Damage In Tolland Posted December 5, 2014 Share Posted December 5, 2014 Not if you recognize the possibilities.It seems some are thinking the chance of east is higher than west. Let me tell you.. In this setup there's room for 100 miles plus to come west Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 5, 2014 Share Posted December 5, 2014 Wait for the run over the next few days that brings it over SE Mass. This place will lose it. Hope it doesn't happen,, but it is entirely possible That's a frequent occurrence so no one should be that shocked if it happens. This early, I want a coastal storm. I'm happy because I think it happens. I don't lament loss of snow before the solstice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 5, 2014 Share Posted December 5, 2014 How's the tides, Ginxy? Serious question. Edit: Nothing special. 10.5 to 10.8. Winds are going to be more of the coastal issues Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 5, 2014 Share Posted December 5, 2014 I am getting like Scooter pissed off when interior peeps whine at a setup like this, Geezus MPM PF and even Hunchie are gold on the EuroWho is whining? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 5, 2014 Share Posted December 5, 2014 Kevin's figuring he's not getting snow so he's willing no one to get snow with all his night....lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 5, 2014 Author Share Posted December 5, 2014 Guys, this can go either way at this point...there's no golden nugget in this setup that says its obviously going either direction. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 5, 2014 Share Posted December 5, 2014 Kevin's figuring he's not getting snow so he's willing no one to get snow with all his night....lol.Not at all. Hopefully everyone snows.. But the chances most of the posters here see snow are not very good. If this thing slows down anymore it rains to Montreal Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 5, 2014 Share Posted December 5, 2014 Kevin's figuring he's not getting snow so he's willing no one to get snow with all his night....lol.yep but it's also a fishing expedition. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 5, 2014 Share Posted December 5, 2014 Not at all. Hopefully everyone snows.. But the chances most of the posters here see snow are not very good. If this thing slows down anymore it rains to Montrealit's more about 5h, if it slows there is another fresh supply of Arctic air so you can't say that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Valley Snowman Posted December 5, 2014 Share Posted December 5, 2014 It seems some are thinking the chance of east is higher than west. Let me tell you.. In this setup there's room for 100 miles plus to come west[/quote Possibly but it would really require an early and extreme type of phase its not like the NAO is off the charts negative and like the last storm the Low up in Canada could act as a kicker to keep things moving. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 5, 2014 Share Posted December 5, 2014 Guys, this can go either way at this point...there's no golden nugget in this setup that says its obviously going either direction.The clusters in Ens are very tight for a 5 day prog I would be surprised if this came way west Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted December 5, 2014 Share Posted December 5, 2014 Perish the thought. But I suppose crazier things have happened. It might be vertically stacked by te time it could ever cut nnw to like the Upper HV. Theres a decent chance it cuts as far west as Hrv .. We've been thru this drill before. Nothing to keep it east Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jamesnichols89 Posted December 5, 2014 Share Posted December 5, 2014 Most models have a piece of arctic jet energy breaking off from the PV's area of dominance and the arctic jet flow over Canada. It allows a piece of energy to amplify within the arctic jet and dive southeastward, putting our chances of a colder scenario in the backyard garbage bin, instead the foreign models all have a degree of this occurring as well, but not to the point of the GFS. GFS is overplaying the arctic jet disturbance and therefore is a colder air mass after the Tuesday storm. There is a chance that the models will resolve this with better northern stream system sampling by day 2. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Go Kart Mozart Posted December 5, 2014 Share Posted December 5, 2014 It seems that we all laughed at James Nichols when he described this possibility earlier in the week...just sayin.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 5, 2014 Share Posted December 5, 2014 It seems that we all laughed at James Nichols when he described this possibility earlier in the week...just sayin.... Who laughed? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jamesnichols89 Posted December 5, 2014 Share Posted December 5, 2014 Most were laughing. Not set in stone yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 5, 2014 Share Posted December 5, 2014 Nino winters are notorious for their harsh demeanor relative to the cp early in the season. This is no surprise....see Dec-Jan 2002-'03 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 5, 2014 Share Posted December 5, 2014 It looks to rain anywhere within 70 miles of the cape....if I remember correctly, James was talking about a PV phasing in. Big diff. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 5, 2014 Share Posted December 5, 2014 I think the N orh hills and especially GC are good to go. This isnt going up the HRV imo Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted December 5, 2014 Share Posted December 5, 2014 It looks to rain anywhere within 70 miles of the cape....if I remember correctly, James was talking about a PV phasing in. Big diff. Yeah. Only shot we have is if the high can move into a favorable position, and we are trending away from that type of solution Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SlantStickers Anonymous Posted December 5, 2014 Share Posted December 5, 2014 Yeah. Only shot we have is if the high can move into a favorable position, and we are trending away from that type of solution Eh, it's still too far out. I'd wait another couple days before considering any sort of trends as being meaningful. I get what you're saying though, verbatim that high position would be... Hostile. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 5, 2014 Share Posted December 5, 2014 GFS still says no way Jose. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jamesnichols89 Posted December 5, 2014 Share Posted December 5, 2014 GFS is still showing a northern movement with the lead northern stream shortwave energy over the Midwest. Still time for this model to come around. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 5, 2014 Share Posted December 5, 2014 GFS is still showing a northern movement with the lead northern stream shortwave energy over the Midwest. Still time for this model to come around. Certainly by Monday night/Tuesday morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jamesnichols89 Posted December 5, 2014 Share Posted December 5, 2014 Certainly by Monday night/Tuesday morning. It could even happen without the support of the GFS, by the way, does anyone else see that extra energy hanging around southern Manitoba, Canada at the hour 144? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 5, 2014 Share Posted December 5, 2014 CMC will not disappoint Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 5, 2014 Share Posted December 5, 2014 CMC will not disappoint Nope..LOL. Mild, but still has it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 5, 2014 Share Posted December 5, 2014 Ukie is still south of MTP and slowly moves it up to cstl NE MA at hr 144. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted December 5, 2014 Share Posted December 5, 2014 If the Euro starts to lock in on this thing, I think I'll just quit looking at the GFS for a couple days. It's not worth the time and annoyance. I can do that since I'm just a weenie. GFS still says no way Jose. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 5, 2014 Share Posted December 5, 2014 If the Euro starts to lock in on this thing, I think I'll just quit looking at the GFS for a couple days. It's not worth the time and annoyance. I can do that since I'm just a weenie. Well the Canadian and Ukie still got it. Ukie seems pretty mild for many though. Good for you out that way and also probably a good dump for maybe ORH on north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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