snowstormcanuck Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 Here is the 12z Euro text output for the late week clipper. yyz btw. Very nice. Who wouldn't take that given the 6 weeks of death we've just endured. But I thought you threw in the towel? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowstorms Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 Very nice. Who wouldn't take that given the 6 weeks of death we've just endured. But I thought you threw in the towel? For a snow weenie, it's always hard to let go, lmao. You can throw the towel in many times but you'll always have this charisma inside of you pulling for another snowstorm, haha! After this storm, the Euro shows nothing significant through 240 hours, lol. Just dry cold air! Maybe some flurries and light snow here and there. The S/W stream stays suppressed and we get no phasing with a strung out northern stream. How would you rate this in comparison to 09-10? LOL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WestCoaster Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 GGEM gave up on the 30-40cm dump it kept showing around February 2nd. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mississaugasnow Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 Special weather statement for the lake effect bands 5-10cm of snow and locally higher amounts. Mississauga seems right on the edge. Hopefully able to get at least a couple cms but I don't know if the NE flow will cooperate. does anyone have the updated models and what they are saying about the LE band? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blizzardof96 Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 Yeah, just saw it. But Mississauga south. Looks like you're in a good spot. Been in St Catharines all weekend and now the flow decides to shift to the NE... Def agree that the YHM-St Catharines corridor is favoured for LE over the SW GTA, with bands ramping up after ~18z tomorrow. Even in more favoured areas, doesn't look like anything too intense as Inversion heights are AOB 900mb and LL flow is pretty weak/sheared. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ottawa Blizzard Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 Just got back from Ottawa. They have a lot of snow up there! It looks like deep winter! It's a world away from Toronto. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blizzardof96 Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 Some areas already closing in on 10cm in the Oakville-YHM corridor. Looks like the band should settle between YHM-Niagara for the duration of the morning/afternoon. Some spots may approach 6" if the band has enough staying power. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mississaugasnow Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 Some areas already closing in on 10cm in the Oakville-YHM corridor. Looks like the band should settle between YHM-Niagara for the duration of the morning/afternoon. Some spots may approach 6" if the band has enough staying power. That area looks like it will get hit hard. Here in south Mississauga we are pushing around 2inches, with it still snowing lightly. Just checked out the cameras, looks like the lakeshore all the way to Toronto was able to get some snow on the ground with an increase in totals from east-west. By the 403/QEW merger it really ramps up and is still snowing good. Even though I'm missing out on the main squall by mere kms, I was at least able to get in on the action. 401/Dixon has no snow at all on the ground. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WestCoaster Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 Both GEM and GFS in agreement for a 10 cm dump end of this week and also start of next week. I'll take 20 cm over 4 days. Also seems like our pattern will be shifting more zonal for February. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
on_wx Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 They downgraded the warning to watch, yet squalls continue. A couple times this winter they've been using the snow squall watch as an advisory level and not even attempting to use their new weather advisory system launched last spring. A watch means conditions are possible for lake effect snow development. Not occurring with snowfall less than warning level. Just my regular nit-picking of EC... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted January 27, 2015 Share Posted January 27, 2015 11 years to the date of another memorable east wind LES event that rocked the Etobicoke shoreline, south Mississauga and east Oakville. 50cm+. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted January 27, 2015 Share Posted January 27, 2015 ^^^bummer!!! BUF used to have a write up (well, more like a brief mentioning, but still) of that event on their LES page but they no longer have the data for seasons before 2004-05. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 27, 2015 Share Posted January 27, 2015 ^^^bummer!!! BUF used to have a write up (well, more like a brief mentioning, but still) of that event on their LES page but they no longer have the data for seasons before 2004-05. I am so pissed about this. I have talked to some Mets there and they said they are working on getting it added. But the was awhile ago...I have no idea why they even took it down. It was such a great resource. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted January 27, 2015 Share Posted January 27, 2015 I am so pissed about this. I have talked to some Mets there and they said they are working on getting it added. But the was awhile ago...I have no idea why they even took it down. It was such a great resource. Yeah, IIRC, their archives went back to the late 1990s. It was a great resource. Well, I'm glad to hear they're not lost for good. May have had something to do with their website transition that happened a few years back. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 27, 2015 Share Posted January 27, 2015 Yeah, IIRC, their archives went back to the late 1990s. It was a great resource. Well, I'm glad to hear they're not lost for good. May have had something to do with their website transition that happened a few years back. Here is there official response: Rich, we had to make some changes to the pages. There are many interwoven links/references that need to be updated. The pages will return as time permits. We will also have some summaries posted for the 2013-2014 season, again as time permits. Richard, we have the data stored locally, but it will take some time for us to get this data back online. This was last year.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
on_wx Posted January 27, 2015 Share Posted January 27, 2015 My work schedule finally aligned with the twice monthly test of the Breslau tornado siren just east of Kitchener. I also have a video of the Elmira tornado sirens on my youtube channel, as well as bunch of videos near Sarnia, Michigan, and Kansas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mississaugasnow Posted January 27, 2015 Share Posted January 27, 2015 11 years to the date of another memorable east wind LES event that rocked the Etobicoke shoreline, south Mississauga and east Oakville. 50cm+. The biggest snowstorm I have ever seen. I remember that since it was so localized the high school stayed open but no one showed up even though it was sunny and the roads were clear. If I recall almost all of that snow fell in about 6-8 hours? I remember it started late afternoon/early evening and lasted until just after midnight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowstorms Posted January 27, 2015 Share Posted January 27, 2015 11 years to the date of another memorable east wind LES event that rocked the Etobicoke shoreline, south Mississauga and east Oakville. 50cm+. Too bad Toronto couldn't get some LES today, but congrats to our friends further south in Burlington/Oakville. But it still doesn't compare to a Nor'Easter like what NYC is experiencing atm. I'd love to experience one for myself. Them lucky fellas about to get a storm of a lifetime, lol. On the contrary, its been long since we've seen a true Apps runner as well. Apps runners usually bode well for our area. Great examples are the Dec 07 storm and March 08 blizzard. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted January 27, 2015 Share Posted January 27, 2015 The biggest snowstorm I have ever seen. I remember that since it was so localized the high school stayed open but no one showed up even though it was sunny and the roads were clear. If I recall almost all of that snow fell in about 6-8 hours? I remember it started late afternoon/early evening and lasted until just after midnight. Might be thinking about another one. There was one in December of 2000 that dropped locally 50cm in eastern Oakville and western Mississauga. That one may have been a 6-8 hr blast. I don't remember. The January 2004 one started in the evening of the 25th around Burlington, shifted north to the bullseye zone by midnight and just sat all night. Then during the mid morning of the 26th it shifted slightly further to the north to hit mby and YYZ. Then as WAA continued the band weakened early in the evening of the 26th. Then the synoptic took over. Incredible gradient during the afternoon of the 26th. I had shoveled my grandma's driveway in Mimico and they were easily approaching 40cm at that point. Had about 15cm imby in central Etobicoke when I got home. Called my mom who works in North York. NOT A FLAKE! Wild, wild stuff. When she was driving home on the 401 it hit like a wall at the 400, Live for east wind LES. It's so cool. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blizzardof96 Posted January 27, 2015 Share Posted January 27, 2015 Might be thinking about another one. There was one in December of 2000 that dropped locally 50cm in eastern Oakville and western Mississauga. That one may have been a 6-8 hr blast. I don't remember. The January 2004 one started in the evening of the 25th around Burlington, shifted north to the bullseye zone by midnight and just sat all night. Then during the mid morning of the 26th it shifted slightly further to the north to hit mby and YYZ. Then as WAA continued the band weakened early in the evening of the 26th. Then the synoptic took over. Incredible gradient during the afternoon of the 26th. I had shoveled my grandma's driveway in Mimico and they were easily approaching 40cm at that point. Had about 15cm imby in central Etobicoke when I got home. Called my mom who works in North York. NOT A FLAKE! Wild, wild stuff. When she was driving home on the 401 it hit like a wall at the 400, Live for east wind LES. It's so cool. ^^This. By far the best perk for a TO snowlover. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted January 27, 2015 Share Posted January 27, 2015 ^^This. By far the best perk for a TO snowlover. Just wish it happened more often! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowstorms Posted January 27, 2015 Share Posted January 27, 2015 Just wish it happened more often! What were the atmospheric conditions like during the January 2004 LES storm? You have maps? Thanks! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted January 27, 2015 Share Posted January 27, 2015 What were the atmospheric conditions like during the January 2004 LES storm? You have maps? Thanks! Sure. Here's 12z on the 26th (more: http://mp1.met.psu.edu/~fxg1/NARR/2004/us0126.php).Classic setup. Arctic high pressure over QC and a synoptic storm approaching from the Plains/MW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowstorms Posted January 27, 2015 Share Posted January 27, 2015 Sure. Here's 12z on the 26th (more: http://mp1.met.psu.edu/~fxg1/NARR/2004/us0126.php).Classic setup. Arctic high pressure over QC and a synoptic storm approaching from the Plains/MW. Awesome! Appreciate it man. Unfortunately, its a rare set-up thanks to the East-West Jet stream progression in the Northern hemisphere, but fun to experience whenever it does occur. We had one back in Feb 2013. YYZ recorded 13cm I think. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted January 27, 2015 Share Posted January 27, 2015 Another amazing thing was that despite it being a cold, wind-driven fluffy to powdery snow, the YYZ nipher managed to record 32cm over the 2 days. Probably over 40cm fell there in actuality. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted January 27, 2015 Share Posted January 27, 2015 Awesome! Appreciate it man. Unfortunately, its a rare set-up thanks to the East-West Jet stream progression in the Northern hemisphere, but fun to experience whenever it does occur. We had one back in Feb 2013. YYZ recorded 13cm I think. Yes, I remember that one. There were a couple last winter too. The December 2013 enhancement storm that hit downtown hard. There was also that one in early March 2014 that produced 10cm of 40:1 fluff at YYZ. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowstorms Posted January 27, 2015 Share Posted January 27, 2015 lol @ the nam. Heaviest amounts just north of the GTA. Shows 3-5cm for the Thurs-Friday clipper, lol. We can't win in this Winter! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blizzardof96 Posted January 27, 2015 Share Posted January 27, 2015 Numerous 15-18cm reports from the Oakville-Burlington area from today's snowfall. Nice little treat for the S Burbs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowstorms Posted January 27, 2015 Share Posted January 27, 2015 Yes, I remember that one. There were a couple last winter too. The December 2013 enhancement storm that hit downtown hard. There was also that one in early March 2014 that produced 10cm of 40:1 fluff at YYZ. Lmao, i remember that! I think you began questioning that amount if i'm not mistaken. Another prominent one for the GTA was before the Dec 07 storm. Too bad their rare, otherwise, Toronto would be a winter filled city continuously as Lake Ontario doesnt freeze over like the other lakes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowstorms Posted January 27, 2015 Share Posted January 27, 2015 Numerous 15-18cm reports from the Oakville-Burlington area from today's snowfall. Nice little treat for the S Burbs. Yup! Any initial thoughts for the clipper on Thursday-Friday? Still uncertainty among models on the exact intensity of the precipitation, but track does seem promising for something (>3cm). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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