CoastalWx Posted December 9, 2014 Share Posted December 9, 2014 I think it would be more interesting to compare an inland location like ORH or CON because the are not subject to the variations of being so close to the coastline. I have to drive to BOS tomorrow for a flight to JFK. Booked a train also because I expect many delays and cancellations tomorrow afternoon. I would like to leave home after a morning walking in heavy snow and then drive on a plowed salted 93 south. Well I can only compare sites that actually have RAOBs or balloon launches. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted December 9, 2014 Share Posted December 9, 2014 That's cool Ray ... That's only 20-25 miles due east of me. Over there a lot to the malls, etc. KALB is right in the heart of Colonie. Damn, my gf's cousin lives in Colonie, just west of Albany...we were out there in October. They look to be right in the transition zone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 9, 2014 Share Posted December 9, 2014 Kind of a snowy evening now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 9, 2014 Share Posted December 9, 2014 Kind of a snowy evening now. Only about 12F off from model progs earlier. LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phil882 Posted December 9, 2014 Share Posted December 9, 2014 For those up near Albany, I've put together a HRRR forecast sounding animation that should update each new model cycle... still looks like a warm nose tries to get in here around 1200 UTC before the precip starts. Note that its below freezing at the surface though, so probably a freezing rain/sleet mix given the relatively weak nature of the warm nose... I image if precip rates increase later in the day there is potential for dynamical cooling to cut into the warm nose. http://www.atmos.albany.edu/student/ppapin/lb13_img/hrrr/hrrr_snd.php Here is what it looks like a 1200 UTC: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 9, 2014 Share Posted December 9, 2014 That's cool Ray ... That's only 20-25 miles due east of me. Over there a lot to the malls, etc. KALB is right in the heart of Colonie. I'll let you know next time I'm out that way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted December 9, 2014 Share Posted December 9, 2014 Ok sounds good. Hope you manage a bit of front end there. I'll let you know next time I'm out that way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 9, 2014 Share Posted December 9, 2014 NAM is damn cold at 850 tomorrow afternoon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 9, 2014 Author Share Posted December 9, 2014 Wow, NAM is really cooling it down in the MLs. 0C line is only at central CT and RI at 18z tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 9, 2014 Share Posted December 9, 2014 Wow, NAM is really cooling it down in the MLs. 0C line is only at central CT and RI at 18z tomorrow. Unfortunately 925 is still relatively warm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 9, 2014 Share Posted December 9, 2014 I'm Calling for 2-3" of mixed frozen precip here Timing is an issue. I think up by Brian and Mark they should do ok. Albany should get a nice pasting out through MPM and Pete Mitch could grab 8-10" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 9, 2014 Share Posted December 9, 2014 NAM is an isothermal 0C paste job here tomorrow evening. Damn. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 9, 2014 Share Posted December 9, 2014 Unfortunately 925 is still relatively warm. Ice ice baby Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 9, 2014 Share Posted December 9, 2014 Loving the snow tonight! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 9, 2014 Author Share Posted December 9, 2014 Unfortunately 925 is still relatively warm. Hard for me to believe where it pushes that warmth at 925... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 9, 2014 Share Posted December 9, 2014 Ice storm warnings pike north maybe? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted December 9, 2014 Share Posted December 9, 2014 Unfortunately 925 is still relatively warm. NAM is damn cold at 850 tomorrow afternoon. Isn't the heavy precip coming in the morning and early afternoon up here? In other words a heavy dumping and then drizzle in the later afternoon/eve? Will be interesting to see what comes out of GYX later. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 9, 2014 Share Posted December 9, 2014 LOL, how is it so warm at 950-925? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 9, 2014 Share Posted December 9, 2014 Hard for me to believe where it pushes that warmth at 925... Yeah...925 took a real hit this run. Much colder up here during the meat of the action. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 9, 2014 Share Posted December 9, 2014 Good luck to Mike and Chris tonight... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 9, 2014 Share Posted December 9, 2014 NAM further west too? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted December 9, 2014 Share Posted December 9, 2014 Good luck to Mike and Chris tonight... nampaste21hr.gif nampaste24hr.gif nampaste27hr.gif I think they will have to split Merrimack County. This is a very different storm in the n and w part of the county vs. the se. I don't recall ever seeing the county split though, at least in the zones. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted December 9, 2014 Share Posted December 9, 2014 Nam looks to be over a half inch here before we go above freezing? Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted December 9, 2014 Share Posted December 9, 2014 LOL, how is it so warm at 950-925?if that levels overdone itll rip in the interior Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phil882 Posted December 9, 2014 Share Posted December 9, 2014 Good luck figuring out where the surface low is going to track... just amazing amount of run to run discontinuity more than 24 hours out. http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/namconus/2014120900/namconus_T850_neus_comp33.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted December 9, 2014 Share Posted December 9, 2014 Yes and no. This time it wraps it into like the central to southern NJ coast, but then it vertically stacks so it doesn't drive it right up into LI, etc. The parent low anchors around Little Egg Habor, NJ. It begins a slow fade NE then off NJ. Second low flung into ME Coast. NAM further west too? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 9, 2014 Share Posted December 9, 2014 Loving the snow tonight! Yea, great growth.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowgeek Posted December 9, 2014 Share Posted December 9, 2014 Impressive round 2 on the NAM. Another model run, another possibility. Insane LOA (lack of agreement). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted December 9, 2014 Share Posted December 9, 2014 Changed my trip to the city to Thursday...might still be some action then, but probably do-able. Also bringing my Mom and friends down with me so they can have an xmas shopping day. We'll have to see if this second coming gives us much more, or if its even real. But several models have had that kind of idea on various runs. Impressive round 2 on the NAM. Another model run, another possibility. Insane LOA (lack of agreement). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 9, 2014 Share Posted December 9, 2014 Neat to see the NAM come in cooler even if it is wacky with the 925-950 temps. I think the 18z showed warmth there as well--at least when I ran some skew-t's for the Pit it appeared it had them. The ZFP is calling for 4-8". If the NAM's right, that might play out. I wonder how the weathertap winter radar will do picking up p-type. I think I can guess the answer. Good luck folks--off to bed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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