ORH_wxman Posted December 7, 2014 Author Share Posted December 7, 2014 I think the kook storm was the Octobomb Tim Kelley is losing his mind No, it was Feb 2010...I remember it vividly, lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 7, 2014 Share Posted December 7, 2014 Still looks fun on the backside for sw ct. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 7, 2014 Author Share Posted December 7, 2014 I still think the front end needs to be watched...those mid-levels are really marginal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 7, 2014 Share Posted December 7, 2014 NAM is ugly for many, but it's about 1C away H85-down from being an isothermal 0C thumping here. I still think the big front end is on the table for C NH before the dryslot rips through. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 7, 2014 Share Posted December 7, 2014 I still think the front end needs to be watched...those mid-levels are really marginal.thumpidity dumpity Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 7, 2014 Share Posted December 7, 2014 That's a thumping up here. More so than a lot of the models which weaken that strong WCB before it gets this far NW. Not so much on the NAM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Valley Snowman Posted December 7, 2014 Share Posted December 7, 2014 not like anyone cares but yesterday's JMA was epic Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
scoob40 Posted December 7, 2014 Share Posted December 7, 2014 lol but you might want to check those populations numbers, have you ever left your city and gone anywhere besides Moms basement at the lake? It's Sunday and no body really knows how this plays out in 2 days. That's how unusual it is. Remember this? way before these national Mets started throwing out 1992 we threw that type of atmosphere scenario out on the table here at AMWX 5 days ago. Yea I am thinking of the dynamics.lol Credit to James Nichols. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
educate Posted December 7, 2014 Share Posted December 7, 2014 I still think the front end needs to be watched...those mid-levels are really marginal. Looks like late Monday through rush hour Tuesday could get a bit messy Boston N & W. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 7, 2014 Share Posted December 7, 2014 This has the look of the BWI hits a couple years back where the models consistently (and accurately it turned out) showed the stall and just pummeling the area. I kept waiting in vain for the models to show a stall a couple hundred miles north. Fast forward a few years and here I am wishing for a stall 50 miles SE. Alas. Enjoy the cool weather today. This is what was going to feed into our big snows when it was slated for a start tomorrow. Alas. 26.5/15 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted December 7, 2014 Share Posted December 7, 2014 I'm looking forward to 3 rain storms within the first 10 days of met winter. Maybe some record rainfalls coming my way. Fingers crossed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted December 7, 2014 Share Posted December 7, 2014 I'm looking forward to 3 rain storms within the first 10 days of met winter. Maybe some record rainfalls coming my way. Fingers crossed. Toes too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted December 7, 2014 Share Posted December 7, 2014 I'm just hoping for some wintery precipitation...oh wait, I'm getting it. Rain: the other wintery precipitation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ROOSTA Posted December 7, 2014 Share Posted December 7, 2014 Going to be a tough week personally. Big-time OT. My dad passed early this morning. Age 91 would have turned 92 on the solstice, fitting it be Dec 7th. A WW2 vet. Still getting word out to the whole family. This is my first and only mention on social media. I consider many here my friend and in many ways extended family. Tears from heaven all week...fitting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eduggs Posted December 7, 2014 Share Posted December 7, 2014 I'd be much more comfortable if I were up another 1000 ft in elevation... the evolution here is very reminiscent of the February 2010 cyclones that occluded and dumped an incredible amount of elevation snowfall in the Catskills and Adirondacks, but very little in the valley. Don't think sleet or freezing rain will be a significant concern with this event since the surface low will be vertically stacked, meaning little chance of a substantial cold layer to allow substantial sleet accumulation. Probably elevation dependent rain or snow and not much other frozen precip. Agree on the comparison. I was down in the lower HV for the Feb 2010 storm. I was in Putnam County, which is just east of Orange County, where I believe a state of emergency was declared. That was the most fascinating winter storm I have ever experienced. Heavy snow made it all the way to the river level (just above sea level) where about 12 inches accumulated. There was about 18" at 400ft and over 30" above 1000ft. The snow was elevation dependent but much moreso longitudinally dependent. 15 miles east of where I was at 800' got very little snow. The rain/snow cutoff was basically in the middle of Putnam County, and it lingered there in a N-S orientation, which is a situation I have never seen in 30 years. Albany downslopes worse than the lower HV on a NE wind. But I also think it can snow right to the valley if the moisture firehoses into the region at the right angle and we are just far enough west. I want to be in the Helderbergs for this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted December 7, 2014 Share Posted December 7, 2014 Sooo sorry about your loss Going to be a tough week personally. Big-time OT. My dad passed early this morning. Age 91 would have turned 92 on the solstice, fitting it be Dec 7th. A WW2 vet. Still getting word out to the whole family. This is my first and only mention on social media. I consider many here my friend and in many ways extended family. Tears from heaven all week...fitting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Saber Posted December 7, 2014 Share Posted December 7, 2014 sorry to hear ...RIP Going to be a tough week personally. Big-time OT. My dad passed early this morning. Age 91 would have turned 92 on the solstice, fitting it be Dec 7th. A WW2 vet. Still getting word out to the whole family. This is my first and only mention on social media. I consider many here my friend and in many ways extended family. Tears from heaven all week...fitting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Valley Snowman Posted December 7, 2014 Share Posted December 7, 2014 sorry to hear ...RIP Sounds like a great man. Sorry for you're loss. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 7, 2014 Author Share Posted December 7, 2014 GFS rips some pretty big mid-level warmth west. That might even flip powderfreak over. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Valley Snowman Posted December 7, 2014 Share Posted December 7, 2014 GFS rips some pretty big mid-level warmth west. That might even flip powderfreak over. what about the surface low track? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 7, 2014 Author Share Posted December 7, 2014 what about the surface low track? It's fairly irrelevant in the scheme of things...it looks like it stalls near E LI/SE CT...then drifts NE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Valley Snowman Posted December 7, 2014 Share Posted December 7, 2014 The sad part is that no one is really commenting much on the American models because they are so unreliable. The comments come fast and quick when the Euro comes to town. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 7, 2014 Share Posted December 7, 2014 Going to be a tough week personally. Big-time OT. My dad passed early this morning. Age 91 would have turned 92 on the solstice, fitting it be Dec 7th. A WW2 vet. Still getting word out to the whole family. This is my first and only mention on social media. I consider many here my friend and in many ways extended family. Tears from heaven all week...fitting. I am so sorry--I hope you and your family can find comfort. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 7, 2014 Share Posted December 7, 2014 That's a borderline warning here followed by days of drizzle. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 7, 2014 Share Posted December 7, 2014 GFS rips some pretty big mid-level warmth west. That might even flip powderfreak over. Pretty ugly. A few inches for some on the front end to be washed away later. Based on the NAM/GFS, being in IA may not be all that bad. 28.3/15 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 7, 2014 Share Posted December 7, 2014 That's a borderline warning here followed by days of drizzle. If we could only get this a little further east, It could be a good dumping Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted December 7, 2014 Share Posted December 7, 2014 I'm just hoping for some wintery precipitation...oh wait, I'm getting it. Rain: the other wintery precipitation. I lol'd. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 7, 2014 Share Posted December 7, 2014 Going to be a tough week personally. Big-time OT. My dad passed early this morning. Age 91 would have turned 92 on the solstice, fitting it be Dec 7th. A WW2 vet. Still getting word out to the whole family. This is my first and only mention on social media. I consider many here my friend and in many ways extended family. Tears from heaven all week...fitting. So sorry Don! Never easy to lose your dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 7, 2014 Share Posted December 7, 2014 If we could only get this a little further east, It could be a good dumping I'm pretty resigned to the fact that the low-level CAD is going to lose out and that our best bet is to romp on the front end and then follow your member name. I'll consider it a win if there's a net gain. And I offer my condolences as well Don. Not that it makes it any easier, but almost 92 is a great, long life. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted December 7, 2014 Share Posted December 7, 2014 Going to be a tough week personally. Big-time OT. My dad passed early this morning. Age 91 would have turned 92 on the solstice, fitting it be Dec 7th. A WW2 vet. Still getting word out to the whole family. This is my first and only mention on social media. I consider many here my friend and in many ways extended family. Tears from heaven all week...fitting. Wow. Sorry to hear this. My thoughts are with you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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