Stormlover74 Posted December 10, 2014 Share Posted December 10, 2014 western part of their CWA is Union Essex and Passaic and points north My guess is they're referring to orange and western Passaic as the greatest likelihood of seeing 2-4" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted December 10, 2014 Share Posted December 10, 2014 My guess is they're referring to orange and western Passaic as the greatest likelihood of seeing 2-4" you would think they would write a better AFD and not make people guess about what location they are talking about Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted December 10, 2014 Share Posted December 10, 2014 Kind of confused - why is Upton saying there will be up to 4 inches of snow in their AFD for NYC and their forecast has no mention of it ? Or did they post this in the wrong link ? http://kamala.cod.edu/nj/latest.fxus61.KOKX.html For Orange County if I'm not mistaken.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted December 10, 2014 Share Posted December 10, 2014 you would think they would write a better AFD and not make people guess about what location they are talking about Very low confidence at this point anyway Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rcad1 Posted December 10, 2014 Share Posted December 10, 2014 They clearly say it's across western areas. The bottom line says closer to the coast it will take longer to change but even they could see a dusting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Pamela Posted December 10, 2014 Share Posted December 10, 2014 They clearly say it's across western areas. The bottom line says closer to the coast it will take longer to change but even they could see a dusting. Heaviest amounts should be out over northern Long Island...where they invariably are. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Pamela Posted December 10, 2014 Share Posted December 10, 2014 They clearly say it's across western areas. The bottom line says closer to the coast it will take longer to change but even they could see a dusting. The thing I love most about many local mets is their total inability to think outside the box; they are rigidly devoted to one dimensional outlooks with misunderstood climatology at the forefront of their shortcomings. In fairness, I have not watched a tv news weather broadcast in over a decade, so I may be out of step when it comes to the current crop of on air weather people. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Pamela Posted December 10, 2014 Share Posted December 10, 2014 The thing I love most about many local mets is their total inability to think outside the box; they are rigidly devoted to one dimensional outlooks with misunderstood climatology at the forefront of their shortcomings. In fairness, I have not watched a tv news weather broadcast in over a decade, so I may be out of step when it comes to the current crop of on air weather people. I'll cite an example: When an offshore cyclone with plenty of cold air is forecast to move east of the region and the form of precipitation is not in question, the standard forecast will invariably be "heaviest amounts over the Twin Forks of Long Island & SE CT"...this tends to verify about as often as the Jets win the football championship...and yet, the notion...along with the low probability of verifying forecast...will be trotted out the next time a similar scenario presents itself. I'm not going to go into the reasons why this specific forecast seldom comes to pass (though things like the stabilizing impact of all the surrounding water are factors)...but the point is, no attempt to learn from past errors seems to manifest and the mistake is repeated time w/o number due to either intellectual laziness or just some innate fear of steering away from long held & "safe" forecasting axioms that have long proven themselves utterly w/o merit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Pamela Posted December 10, 2014 Share Posted December 10, 2014 Do you know how to read a model? Euro shows light snow for a long duration. Did I say accumulating snow? SV snow map does show some accumulation. Euro has this Wednesday night into Thursday . I just want to take a moment to say that in my entire life I have never encountered anyone whose banality is so extraordinary that they have elevated it to an art form in the fashion you have. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WIN Posted December 10, 2014 Share Posted December 10, 2014 Flurries at the moment. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowshack Posted December 10, 2014 Share Posted December 10, 2014 Drizzle, 37f Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover11 Posted December 10, 2014 Share Posted December 10, 2014 Mist/drizzle 37.3F. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sn0waddict Posted December 10, 2014 Share Posted December 10, 2014 Precip starting to form. HRRR shows this continuing to develop over the hudson valley/SW CT/Northern LI. Will have to see if it is cold enough for snow though. Currently 36F Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted December 10, 2014 Share Posted December 10, 2014 Precip starting to form. HRRR shows this continuing to develop over the hudson valley/SW CT/Northern LI. Will have to see if it is cold enough for snow though. Currently 36F The latest HRRR looks a bit too far East, I'm under that developing band in Bergen County. It's just sprinkles currently, 39F. Not going to snow with these surface temps. Perhaps things cool tonight if precip is still around. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted December 10, 2014 Share Posted December 10, 2014 It does look like perhaps the north shore of LI could receive some sound enhanced precipitation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mulen Posted December 10, 2014 Share Posted December 10, 2014 Arthritis thumping weather just my obs remember on cloudy days their always blue skies above there you go have a great day folks.see ya Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ordr Posted December 10, 2014 Share Posted December 10, 2014 Sun's trying to come out in extreme southern Bridgeport. 36F. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rgwp96 Posted December 10, 2014 Share Posted December 10, 2014 steady light snow here in northern morris county. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted December 10, 2014 Share Posted December 10, 2014 34f w/ steady lgt snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted December 10, 2014 Share Posted December 10, 2014 Getting the first flakes here in Ramsey as of a minute ago. I'm up on a small hill so it could very well be raining or a mix down on Rt. 17. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rgwp96 Posted December 10, 2014 Share Posted December 10, 2014 Someone a little higher up is def getting accumulating snow . Starting to whiten ground her and borderline mod snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted December 10, 2014 Share Posted December 10, 2014 Its accumulating fast here.. 32f w/ lgt to mod snow 0.5" on all surfaces now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted December 10, 2014 Share Posted December 10, 2014 The radar is really exploding now over Orange, Sussex, Morris, Passaic and Bergen Counties. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted December 10, 2014 Share Posted December 10, 2014 Light snow in Edison Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted December 10, 2014 Share Posted December 10, 2014 This band should only continue to exapnd to the south and east and eventually go right towards NYC and points SE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted December 10, 2014 Share Posted December 10, 2014 snow in nw union county Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthShoreWx Posted December 10, 2014 Share Posted December 10, 2014 The precip indicated by radar along the north shore is drizzle atm. Temp here is 37. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TwcMan Posted December 10, 2014 Share Posted December 10, 2014 Flurries being reported from a source of mine in scotch plains. Here in Avenel, nothing yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted December 10, 2014 Share Posted December 10, 2014 Its evolving as I thought it might....a fairly narrow band of snow...somone may see several inches but it won't be a big area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted December 10, 2014 Share Posted December 10, 2014 This band should only continue to exapnd to the south and east and eventually go right towards NYC and points SE. Looks to be going more SSW at the moment Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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