CoastalWx Posted December 8, 2014 Share Posted December 8, 2014 Still a nice backlash sig as ULL goes out SE..That could drop a nice 2-4 in spots Yeah I'm not big on that. That's a nowcast thing if anything. It's also going to depend on any redeveloping low which is separate. I could see the Berks getting it though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted December 8, 2014 Share Posted December 8, 2014 Still a nice backlash sig as ULL goes out SE..That could drop a nice 2-4 in spots I don't see any backlash signature. What are you looking at? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 8, 2014 Share Posted December 8, 2014 Been snowing here very lightly. Dusting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 8, 2014 Share Posted December 8, 2014 Very light snow just started here . Tiny flakes You better fire up the snowblower. 10.9/2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 8, 2014 Author Share Posted December 8, 2014 I see some redevelopment of precip as the ULL goes south of us. But it's not overly robust. We'll want the low to redevelop and track through S ME I think. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 8, 2014 Share Posted December 8, 2014 This is just an awe-inspiring snow map with a watch in place--lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted December 8, 2014 Share Posted December 8, 2014 I see some redevelopment of precip as the ULL goes south of us. But it's not overly robust. We'll want the low to redevelop and track through S ME I think. At least at 500 hpa the ULL really stays northwest of SNE for most of its evolution. That's never really a great track. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 8, 2014 Share Posted December 8, 2014 And, the "maximum potential" map really will excite. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 8, 2014 Share Posted December 8, 2014 I don't see any backlash signature. What are you looking at?WhAt I see is our classic precip blossoming as the ULL goes south and it just starts steadily snowing Wed Nite and Thursday with a couple of inches possible . Signal there Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 8, 2014 Share Posted December 8, 2014 This is just an awe-inspiring snow map with a watch in place--lol Just fooking enjoy it. You'll grab a net gain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 8, 2014 Share Posted December 8, 2014 Pretty good sign to have this light snow breaking out now way ahead of schedule Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted December 8, 2014 Share Posted December 8, 2014 What's the forecast rainfall prediction for PWM/LEW area? Wondering if my 3" glaciated pack will hold on or are we going all brown. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted December 8, 2014 Share Posted December 8, 2014 And, the "maximum potential" map really will excite. These maps are really, really funky. They don't make sense to me. Even the "maximum potential" map doesn't verify watch criteria in any of their zones (50% of the zone >6" in 12 hours). I get the feeling these maps aren't anywhere near ready for primetime. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted December 8, 2014 Share Posted December 8, 2014 Been snowing here very lightly. Dusting. Same here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 8, 2014 Share Posted December 8, 2014 bouncy bouncy flying over the system (connecting through ATL, look to just past PHL at this po. Scott-- you should have had them reroute us:) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 8, 2014 Share Posted December 8, 2014 bouncy bouncy flying over the system (connecting through ATL, look to just past PHL at this po. Scott-- you should have had them reroute us:) Not at work right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 8, 2014 Share Posted December 8, 2014 These maps are really, really funky. They don't make sense to me. Even the "maximum potential" map doesn't verify watch criteria in any of their zones (50% of the zone >6" in 12 hours). I get the feeling these maps aren't anywhere near ready for primetime. Well, ,they do say 'experimental'. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 8, 2014 Share Posted December 8, 2014 1-2" coming! That's my expectation at this time. I will check in again for a possible change around 1:30PM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 8, 2014 Share Posted December 8, 2014 Not at work right now. Was just joking. NAM running. We're nearing it's after-the-fact wheelhouse. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 8, 2014 Share Posted December 8, 2014 At least at 500 hpa the ULL really stays northwest of SNE for most of its evolution. That's never really a great track.? Euro and Ens have it overhead. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 8, 2014 Share Posted December 8, 2014 I actually would almost hesitate to call it backlash. If you look at the QPF..it's almost from the low occluding and you have these little convergence areas. The real backlash is well west. It's really a nowcast thing if anything. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 8, 2014 Share Posted December 8, 2014 That's my expectation at this time. I will check in again for a possible change around 1:30PM My expectations are 2-3". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 8, 2014 Share Posted December 8, 2014 My expectations are 2-3". I'm going with 4" up here, perhaps 3" on the ground when all is said and done. REALLY bouncy. Flight attendance forced to sit--have to use the can, ftl. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 8, 2014 Share Posted December 8, 2014 My expectations are 2-3". I'm going with 4" up here, perhaps 3" on the ground when all is said and done. REALLY bouncy. Flight attendance forced to sit--have to use the can, ftl. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted December 8, 2014 Share Posted December 8, 2014 Pretty good sign to have this light snow breaking out now way ahead of scheduleThings are looking good! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 8, 2014 Share Posted December 8, 2014 LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Valley Snowman Posted December 8, 2014 Share Posted December 8, 2014 how does Taunton have a watch out for areas where the maximum snowfall potential is under 2 inches on their maps? I would think you have to at least have a 4-inch maximum potential across the area that is under the watch Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 8, 2014 Author Share Posted December 8, 2014 how does Taunton have a watch out for areas where the maximum snowfall potential is under 2 inches on their maps? I would think you have to at least have a 4-inch maximum potential across the area that is under the watch Prob because those maps aren't operational. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 8, 2014 Share Posted December 8, 2014 how does Taunton have a watch out for areas where the maximum snowfall potential is under 2 inches on their maps? I would think you have to at least have a 4-inch maximum potential across the area that is under the watch The maps are identifie das experiemental. I don't think they mesh with their expectations. But, go low on this one. As least I'll get my qpf. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 8, 2014 Share Posted December 8, 2014 Probably a good thing MPM is away. Great event in his hood. Nice 60 knot gusts in LIS with 3 foot surge prediction. Good thing astro is not exceptional. Euro and Euro Ens certainly do show ULL snow,not backlash but certainly have snow around from Wed on in various intensity. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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