NEOH Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 Looks like the cold front is finally starting to sag southeast. Definitely moving slowly. The rain is doing some damage to the snowpack. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Floydbuster Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 48 minutes ago, NEOH said: Looks like the cold front is finally starting to sag southeast. Definitely moving slowly. The rain is doing some damage to the snowpack. It’ll all freeze. Almost worse than a straight snow. It’s a moistening before the slamming. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vpbob21 Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 It's been painful to watch this front try to come through. It passed by a couple hours ago and then actually turned around and went back north. Hopefully it's finally passed us for good now. Maybe we can get lucky with the second part of the storm tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WHEATCENT Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 been 41 here forever here in Mentor. just imagine if all this rain also could've been snow.......-_- Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Floydbuster Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 37° in Stow. It’s coming guys! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vpbob21 Posted February 3, 2022 Share Posted February 3, 2022 Changed over about an hour ago and we are approaching 1 inch already. It has begun. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEOH Posted February 3, 2022 Share Posted February 3, 2022 19 minutes ago, vpbob21 said: Changed over about an hour ago and we are approaching 1 inch already. It has begun. Nice. Good to hear. Should flip here shortly on the east side. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheClimateChanger Posted February 3, 2022 Share Posted February 3, 2022 HRRR getting up into rarified territory for northeast Ohio. Nearly 16 inches at Canton, Akron and Youngstown. 17 inches in Cleveland. If that happens, would be the largest snowstorm in a long, long time for some areas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WHEATCENT Posted February 3, 2022 Share Posted February 3, 2022 Its already switched over here in mentor Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OHweather Posted February 3, 2022 Share Posted February 3, 2022 Starting to sleet a bit here. 0z NAM, hi-res NAM and HRRR really juiced and snow longer into tomorrow night. Could be the last-second amped trend we often see. As @TheClimateChanger mentioned the result would be a huge storm. Was worried my AFD on Monday was a little too hype-y talking about pushing snow removal infrastructure past it's limits if we stayed all snow and got 12-18" in the Cleveland area, but those models would bail me out. The 18z Euro trended a bit that way too with more snow into tomorrow night so perhaps the idea has some legs. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Floydbuster Posted February 3, 2022 Share Posted February 3, 2022 1 minute ago, OHweather said: Starting to sleet a bit here. 0z NAM, hi-res NAM and HRRR really juiced and snow longer into tomorrow night. Could be the last-second amped trend we often see. As @TheClimateChanger mentioned the result would be a huge storm. Was worried my AFD on Monday was a little too hype-y talking about pushing snow removal infrastructure past it's limits if we stayed all snow and got 12-18" in the Cleveland area, but those models would bail me out. The 18z Euro trended a bit that way too with more snow into tomorrow night so perhaps the idea has some legs. Yeah local mets here in Cleveland keep talking about the mid-day Thursday "second wave" being WAY more than expected. It's currently over Texas, of course. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OHweather Posted February 3, 2022 Share Posted February 3, 2022 4 minutes ago, Floydbuster said: Yeah local mets here in Cleveland keep talking about the mid-day Thursday "second wave" being WAY more than expected. It's currently over Texas, of course. This is some lazy analysis using the HRRR, but check out the trends with the location and strength of the second wave 12z tomorrow...trending more amped. Precip shield edging a bit northwest as well. And, the high is backing off slightly in newer runs. May be a legit trend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Floydbuster Posted February 3, 2022 Share Posted February 3, 2022 Just now, OHweather said: This is some lazy analysis using the HRRR, but check out the trends with the location and strength of the second wave 12z tomorrow...trending more amped. Precip shield edging a bit northwest as well. And, the high is backing off slightly in newer runs. May be a legit trend. Woah. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dta1984 Posted February 3, 2022 Share Posted February 3, 2022 Snow has started here. Remaining previous snowpack at 8.5" . We will have quite the glacier underneath the new snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEOH Posted February 3, 2022 Share Posted February 3, 2022 Picked up an inch or so last night. Look forward to seeing what today brings. Wondering if the heaviest snow now falls just southeast of here. Hopefully a more amped NW solution works out... Models are probably struggling with the waves riding along the front. The one wildcard is how much lake enhancement occurs. I'm guessing the ice shifted around quite a but so we should get some moisture off of the lake. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dta1984 Posted February 3, 2022 Share Posted February 3, 2022 1 hour ago, NEOH said: Picked up an inch or so last night. Look forward to seeing what today brings. Wondering if the heaviest snow now falls just southeast of here. Hopefully a more amped NW solution works out... Models are probably struggling with the waves riding along the front. The one wildcard is how much lake enhancement occurs. I'm guessing the ice shifted around quite a but so we should get some moisture off of the lake. The flake size and intensity hasn't been efficient yet, but seems to be improving. I just measured 2" as of 9am. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEOH Posted February 3, 2022 Share Posted February 3, 2022 6 minutes ago, dta1984 said: The flake size and intensity hasn't been efficient yet, but seems to be improving. I just measured 2" as of 9am. It picked up quite a bit and flake size has improved. Check out the 12z NAM -- snows until tomorrow morning. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dta1984 Posted February 3, 2022 Share Posted February 3, 2022 1 hour ago, NEOH said: It picked up quite a bit and flake size has improved. Check out the 12z NAM -- snows until tomorrow morning. Looks great, in fact all short rangers look really good. Pretty amazing moisture feed all the way from TX. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LakeEffectOH Posted February 3, 2022 Share Posted February 3, 2022 Snow is moderate here. So far, looks like there are 2-3 inches of new snow on my deck. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LakeEffectOH Posted February 3, 2022 Share Posted February 3, 2022 Radar shows heavier precip moving up I-71. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEOH Posted February 3, 2022 Share Posted February 3, 2022 4 minutes ago, LakeEffectOH said: Snow is moderate here. So far, looks like there are 2-3 inches of new snow on my deck. Steady moderate snow with occasional heavier bursts. Heavier snow should be moving in from the SW soon and last quite awhile. Eyeballing 3" or so already. The 12z models show a lot of snow to come. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LakeEffectOH Posted February 3, 2022 Share Posted February 3, 2022 1 minute ago, NEOH said: Steady moderate snow with occasional heavier bursts. Heavier snow should be moving in from the SW soon and last quite awhile. Eyeballing 3" or so already. The 12z models show a lot of snow to come. Good news! Radars look good... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEOH Posted February 3, 2022 Share Posted February 3, 2022 12z GFS, NAM and RDPS - they can't all be wrong 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LakeEffectOH Posted February 3, 2022 Share Posted February 3, 2022 That hole is weird. Wonder what the models are seeing or did they ingest something weird from a common dataset?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEOH Posted February 3, 2022 Share Posted February 3, 2022 3 minutes ago, LakeEffectOH said: That hole is weird. Wonder what the models are seeing or did they ingest something weird from a common dataset?? It is strange. No idea what would cause that. I could see something like that from down sloping but with a North/Northeast wind its all upslope in our area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LakeEffectOH Posted February 3, 2022 Share Posted February 3, 2022 4 minutes ago, NEOH said: It is strange. No idea what would cause that. I could see something like that from down sloping but with a North/Northeast wind its all upslope in our area. Sure, maybe bad data. Would be crazy if it verified! Meanwhile, the radar looks good. Definite SW-NE movement up 71. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Floydbuster Posted February 3, 2022 Share Posted February 3, 2022 It's snowing decent but small flakes in Stow. My girlfriend in North Royalton says it's a whiteout. If it picks up the pace and continues until tomorrow morning, we should pick up some good accumulation. It does seem to be lacking that "storm" feeling though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LakeEffectOH Posted February 3, 2022 Share Posted February 3, 2022 1 minute ago, Floydbuster said: It's snowing decent but small flakes in Stow. My girlfriend in North Royalton says it's a whiteout. If it picks up the pace and continues until tomorrow morning, we should pick up some good accumulation. It does seem to be lacking that "storm" feeling though. I know what you mean. In Chesterland is alternates between light/moderate snow with heavier bursts. Had about 3 inches so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OrrvilleWX Posted February 3, 2022 Share Posted February 3, 2022 It’s been snowing consistently here in Orrville. No breaks since it’s started. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LakeEffectOH Posted February 3, 2022 Share Posted February 3, 2022 7 minutes ago, OrrvilleWX said: It’s been snowing consistently here in Orrville. No breaks since it’s started. How much do you think you've gotten? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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