MAIDEsNow Posted February 13, 2016 Share Posted February 13, 2016 Huron band finally pushed overhead around 12:30pm. Looked like it was snowing at a good clip last couple hours, but went out to measure and only had 1.5" or so. Woeful flake size. However, the snowfall today has pushed me over the 100" mark, so that's a plus. Only 6.9" to go to pass the dreadful 2011-2012 winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dta1984 Posted February 14, 2016 Share Posted February 14, 2016 Picked up am additional .5" last evening / overnight. Looks like we may salvage a few inches from the early week storm. After that, things warm up some. Hopefully enough to break up any ice that formed on the lake. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEOH Posted February 15, 2016 Share Posted February 15, 2016 Sure feels like mid-winter outside. Wish we would have this weather earlier in the winter. Not a lot of talk about the storm this week. Hoping for a decent synoptic storm. Things look messy as usual. SE winds generally don't bode well for big snows around here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Trent Posted February 15, 2016 Author Share Posted February 15, 2016 Sure feels like mid-winter outside. Wish we would have this weather earlier in the winter. Not a lot of talk about the storm this week. Hoping for a decent synoptic storm. Things look messy as usual. SE winds generally don't bode well for big snows around here. The trends yesterday looked favorable, but the models have backed off today. It'll probably end up barely whiffing most of NE Ohio, with the PA border getting something. This was basically the first legitimate synoptic storm threat for us in a year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Trent Posted February 15, 2016 Author Share Posted February 15, 2016 Interestingly 10 of the SREF plume members give CLE over 6" tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEOH Posted February 15, 2016 Share Posted February 15, 2016 Interestingly 10 of the SREF plume members give CLE over 6" tonight. Its going to be a close call that's for sure. Any idea what precip looked on the euro last night? Hard to believe we can't get a decent snowfall with that type of storm track. If only that kicker wasn't there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dta1984 Posted February 15, 2016 Share Posted February 15, 2016 The trends yesterday looked favorable, but the models have backed off today. It'll probably end up barely whiffing most of NE Ohio, with the PA border getting something. This was basically the first legitimate synoptic storm threat for us in a year. The short range models aren't horrible, but the 6" line looks to stay slightly se of here. Maybe this will trend in our favor. Had a light coating of snow this morning, but didn't get a chance to measure. Guessing .5". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OHweather Posted February 15, 2016 Share Posted February 15, 2016 Its going to be a close call that's for sure. Any idea what precip looked on the euro last night? Hard to believe we can't get a decent snowfall with that type of storm track. If only that kicker wasn't there.The Euro has an additional (after this morning) QPF of a quarter inch for CLE with the 0.50" line running from SW to NE through central Summit and Geauga. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEOH Posted February 15, 2016 Share Posted February 15, 2016 The Euro has an additional (after this morning) QPF of a quarter inch for CLE with the 0.50" line running from SW to NE through central Summit and Geauga. Thanks for the info. Hopefully we'll get an over-performer for a change. A slight shift west would make a huge difference. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
osubrett2 Posted February 15, 2016 Share Posted February 15, 2016 As long as they can stay all snow, Youngstown looks to be the OH jackpot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEOH Posted February 15, 2016 Share Posted February 15, 2016 As long as they can stay all snow, Youngstown looks to be the OH jackpot. Yeah, the further east you go the better... but with the low pushing into WV I'd imagine there may be precip issues. Too bad the precip shield isn't more expansive. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Trent Posted February 15, 2016 Author Share Posted February 15, 2016 Think of all the times CLE has been screwed by last minute NW trends over the years. Could one of these last minute jogs NW actually be beneficial to us? Obviously the more east you are, the better. But the potential is certainly there for a high impact event. Realistically CLE will probably get 2" and those out in Geauga would get 4". Such a tricky forecast for the mets today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dta1984 Posted February 15, 2016 Share Posted February 15, 2016 Think of all the times CLE has been screwed by last minute NW trends over the years. Could one of these last minute jogs NW actually be beneficial to us? Obviously the more east you are, the better. But the potential is certainly there for a high impact event. Realistically CLE will probably get 2" and those out in Geauga would get 4". Such a tricky forecast for the mets today. Exactly, hopefully we benefit this time. The RAP has an 8-12 weenie band through cle. Then again. ..it's the rap lol. Edit; so does the hrrx. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Trent Posted February 15, 2016 Author Share Posted February 15, 2016 Exactly, hopefully we benefit this time. The RAP has an 8-12 weenie band through cle. Then again. ..it's the rap lol. Edit; so does the hrrx. Heaviest snow would start falling in the middle of the night and peak during morning rush. Even if we only get grazed, the timing tomorrow morning would be the worst possible for commuters. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEOH Posted February 15, 2016 Share Posted February 15, 2016 CLE's current snowfall map. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OHweather Posted February 15, 2016 Share Posted February 15, 2016 CLE's current snowfall map.Looks like they haven't looked at any model runs since yesterday morning. They still have time to fix it this afternoon and get some lead time on the snow but they better get it right now and not wait till 4am to do it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dta1984 Posted February 15, 2016 Share Posted February 15, 2016 Looks like they haven't looked at any model runs since yesterday morning. They still have time to fix it this afternoon and get some lead time on the snow but they better get it right now and not wait till 4am to do it. Their new map looks better. Wwa out for east of cle for 3-6". Seems reasonable, but a few more ticKS nw and could be pushing the upper limit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
osubrett2 Posted February 15, 2016 Share Posted February 15, 2016 Updated map from CLE. Youngstown jackpot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OHweather Posted February 15, 2016 Share Posted February 15, 2016 Just so I'm on record, here's my map. Don't have time for any sort of a write-up, busy day and I have my own Wx issues here to worry about. I can certainly see someone jack-potting to 8-10" assuming any mixing issues at the beginning of the storm aren't too prolonged. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEOH Posted February 15, 2016 Share Posted February 15, 2016 Their new map looks better. Wwa out for east of cle for 3-6". Seems reasonable, but a few more ticKS nw and could be pushing the upper limit. 3-6" does seem reasonable. Hopefully we'll get a decent defo band going on the backside. The precip shield looks good on radar. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEOH Posted February 16, 2016 Share Posted February 16, 2016 Picked up 4" overnight. Heavy snow for a change. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
osubrett2 Posted February 16, 2016 Share Posted February 16, 2016 Youngstown did well as expected. My parents measured 8" with light snow still falling. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dta1984 Posted February 16, 2016 Share Posted February 16, 2016 Picked up 4" overnight. Heavy snow for a change. Same here. Should really compact the lake effect fluff underneath. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Trent Posted February 16, 2016 Author Share Posted February 16, 2016 Had just under two inches as the snow is about to wrap up. Realistic snowfall predictions win 90% of the time. It's a shame to waste such a perfect track on a such meager snowfall, but it is what it is. These snowfalls also make you realize how much different 2" of high ratio fluff is from 2" of dense synoptic snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEOH Posted February 16, 2016 Share Posted February 16, 2016 Had just under two inches as the snow is about to wrap up. Realistic snowfall predictions win 90% of the time. It's a shame to waste such a perfect track on a such meager snowfall, but it is what it is. These snowfalls also make you realize how much different 2" of high ratio fluff is from 2" of dense synoptic snow. Definitely a shame that this storm didn't produce more snow. Not often we get a track like that. This snow seems so much more substantial... its a winter wonderland scene out there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dta1984 Posted February 16, 2016 Share Posted February 16, 2016 Fairly strong band approaching. The end of this may put down a quick 1/2". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Trent Posted February 17, 2016 Author Share Posted February 17, 2016 CLE nudged over 20 inches on the season today, sitting at 20.5". We'll see what the rest of the season brings, but the 30-35" range seems likely now. This place has been a synoptic wasteland, I wonder if we'll have to wait until next season before we see a decent hit? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dta1984 Posted February 19, 2016 Share Posted February 19, 2016 The great melt begins today. A few days of temps near 50 or better, and lows above freezing should have no problem wiping out the snow. As of yesterday afternoon, the depth on my deck was just below 12". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEOH Posted February 19, 2016 Share Posted February 19, 2016 The great melt begins today. A few days of temps near 50 or better, and lows above freezing should have no problem wiping out the snow. As of yesterday afternoon, the depth on my deck was just below 12". Yeah, it will be a bummer to lose the snowpack. What's crazy is that the ground isn't even frozen beneath the snow. All eyes on next weeks potential storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Trent Posted February 19, 2016 Author Share Posted February 19, 2016 I think those to the east will retain some snowpack. High dewpoints really melt snow and the dewpoints don't look to get too high this weekend compared to other winter thaws this season. The sun tomorrow could do a number in unshaded spots though. I bet a couple inches remain in the snow belt. Bare grass will certainly be common for the west side. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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