DTWXRISK Posted December 11, 2014 Share Posted December 11, 2014 http://www.americanwx.com/bb/index.php/topic/44997-december-medlong-range-disco/page-21?p=3185056 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JCT777 Posted December 11, 2014 Share Posted December 11, 2014 That period looks interesting (starting December 21), and certainly there could be multiple wintry threats during the final third of the month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JERSEYSNOWROB Posted December 11, 2014 Share Posted December 11, 2014 Welcome back DT! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted December 11, 2014 Share Posted December 11, 2014 Wait winter isn't over? I thought my 30hrs of flakes was the end Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted December 11, 2014 Share Posted December 11, 2014 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Absolute Humidity Posted December 12, 2014 Share Posted December 12, 2014 Haha not for you inlanders, 75 - 100" season incoming for you guys. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DTWXRISK Posted December 13, 2014 Author Share Posted December 13, 2014 ABOUT DEC 21 and 12z euro run The cold air supply is limited... The over all Upper air pattern not great. This is a marginal situation for the interior and rain that ends as snow for the COAST. For western NC Mtns WVA western half of VA western half of MD .. most of PA this could be a SIGNIFICANT SNOW.. COULD BE..from PHL to BOS again very mariginal on the coast...12z EURO shows wet snow or mix SIGNIFICANT SNOW Inland As I said the KEY is the DEC 17 Low ( all rain for the all fo the east coast) . It is the rapid development of the DEC 17 Low into a BIG Low over SE Canada THAT sets up the DEC 21 Low winter storm threat. ** IF the big low of SE cnada does not develop or if it moves away .. DEC 21 coastal Low ai all rain for everyone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DTWXRISK Posted December 13, 2014 Author Share Posted December 13, 2014 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mitchell Gaines Posted December 13, 2014 Share Posted December 13, 2014 Not much support for wound up low on the ECMWF ensemble mean. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
delijoe Posted December 13, 2014 Share Posted December 13, 2014 This is going to be an interesting next couple weeks... 2 potential threats during Christmas week and after Christmas if the GFS is to be believed at all the BIG cold moves in... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quakertown needs snow Posted December 13, 2014 Share Posted December 13, 2014 great chances to get some white on the ground with colder pattern showing up. fun times ahead, hopefully for all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mitchell Gaines Posted December 14, 2014 Share Posted December 14, 2014 Today's 12z GFS is useless. Typical northern stream bias. A new version of the GFS is much more EC/UKMET like. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted December 14, 2014 Share Posted December 14, 2014 This run of the gfs reminds me alot of winter 97-98 with all the lakes cutters. Not sure how the slp's drive right thru a block but that's the gfs for ya. Gfsp much better tool to use here imo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted December 14, 2014 Share Posted December 14, 2014 But don't xbox and atari GFS versions looks similar for the 21st? I see a dual low with one passing north on the para. Or are we talking Christmas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted December 14, 2014 Share Posted December 14, 2014 DT posted EuroWx snowmaps on facebook for this storm. Had no idea it was showing 4-8" of snow from that run(0z) for much of SEPA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DTWXRISK Posted December 14, 2014 Author Share Posted December 14, 2014 100% agree THAT MOIDEL IS FOOOKING uxsless past 84 hrs for east coast lows Today's 12z GFS is useless. Typical northern stream bias. A new version of the GFS is much more EC/UKMET like. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mitchell Gaines Posted December 14, 2014 Share Posted December 14, 2014 But don't xbox and atari GFS versions looks similar for the 21st? I see a dual low with one passing north on the para. Or are we talking Christmas. Para is just one low to our south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DTWXRISK Posted December 14, 2014 Author Share Posted December 14, 2014 156 HRS Low is over Va Beach 162 hrs the 12z sunday euro has the Low right over or Just se of Cape May nj monster snow hit for WVA WESTERN VA western half of MD ALL PA nw NJ much of interior se NY all of New England west/ north of I-95 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DTWXRISK Posted December 14, 2014 Author Share Posted December 14, 2014 THIS IS WHY I FOOKING HATE THE GFS FOR EAST COST WINTER STORM ..past 84 hrs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DTWXRISK Posted December 14, 2014 Author Share Posted December 14, 2014 HERE COMES THE HAMMER Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted December 14, 2014 Share Posted December 14, 2014 Nice CCB on the euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jrodd321 Posted December 14, 2014 Share Posted December 14, 2014 Suburbs and NW get raped. Love it Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted December 14, 2014 Share Posted December 14, 2014 Para is just one low to our south. My bad the link on tropical tidbits changed to regular GFS thought i was looking at para Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted December 14, 2014 Share Posted December 14, 2014 Euro is a dream run. I put that one in my fantasy footlocker and hope to see it inside 5 days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Redmorninglight Posted December 14, 2014 Share Posted December 14, 2014 Wake me when the ocean is 10 degrees colder. LOL. Seriously, I hope the interior gets buried and pushes the baroclinic zone further south for us outer coastal plain dwellers later this winter. Our familly will be up in northern Warren Co, NJ for Christmas so hopefully it is white up there. Question. Is there a storm/ cutter arounf the 17th still? Has it changed to make the set up better for this 21 storm? (50/50 low) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
delijoe Posted December 14, 2014 Share Posted December 14, 2014 ecmwf_T850_neus_8.png HERE COMES THE HAMMER I might be wrong but that track looks pretty good for snow as long as you're i95 and west... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JTA66 Posted December 15, 2014 Share Posted December 15, 2014 Hopefully the weekend rule will be in effect. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DTWXRISK Posted December 15, 2014 Author Share Posted December 15, 2014 0z euro maps Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted December 15, 2014 Share Posted December 15, 2014 Hits Philly to Allentown in EPA with heavy snow a narrow swath, heaviest snow out near Harrisburg. Sharp cutoff north of Allentown. Storm tracks east and looks to miss New England. Yet another good run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quakertown needs snow Posted December 15, 2014 Share Posted December 15, 2014 nice pattern setup with the weekend. more cold would help. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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