buckeye Posted January 15, 2015 Share Posted January 15, 2015 Not really, the Euro and the GFS evolve completely different compared to each other. but which model is flip flopping? The gfs has been consistent with a southern, suppressed track for days. This is why I don't understand people who ass kiss the euro. The euro started with an app-runner, then went to a CMH cutter, and now is gulfcoast scooter. MECS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted January 15, 2015 Share Posted January 15, 2015 Seems like it hasn't come in out to 240 on the free sites. Or on Weatherbell either. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted January 15, 2015 Share Posted January 15, 2015 but which model is flip flopping? The gfs has been consistent with a southern, suppressed track for days. This is why I don't understand people who ass kiss the euro. The euro started with an app-runner, then went to a CMH cutter, and now is gulfcoast scooter. The reason the Euro is flip flopping has to do with the northern stream and ridging or lack there of along the East Coast. The GFS shears out the energy where as the Euro consistently ejects the energy as a storm. The difference is the Euro actually has been showing a storm every run, the GFS hasn't been due to shearing out the energy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted January 15, 2015 Share Posted January 15, 2015 12z EURO obviously not a hit, but you can tell it's real close to bombs away at 192. Somehow it misses the phase, which is partially the fault of its SW retrograde bias. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 15, 2015 Author Share Posted January 15, 2015 but which model is flip flopping? The gfs has been consistent with a southern, suppressed track for days. This is why I don't understand people who ass kiss the euro. The euro started with an app-runner, then went to a CMH cutter, and now is gulfcoast scooter. MECS I don't necessarily disagree with what you're saying here, but does run to run consistency on a specific storm really matter that much when it's over a week away? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted January 15, 2015 Share Posted January 15, 2015 12z EURO obviously not a hit, but you can tell it's real close to bombs away at 192. Somehow it misses the phase, which is partially the fault of its SW retrograde bias. was just going to post this /\. It actually turns the corner but there is no phasing. Meanwhile several lows diving in from the nw and across the lakes.... the fuse is there Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted January 15, 2015 Share Posted January 15, 2015 I don't necessarily disagree with what you're saying here, but does run to run consistency on a specific storm really matter that much when it's over a week away? no it doesn't, but at worst it's no worse than a model flip-flopping solutions...correct? That's all I meant. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted January 15, 2015 Share Posted January 15, 2015 Can't wait to see what tomorrow's 192 looks like! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 15, 2015 Author Share Posted January 15, 2015 New thread been give http://www.americanwx.com/bb/index.php/topic/45394-winter-201415-med-long-range-discussion-part-3/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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