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Southern Ontario Winter '14-'15 Discussion


harrisale

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Very nice. Who wouldn't take that given the 6 weeks of death we've just endured. But I thought you threw in the towel?

 

For a snow weenie, it's always hard to let go, lmao. You can throw the towel in many times but you'll always have this charisma inside of you pulling for another snowstorm, haha! 

 

After this storm, the Euro shows nothing significant through 240 hours, lol. Just dry cold air! Maybe some flurries and light snow here and there. The S/W stream stays suppressed and we get no phasing with a strung out northern stream.

 

How would you rate this in comparison to 09-10? LOL. 

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Yeah, just saw it. But Mississauga south. Looks like you're in a good spot.

Been in St Catharines all weekend and now the flow decides to shift to the NE...

 

Def agree that the YHM-St Catharines corridor is favoured for LE over the SW GTA, with bands ramping up after ~18z tomorrow. Even in more favoured areas, doesn't look like anything too intense as Inversion heights are AOB 900mb and LL flow is pretty weak/sheared.

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Some areas already closing in on 10cm in the Oakville-YHM corridor. Looks like the band should settle between YHM-Niagara for the duration of the morning/afternoon. Some spots may approach 6" if the band has enough staying power.

That area looks like it will get hit hard. Here in south Mississauga we are pushing around 2inches, with it still snowing lightly. Just checked out the cameras, looks like the lakeshore all the way to Toronto was able to get some snow on the ground with an increase in totals from east-west. By the 403/QEW merger it really ramps up and is still snowing good. Even though I'm missing out on the main squall by mere kms, I was at least able to get in on the action. 401/Dixon has no snow at all on the ground. 

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They downgraded the warning to watch, yet squalls continue. A couple times this winter they've been using the snow squall watch as an advisory level and not even attempting to use their new weather advisory system launched last spring. A watch means conditions are possible for lake effect snow development. Not occurring with snowfall less than warning level.

 

Just my regular nit-picking of EC...

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^^^bummer!!! BUF used to have a write up (well, more like a brief mentioning, but still) of that event on their LES page but they no longer have the data for seasons before 2004-05. :(

 

I am so pissed about this. I have talked to some Mets there and they said they are working on getting it added. But the was awhile ago...I have no idea why they even took it down. It was such a great resource.

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I am so pissed about this. I have talked to some Mets there and they said they are working on getting it added. But the was awhile ago...I have no idea why they even took it down. It was such a great resource.

 

Yeah, IIRC, their archives went back to the late 1990s. It was a great resource. Well, I'm glad to hear they're not lost for good. May have had something to do with their website transition that happened a few years back.

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Yeah, IIRC, their archives went back to the late 1990s. It was a great resource. Well, I'm glad to hear they're not lost for good. May have had something to do with their website transition that happened a few years back.

 

Here is there official response:

 

Rich, we had to make some changes to the pages. There are many interwoven links/references that need to be updated. The pages will return as time permits. We will also have some summaries posted for the 2013-2014 season, again as time permits.

 

Richard, we have the data stored locally, but it will take some time for us to get this data back online.

 

This was last year.... :whistle:

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11 years to the date of another memorable east wind LES event that rocked the Etobicoke shoreline, south Mississauga and east Oakville. 50cm+.

The biggest snowstorm I have ever seen. I remember that since it was so localized the high school stayed open but no one showed up even though it was sunny and the roads were clear. If I recall almost all of that snow fell in about 6-8 hours? I remember it started late afternoon/early evening and lasted until just after midnight. 

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11 years to the date of another memorable east wind LES event that rocked the Etobicoke shoreline, south Mississauga and east Oakville. 50cm+.

 

Too bad Toronto couldn't get some LES today, but congrats to our friends further south in Burlington/Oakville.  

 

But it still doesn't compare to a Nor'Easter like what NYC is experiencing atm. I'd love to experience one for myself. Them lucky fellas about to get a storm of a lifetime, lol. On the contrary, its been long since we've seen a true Apps runner as well. Apps runners usually bode well for our area. Great examples are the Dec 07 storm and March 08 blizzard. 

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The biggest snowstorm I have ever seen. I remember that since it was so localized the high school stayed open but no one showed up even though it was sunny and the roads were clear. If I recall almost all of that snow fell in about 6-8 hours? I remember it started late afternoon/early evening and lasted until just after midnight. 

 

Might be thinking about another one. There was one in December of 2000 that dropped locally 50cm in eastern Oakville and western Mississauga. That one may have been a 6-8 hr blast. I don't remember.

 

The January 2004 one started in the evening of the 25th around Burlington, shifted north to the bullseye zone by midnight and just sat all night. Then during the mid morning of the 26th it shifted slightly further to the north to hit mby and YYZ. Then as WAA continued the band weakened early in the evening of the 26th. Then the synoptic took over.

 

Incredible gradient during the afternoon of the 26th. I had shoveled my grandma's driveway in Mimico and they were easily approaching 40cm at that point. Had about 15cm imby in central Etobicoke when I got home. Called my mom who works in North York. NOT A FLAKE! Wild, wild stuff. When she was driving home on the 401 it hit like a wall at the 400,

 

Live for east wind LES. It's so cool.

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Might be thinking about another one. There was one in December of 2000 that dropped locally 50cm in eastern Oakville and western Mississauga. That one may have been a 6-8 hr blast. I don't remember.

 

The January 2004 one started in the evening of the 25th around Burlington, shifted north to the bullseye zone by midnight and just sat all night. Then during the mid morning of the 26th it shifted slightly further to the north to hit mby and YYZ. Then as WAA continued the band weakened early in the evening of the 26th. Then the synoptic took over.

 

Incredible gradient during the afternoon of the 26th. I had shoveled my grandma's driveway in Mimico and they were easily approaching 40cm at that point. Had about 15cm imby in central Etobicoke when I got home. Called my mom who works in North York. NOT A FLAKE! Wild, wild stuff. When she was driving home on the 401 it hit like a wall at the 400,

 

Live for east wind LES. It's so cool.

^^This. By far the best perk for a TO snowlover.

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Sure. Here's 12z on the 26th (more: http://mp1.met.psu.edu/~fxg1/NARR/2004/us0126.php).Classic setup. Arctic high pressure over QC and a synoptic storm approaching from the Plains/MW.

 

012612.png

 

Awesome! Appreciate it man. Unfortunately, its a rare set-up thanks to the East-West Jet stream progression in the Northern hemisphere, but fun to experience whenever it does occur. We had one back in Feb 2013. YYZ recorded 13cm I think. 

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Awesome! Appreciate it man. Unfortunately, its a rare set-up thanks to the East-West Jet stream progression in the Northern hemisphere, but fun to experience whenever it does occur. We had one back in Feb 2013. YYZ recorded 13cm I think. 

 

Yes, I remember that one. There were a couple last winter too. The December 2013 enhancement storm that hit downtown hard. There was also that one in early March 2014 that produced 10cm of 40:1 fluff at YYZ.

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Yes, I remember that one. There were a couple last winter too. The December 2013 enhancement storm that hit downtown hard. There was also that one in early March 2014 that produced 10cm of 40:1 fluff at YYZ.

 

Lmao, i remember that! I think you began questioning that amount if i'm not mistaken. Another prominent one for the GTA was before the Dec 07 storm. Too bad their rare, otherwise, Toronto would be a winter filled city continuously as Lake Ontario doesnt freeze over like the other lakes. 

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Numerous 15-18cm reports from the Oakville-Burlington area from today's snowfall. Nice little treat for the S Burbs.

 

Yup! Any initial thoughts for the clipper on Thursday-Friday? Still uncertainty among models on the exact intensity of the precipitation, but track does seem promising for something (>3cm). 

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