Toronto4 Posted January 7, 2015 Share Posted January 7, 2015 It looks like we could get some snow on Friday morning as well. Looks like a good 1-2" with this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowstorms Posted January 7, 2015 Share Posted January 7, 2015 Looks like a good 1-2" with this. The clipper could pick up some moisture off the lakes and this could strengthen the precip shield a bit as it moves through the region. Snow ratios will be amazing. With the cold temperatures in place, ratios should be around 15:1. If it holds true, we could get 2-3" by Friday. The Euro showed ~0.20 qpf for YYZ. Lets see! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blizzardof96 Posted January 7, 2015 Share Posted January 7, 2015 The clipper could pick up some moisture off the lakes and this could strengthen the precip shield a bit as it moves through the region. Snow ratios will be amazing. With the cold temperatures in place, ratios should be around 15:1. If it holds true, we could get 2-3" by Friday. The Euro showed ~0.20 qpf for YYZ. Lets see! Models have been consistent on ~0.15-0.2" of QPF friday. The less winds veer to a SW direction, the more downsloping will be reduced and the more snow we will see in the GTA. Overall, ratios will probably be between 10:1-15:1. Since I don't have BUFKIT available, its hard to tell where the best Omega is in the sounding so its tougher to calc ratios. Cobb has been in the 12-14:1 range. Look like a tailor made 1-2" event... maybe up to 2.5" if everything goes right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mississaugasnow Posted January 7, 2015 Share Posted January 7, 2015 Looks like cottage country is finally cashing in during the last couple days. Snow squalls have been really crushing the Parry Sound/Muskoka area the last couple hours Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blizzardof96 Posted January 7, 2015 Share Posted January 7, 2015 Early morning rippage in and around YXU per the HRRR. Delta-T's near 30c, LICAPE above 1000j/kg, little to no wind shear, nice saturation and a weak inversion above ~800mb. Someone is going to get a foot, even if there is some movement of the band IMO. Where exactly it settles is still up for debate-- the latest NAM/RGEM are right into London while the HRRR/WRF are a little west of the city. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torchageddon Posted January 7, 2015 Share Posted January 7, 2015 LES vigorously ramping up again with a powerful band moving down from Manitoulin Island and the old band that was hanging around NW Bruce county is strengthening and moving south towards me . I got on and off snow this afternoon but just in the last hour its starting to look like a winter storm again: Most dense I've seen this winter right now and flake size is improving. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harrisale Posted January 7, 2015 Author Share Posted January 7, 2015 Picked up about 2-3cm of LES tonight so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
on_wx Posted January 7, 2015 Share Posted January 7, 2015 Its really cranking here! Whiteouts at time this band looks like it'll hang around for a while Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
London snowsquall Posted January 7, 2015 Share Posted January 7, 2015 The moon is out currently here, but that should change within the hour as the main band is dropping south into the city. Only picked up an inch or two overnight. EC says the main band should lock in towards Strathroy which would spare the city the worst of it, but SSC and I may get fringed because we both live in the west end of London. Should be fun for a while as the band rolls through. SSC you awake?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted January 7, 2015 Share Posted January 7, 2015 The moon is out currently here, but that should change within the hour as the main band is dropping south into the city. Only picked up an inch or two overnight. EC says the main band should lock in towards Strathroy which would spare the city the worst of it, but SSC and I may get fringed because we both live in the west end of London. Should be fun for a while as the band rolls through. SSC you awake?? Am now. Pouring snow as I look out my window. We're definitely in the best position here on the west side to fluke out some bigger snow, although I agree with EC that the BEST chance may be just to our west. Edit: I was expecting bigger flake size to be honest. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ottawa Blizzard Posted January 7, 2015 Share Posted January 7, 2015 Judging from MTO cameras, London is getting hit hard at the moment. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowstorms Posted January 7, 2015 Share Posted January 7, 2015 Looks like a nice 5-8cm is in store for the GTA tomorrow night. Ratios will be around 12:1 to 15:1. Other than that, its brutally cold today. Bundle up guys. Hows the LES SSC? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ottawa Blizzard Posted January 7, 2015 Share Posted January 7, 2015 Looks like a nice 5-8cm is in store for the GTA tomorrow night. Ratios will be around 12:1 to 15:1. Other than that, its brutally cold today. Bundle up guys. Hows the LES SSC? Looking forward to that snow. Very cold today. Local pond is frozen rock solid though, so I'm happy. The Vodka cold is doing its job! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
on_wx Posted January 7, 2015 Share Posted January 7, 2015 Am now. Pouring snow as I look out my window. We're definitely in the best position here on the west side to fluke out some bigger snow, although I agree with EC that the BEST chance may be just to our west. Edit: I was expecting bigger flake size to be honest. Was all pixie dust out this way. Haven't seen that too often with LES Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted January 7, 2015 Share Posted January 7, 2015 Have about 6" down with +SN. Heavy snow and blowing snow but nothing I haven't seen before. Generally 1-1.5"/hr rates. Pics to follow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
London snowsquall Posted January 7, 2015 Share Posted January 7, 2015 Have about 6" down with +SN. Heavy snow and blowing snow but nothing I haven't seen before. Generally 1-1.5"/hr rates. Pics to follow. Sorry SSC. Flake size isn't adequate to really get the job done, but that was pretty well advertised. Still a pretty good event for this year, considering the crap we've had so far. Hopefully the band can stay in the London vicinity. On the plus side, this should be enough to set the ski trails. Enjoy......... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted January 7, 2015 Share Posted January 7, 2015 Sorry SSC. Flake size isn't adequate to really get the job done, but that was pretty well advertised. Still a pretty good event for this year, considering the crap we've had so far. Hopefully the band can stay in the London vicinity. On the plus side, this should be enough to set the ski trails. Enjoy......... haha, no prob Alan. The winter's still young and I've got at least next year in London as well so I may still get my snowmaggedon. Was beautiful out there this morning. Looks like the band has set up shop over London proper so whatever it's going to dump it's going to dump it on us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted January 7, 2015 Share Posted January 7, 2015 Actually, maybe I spoke too soon. The tails of the streamers upstream over Lk Huron are beginning to drift to the west. May be an indication that it's Grand Bend/Strathroy's turn to get into the good stuff. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
on_wx Posted January 7, 2015 Share Posted January 7, 2015 Wicked vine from London : https://vine.co/v/OpAM7a01AVZ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
London snowsquall Posted January 7, 2015 Share Posted January 7, 2015 haha, no prob Alan. The winter's still young and I've got at least next year in London as well so I may still get my snowmaggedon. Was beautiful out there this morning. Looks like the band has set up shop over London proper so whatever it's going to dump it's going to dump it on us. I'm curious Mike. What sort of LES event would you classify as satisfactory? Personally, anything less than a foot really doesn't count as a good event in my books, or at least crazy rates where visibility is basically nil. We'll see about this one and where things end up, but considering this winter, it's as good as we've seen so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted January 7, 2015 Share Posted January 7, 2015 I'm curious Mike. What sort of LES event would you classify as satisfactory? Personally, anything less than a foot really doesn't count as a good event in my books, or at least crazy rates where visibility is basically nil. We'll see about this one and where things end up, but considering this winter, it's as good as we've seen so far. Well, I have high expectations because I've seen from afar how prodigious London LES events can be. I mean a 1 metre event would be insane, but if before I leave the Forest City for good (assuming I do) I'd love to see something in the 18"+ range. Because I've never witnessed such an event and it would be nice to put under the belt. Lord knows I won't see anything like that if I end up living in Toronto the rest of my life. Definitely agree that this is the best we've got so far. Still another month 'n change to go so hopefully ma nature comes through. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torchageddon Posted January 7, 2015 Share Posted January 7, 2015 The flake size has been a problem with this LES event, I'm not impressed overall because of it. When the monster band dipped all the way to London overnight I was in it for a while and it was the same small flakes as all the others, still enough to accumulate alright but not to my standards. Also these streamers have been hose like during the past 4 days and that is the case with the London one currently too. Its going to be a 402 special, wonder if it remains what's going to happen on that highway that I'm familiar with...hopefully those thinking of traveling on it remember Dec.5 2010. Currently -19ºC with a wind chill of -29...the coldest temperature so far this winter which coincidentally is the exact same date last winter had its coldest temperature or wind chill. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowstorms Posted January 7, 2015 Share Posted January 7, 2015 The 12z Euro spits out ~0.20 qpf for the GTA with the clipper. Using 12:1 and 15:1 snow ratios thats around 4-8cm. If we had a more pronounced snow cover atm, temperatures would be about 3-6C colder depending on location. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowstorms Posted January 7, 2015 Share Posted January 7, 2015 12z Euro also has a nice overrunning event next week just south of the region. Its pretty robust but it tracks just south of the area. Still plenty of time to work things out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted January 7, 2015 Share Posted January 7, 2015 Tough to tell because of all the drifting but I'm going to estimate 8-9" down. Life tip: If you live in an apartment but have an outdoor parking spot....YOU NEED A SHOVEL! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
on_wx Posted January 7, 2015 Share Posted January 7, 2015 Tough to tell because of all the drifting but I'm going to estimate 8-9" down. Life tip: If you live in an apartment but have an outdoor parking spot....YOU NEED A SHOVEL! Nice! That makes two 8"+ events for you this winter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowstorms Posted January 8, 2015 Share Posted January 8, 2015 0z Nam holding the fort with the clipper. It spits out 5-8cm for the GTA by Friday afternoon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
on_wx Posted January 8, 2015 Share Posted January 8, 2015 Think we might need a couple blizzard warnings or blowing snow advisories? TWN calling for the lake ontario les band to affect the gta this aft/eve before the clipper with 1" snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torchageddon Posted January 8, 2015 Share Posted January 8, 2015 All overnight and into the day I've been receiving light snow that is very fine but dense overall...with no returns showing up on radar. At times its moderate snow. I have a solid 35-45 cm on the ground at this point. EC's snow squall warnings and watches early yesterday mentioned that the squalls would end for areas east of Georgian Bay (quote - "This is ending the threat of snow squalls for areas to the east of Georgian Bay and will shift the threat to areas to the southeast of the bay.") but looking at radar they had full-on crush overnight with a strong band hitting one location and surrounding moderate to heavy at times. This event is lasting longer than I first thought, winds are going to pick up again soon. Cool configuration of warnings/watches for southern Ontario: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blizzardof96 Posted January 9, 2015 Share Posted January 9, 2015 Could rip pretty good from ~9pm-1am. Also the risk of blizzard like conditions with gusts easily over 50kph. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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