 28, 2015 So the worst winter storm is yet to come on Wednesday. Yikes! That looks like it could be a real headache, and I have Fleetwood Mac tickets that night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJ_Ken Posted February 28, 2015 Share Posted February 28, 2015 This is not on-topic, but don't think we have regional off-topic rooms...so feel free to delete mods. But, I just got a mailed red-light ticket for apparently not stopping long enough turning right. Looking at the video, I do come to a complete stop...a short one, but I do. I will make sure I do so much longer in the future, but I find this absurd. No police officer would have ever stopped me, but due to a camera, I get a "civil penalty." Anybody successfully contest these things at an administrative hearing? Somehow I doubt it's worth it, as these hearings are probably just meant to rubber stamp you owe the violation. Definitely one bad thing about moving here. I don't know how it works in TX, but some states give you what is basically a one-time freebie. You have to fill out a form that, I think, lets you claim somebody else was driving. You can only do it once though. The next time you have to pay regardless. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bubba hotep Posted February 28, 2015 Share Posted February 28, 2015 12z Euro EPS & Control are both supportive of a higher impact event, this might be worth tracking Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DFWWeather Posted March 1, 2015 Share Posted March 1, 2015 12z Euro EPS & Control are both supportive of a higher impact event, this might be worth tracking Temps on the 12z ECMWF are very marginal any travel impacts. Only has lows around 30°F at coldest. However, the 12z GFS has us at 15°F and a very high impact event. Compromise will be in between. (Though I'm hoping this one falls apart.) 18z GFS has no event at all other than cold. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jhamps10 Posted March 1, 2015 Share Posted March 1, 2015 This is not on-topic, but don't think we have regional off-topic rooms...so feel free to delete mods. But, I just got a mailed red-light ticket for apparently not stopping long enough turning right. Looking at the video, I do come to a complete stop...a short one, but I do. I will make sure I do so much longer in the future, but I find this absurd. No police officer would have ever stopped me, but due to a camera, I get a "civil penalty." Anybody successfully contest these things at an administrative hearing? Somehow I doubt it's worth it, as these hearings are probably just meant to rubber stamp you owe the violation. Definitely one bad thing about moving here. I'm an insurance agent, and the GOOD news is, the red light tickets don't go on your record... I'd fight it if I were you especially if you have the video that shows that you DID go to a complete stop... you do have the right to fight it, but yes I think the red light cameras are nothing more than just a ploy to get the cities more money.... ANyway back on topic, the Wed system is getting ZERO play on the news right now, which is really surprising considering what the metroplex has gone through this week... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cheese007 Posted March 1, 2015 Share Posted March 1, 2015 Might be because of what happened Wednesday where a big event turned out to be a bust. Easy to forget about that because of the gift we were given yesterday! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vwgrrc Posted March 1, 2015 Share Posted March 1, 2015 Temps on the 12z ECMWF are very marginal any travel impacts. Only has lows around 30°F at coldest. However, the 12z GFS has us at 15°F and a very high impact event. Compromise will be in between. (Though I'm hoping this one falls apart.) 18z GFS has no event at all other than cold. Do you mean it might be too bad so you hope it falls apart? BTW, I see 18z GFS still has decent ice for dfw. But I might be wrong Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bubba hotep Posted March 1, 2015 Share Posted March 1, 2015 Freezing drizzle/rain is still going strong here and the ice is making a comeback now that sun has gone down. We are holding steady at 30.7 but should warm above freezing finally by the early morning hours. ETA: looks like wrecks are on the upswing across DFW again this evening Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bubba hotep Posted March 1, 2015 Share Posted March 1, 2015 Temps on the 12z ECMWF are very marginal any travel impacts. Only has lows around 30°F at coldest. However, the 12z GFS has us at 15°F and a very high impact event. Compromise will be in between. (Though I'm hoping this one falls apart.) 18z GFS has no event at all other than cold. 18z is about 0.30" qpf after DFW (airport) drops below freezing, so some sleet to snow. Could be up to an inch of sleet but the ground will be warm and there probably wouldn't be too much accumulation. However, shift NE to Paris and it jumps to 0.75" qpf. The models are going to struggle with this system with so many pieces of energy needing to be resolved. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vwgrrc Posted March 1, 2015 Share Posted March 1, 2015 18z is about 0.30" qpf after DFW (airport) drops below freezing, so some sleet to snow. Could be up to an inch of sleet but the ground will be warm and there probably wouldn't be too much accumulation. However, shift NE to Paris and it jumps to 0.75" qpf. The models are going to struggle with this system with so many pieces of energy needing to be resolved. it's hard to call if ground is too warm. Some of the worst ice storms in south happened right after some very warm days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Roy Posted March 1, 2015 Share Posted March 1, 2015 Crazy to think about another winter system, but we need moisture. Hopefully can get some storms Tuesday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jhamps10 Posted March 1, 2015 Share Posted March 1, 2015 Crazy to think about another winter system, but we need moisture. Hopefully can get some storms Tuesday. saw a tweet today that most area lakes went up on average 1' thanks to the moisture we have had this week, just a drop in the bucket to what we need but it's a start! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted March 1, 2015 Share Posted March 1, 2015 GFS is really insistent on a major ice storm for Austin and the north side of the SA metro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jhamps10 Posted March 1, 2015 Share Posted March 1, 2015 Looks like GFS went south, slamming austin/SA while brushing DFW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ams30721us Posted March 1, 2015 Share Posted March 1, 2015 Welp...interesting developments on the 00z Euro. Clearly it's jumping on board for a significant winter storm Wednesday-Thursday across the Texas. **Keep in mind a lot of this is most likely freezing rain & sleet (but some snow) but the bigger takeaway, plenty of precip indicated to spread across the state behind the arctic front Wednesday afternoon through Thursday midday. This could be a big mess for sure** Stay Tuned! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ams30721us Posted March 1, 2015 Share Posted March 1, 2015 Ohhhh...I see: AREA FORECAST DISCUSSIONNATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA245 AM CST SUN MAR 1 2015.DISCUSSION...A WET PATTERN SETTING UP FOR THE FOUR STATE REGION THROUGH MUCH OFTHE UPCOMING WORK WEEK. TODAY...A WEAK FRONTAL BOUNDARY EXTENDINGFROM NEAR NATCHITOCHES TO MONROE TO LINGER ACROSS THE AREA.MOIST SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT RIDING OVER THE COOLER AIRMASS NORTHWEST OFTHE FRONT TO ALLOW FOR WIDESPREAD RAINFALL THROUGH MONDAY.SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE TO SHIFT EAST ON MONDAY NIGHT ALLOWING FOR AWARM FRONT TO MOVE NORTH ACROSS THE REGION. SOUTHERLY FLOW TOAVECT MUCH WARMER AIR FROM THE SOUTH WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES BYTUESDAY CLIMBING INTO THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 70S.SHOULD BE INTERESTING ON TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT ASA COLD FRONT SWEEPS SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE REGION AND COLD HIGHPRESSURE REBUILDS FROM THE NORTHWEST. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMSPOSSIBLE OVERNIGHT TUESDAY WITH THE PASSAGE OF THE FRONT.SOUTHWEST FLOW OF MOISTURE TO MAINTAIN POST-FRONTAL PRECIPITATIONON WEDNESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY NIGHT. AS TEMPERATURES COOL INTO THEUPPER 20S BY EARLY THURSDAY MORNING...EXPECTING RAIN TO TRANSITIONTO SNOW ALONG AND NORTH OF INTERSTATE 20 WITH A MIX OF FREEZINGRAIN...SLEET...AND SNOW ACROSS DEEP EAST TEXAS AND WEST CENTRALLOUISIANA.OTHERWISE...DRY CONDITIONS TO PREVAIL TROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THEWEEK WITH ANOTHER CHANCE OF RAIN ON SATURDAY AS A SURFACE LOWDEEPENS IN THE GULF OF MEXICO AHEAD OF AN EASTWARD MOVING UPPER-TROUGH FROM TEXAS. /05/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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