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Northern Ohio Obs/Discussion Part 2


Trent
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1 hour ago, WHEATCENT said:

Nws is seeing 12-15 but uh....well ill hope :lol:

 

I really don't know what to expect snowfall wise. Seems the models have bumped upwards. CLE has 6-8" throughout Geauga county. Some of the clown maps are much higher. You should do well up by the lakeshore. .. the winds will certainly be ripping. Just hoping not to lose power out this way. 

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So something like the 'White Hurricane'  January 26, 1978.

Air pressure at Hopkins 28.28 inches.

Temperature @ 4AM was 44°F, @ 6AM about 14°F, later 5°

82 MPH sustained wind at Hopkins, gust over 100 MPH at the water crib.

With maybe 7 inches of new snow on top of 13 inches of old snow.

(from the Dick Goddard book)

 

 

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9 hours ago, Floydbuster said:

Does anyone have a time estimate for the exact temperature drop throughout Eastern Ohio? I almost want to stand outside to experience it, if indeed it happens within just a few minutes. The GFS shows it around 12-5am Friday morning.

Saw this graphic from NWS ILN.   For us, looks like 4-6am as of now. 

image.png.15d01907c57edea5cd96d77b751972af.png

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Definitely some snowier trends with the post-frontal burst later tonight into tomorrow morning for a good portion of central and eastern OH. Thinking the Cleveland area has a good 4-6” down by midday with whatever light wraparound comes after. Curious to see how my drive back down 480 goes at 8 or 9am assuming I choose to try it. 

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4 minutes ago, OHweather said:

Definitely some snowier trends with the post-frontal burst later tonight into tomorrow morning for a good portion of central and eastern OH. Thinking the Cleveland area has a good 4-6” down by midday with whatever light wraparound comes after. Curious to see how my drive back down 480 goes at 8 or 9am assuming I choose to try it. 

4-6 inches with those insane winds and sub-zero wind chills could make tomorrow a nightmare. 

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Nail in the coffin for the NW Ohio/SE Mich peeps...sorry.

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/...
Latest radar, 0z model guidance, and surface observations
suggest that we are perhaps entering a perceived "lull" in the
precipitation along the arctic front, especially across NW OH
this evening as the upper-jet energy begins to arrive across the
Lower OH Valley which will lead to explosive cyclogenesis late
tonight into Friday. This may lead to lower snowfall totals and
overall impacts across NW OH. However, we are currently watching
an area of precipitation across SW OH that continues to
strengthen, noted by multiple surface observations of moderate
to heavy snow at times. This area of precipitation will work its
way north and east into the region later tonight in conjunction
with the strong, arctic front. This will be the area to watch
for any significant impacts with regards to snowfall rates
and/or blowing snow overnight and into the morning hours.
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My mom is in Medina County and she said she plans on "waking up early and going to the grocery store". I tried telling her how bad it should be in the early morning hours and she said "They've been wrong before."

For the sake of the weather community, I hope NE Ohio is buried tomorrow. Bah-humbug. 

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43 minutes ago, Frog Town said:

Nail in the coffin for the NW Ohio/SE Mich peeps...sorry.

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/...
Latest radar, 0z model guidance, and surface observations
suggest that we are perhaps entering a perceived "lull" in the
precipitation along the arctic front, especially across NW OH
this evening as the upper-jet energy begins to arrive across the
Lower OH Valley which will lead to explosive cyclogenesis late
tonight into Friday. This may lead to lower snowfall totals and
overall impacts across NW OH. However, we are currently watching
an area of precipitation across SW OH that continues to
strengthen, noted by multiple surface observations of moderate
to heavy snow at times. This area of precipitation will work its
way north and east into the region later tonight in conjunction
with the strong, arctic front. This will be the area to watch
for any significant impacts with regards to snowfall rates
and/or blowing snow overnight and into the morning hours.

The warnings for that area said 2-4” and you’re gonna get the 2” instead of the 4”…this was never going to produce big snow totals in OH, although the I-71 corridor is looking to be the ones who get luckier in those regards as opposed to NW OH. 

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10 minutes ago, OHweather said:

The warnings for that area said 2-4” and you’re gonna get the 2” instead of the 4”…this was never going to produce big snow totals in OH, although the I-71 corridor is looking to be the ones who get luckier in those regards as opposed to NW OH. 

I'm just outside of Columbus for this event.  Looks like I might have lucked into a pretty good spot.

 

 

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1 minute ago, WHEATCENT said:

1st blizzard warning in 10 years 

Its pretty brutal out there. Left my house at 6am and could barely see driving. Guesstimating 3"+ of snow so far. CLE is calling for 2-4" more but not sure we will see that. You'll probably see the higher amount along the lakeshore. 

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Several sites easily verified blizzard conditions today, with visibility frequently below 1/4 of a mile and gusts well over 35mph…along with sub zero temperatures. Cleveland Hopkins, Burke Lakefront, Lorain County, Port Clinton, Lost Nation (Willoughby), Akron Canton, and Erie all hit it for 3 hours straight or longer. Findlay, Akron Fulton and Youngstown have strong arguments but didn’t quite get into the sub 1/4 mile stuff for 3 straight hours, so it’s more debatable. Mansfield, Wooster and Ashtabula also met conditions briefly, but weren’t really close to doing it for 3 hours. 
 

CLE verified a blizzard from 8am to 3pm! And briefly around 6-7am!

https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=KCLE

Not nearly as bad as what Buffalo is dealing with and not in the same league as 1978, but we can say we experienced a blizzard today which is uncommon around these parts. The cold and wind combination was unique. 
 

Estimating a bit over 4” of snow here, and we are still getting the occasional house shaking gust. 

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5 hours ago, Floydbuster said:

Lost power for around 9 hours! Had to go down the street to my sister's house to have warmth. Nasty storm.

That sucks. Somehow we never lost power here which was nice. Just hours and hours of arctic dust and high winds. Browns game should be interesting today.

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Merry Christmas! The LES warnings for Lake and Ashtabula today may not quite have been needed as it lifted back over the lake pretty quickly into this morning, but still a white Christmas with plenty of snow on the ground. In Mentor for dinner and probably a couple more inches on the ground here compared to Reminderville but nothing too crazy. 

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What a way to kick off January with a +18 temp departure. At least the western basin ice has probably melted B)

AVERAGE MONTHLY: 48.6   TOTAL FOR MONTH:   1.55                
DPTR FM NORMAL:  18.4   DPTR FM NORMAL:    1.11    
HIGHEST:    62 ON  3    GRTST 24HR  0.94 ON  3- 4           
LOWEST:     37 ON  4, 1                                             
                  

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