Damage In Tolland Posted December 5, 2014 Share Posted December 5, 2014 Up north it is.So what about for CNE and SNE where 96% of us live? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 5, 2014 Author Share Posted December 5, 2014 Will 3 days ago I had this 92 feel and mentioned in somewhat jest here but damn this euro run brings back memories. Being cognizant of a stall and capture this could rank up there guys if as depicted If this digs much further S and closes off in a good spot, then I'll think about the comparison...but that storm was just on a whole different level...so I'm reluctant to even compare until it's really looking similar. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 5, 2014 Author Share Posted December 5, 2014 So what about for CNE and SNE where 96% of us live? Worrying about details at D5... It looks like it could end as a period of accumulating snow after rain for most of SNE. That's all we can say at this point. We've pointed out the ways it could trend snowier. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 5, 2014 Share Posted December 5, 2014 If this digs much further S and closes off in a good spot, then I'll think about the comparison...but that storm was just on a whole different level...so I'm reluctant to even compare until it's really looking similar. Yep, other than Cat I flooding, 6" of QPF, and 42" of snow...you may be able to make the comparison. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 5, 2014 Share Posted December 5, 2014 Holy crap on the Ens, what a storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 5, 2014 Share Posted December 5, 2014 If this digs much further S and closes off in a good spot, then I'll think about the comparison...but that storm was just on a whole different level...so I'm reluctant to even compare until it's really looking similar. Of course but evolution wise not latitude wise, this has hallmarks on the Euro of a depiction of a classic Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 5, 2014 Share Posted December 5, 2014 Holy crap on the Ens, what a storm Would look a lot like my avatar............lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 5, 2014 Share Posted December 5, 2014 of course Scott without new moon tides of 12 feet you wouldn't get the Cat 1 flooding but lets be big kids and think about the evolutionary meteorology as depicted by the Euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted December 5, 2014 Share Posted December 5, 2014 Some of these clubs could actually start grooming on Dec 15th when trails officially open up here if this one plays out right for the Jackman region 2"+ LE of SN and maybe some IP by midweek? That would probably do it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 5, 2014 Author Share Posted December 5, 2014 of course Scott without new moon tides of 12 feet you wouldn't get the Cat 1 flooding but lets be big kids and think about the evolutionary meteorology as depicted by the Euro I'd like to see a much more impressive downstream ridge buckling over the top of the upper low for a '92 comparison...this is an impressive depiction, don't get me wrong, but it has work to do in order to be on the same level of a storm as '92...even taking into account latitude difference. That downstream ridge just buckled and held the storm underneath it for like 36 hours...this one is a bit more progressive and the high slides further E. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Valley Snowman Posted December 5, 2014 Share Posted December 5, 2014 I think the European ensemble mean is a reflection of the members that continue to be well south and east, but in reality there is also a large cluster further west with low locations near Long Island and Connecticut as well so I'm not really excited un less I see more of a shift from the operational and the control version Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 5, 2014 Share Posted December 5, 2014 of course Scott without new moon tides of 12 feet you wouldn't get the Cat 1 flooding but lets be big kids and think about the evolutionary meteorology as depicted by the Euro LOL, every closed low south of LI is 92. I agree with Will, that is on a whole other level. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 5, 2014 Share Posted December 5, 2014 2"+ LE of SN and maybe some IP by midweek? That would probably do it. Oh yes it would Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SR Airglow Posted December 5, 2014 Share Posted December 5, 2014 I think the European ensemble mean is a reflection of the members that continue to be well south and east, but in reality there is also a large cluster further west with low locations near Long Island and Connecticut as well so I'm not really excited un less I see more of a shift from the operational and the control version Have you seen the individuals, or are you just speculating? There's a WxBell product which plots the locations of the individual lows(Among many other things with the indies), but I don't think that comes out until like 5 ish, although I know other sources have indies sooner. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 5, 2014 Share Posted December 5, 2014 I'd like to see a much more impressive downstream ridge buckling over the top of the upper low for a '92 comparison...this is an impressive depiction, don't get me wrong, but it has work to do in order to be on the same level of a storm as '92...even taking into account latitude difference. That downstream ridge just buckled and held the storm underneath it for like 36 hours...this one is a bit more progressive and the high slides further E. Certainly not as deep and faster I agree, Euro Ens would be a huge snowstorm to the coast. Just as a general sense not specifically but the airmass, capture and rapid height field crash is similar to some of the big storms. Saying 92 feel was never intended to say a duplicate rather a general similar evolution. Pretty rare bird s depicted. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Valley Snowman Posted December 5, 2014 Share Posted December 5, 2014 Have you seen the individuals, or are you just speculating? There's a WxBell product which plots the locations of the individual lows(Among many other things with the indies), but I don't think that comes out until like 5 ish, although I know other sources have indies sooner.[/quote I was looking at the low locations on weatherbell . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 5, 2014 Share Posted December 5, 2014 LOL, every closed low south of LI is 92. I agree with Will, that is on a whole other level. LOl Lol lol lol. whoosh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SR Airglow Posted December 5, 2014 Share Posted December 5, 2014 Have you seen the individuals, or are you just speculating? There's a WxBell product which plots the locations of the individual lows(Among many other things with the indies), but I don't think that comes out until like 5 ish, although I know other sources have indies sooner.[/quote I was looking at the low locations on weatherbell . Gotcha, didn't realize those are out so early, wasn't until like 5 last winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 5, 2014 Share Posted December 5, 2014 Would look a lot like my avatar............lol Jeffaffa I certainly am extremely envious of your position on this Euro depiction. Hopefully it stalls in just the right position for you to relive your avatar. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted December 5, 2014 Share Posted December 5, 2014 Strange evolution, but it looks like in that scenario everyone would get some measurable snowfall, maybe even a good bit at that, even in places that it rains Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted December 5, 2014 Share Posted December 5, 2014 LOL, every closed low south of LI is 92. I agree with Will, that is on a whole other level. Could be the most over-used analog storm ever. Not sure why it gets so much play either. That storm gives me nightmares anyway. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jamesnichols89 Posted December 5, 2014 Share Posted December 5, 2014 Wee need the arctic jet infusion of energy into the northern stream trough to dig S of LI and close off a low. ULLs south of LI spell snow trouble for SNE, especially if this was a real true arctic air mass. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 5, 2014 Share Posted December 5, 2014 LOl Lol lol lol. whoosh I know what you mean. That storm basically ripped the heart out of me like the "Temple of Doom" but boy was it historic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jamesnichols89 Posted December 5, 2014 Share Posted December 5, 2014 I would surrender the chance for snow if I got 70-80mph wind gusts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted December 5, 2014 Share Posted December 5, 2014 Here's the thing on the Euro Ensembles... the biggest "clustering" of lows I see is over Long Island and Connecticut. Most members west of the mean with a handful waaaaaaay east. While the "mean" looks nice most of the members aren't even close to it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 5, 2014 Share Posted December 5, 2014 Jeffaffa I certainly am extremely envious of your position on this Euro depiction. Hopefully it stalls in just the right position for you to relive your avatar. At this juncture, I remain optimistic, But the drumbeats are getting louder, I could see this playing out a lot of ways, But in the end i will get something out of it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted December 5, 2014 Share Posted December 5, 2014 I know what you mean. That storm basically ripped the heart out of me like the "Temple of Doom" but boy was it historic. It was a nasty storm where I was on the shoreline. But... if I lived where I live now or got a repeat of 92 here in the CT River Valley I would probably be in a foul mood for an entire month. Either way I don't think this storm bears a ton of resemblance to 92. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 5, 2014 Share Posted December 5, 2014 Here's the thing on the Euro Ensembles... the biggest "clustering" of lows I see is over Long Island and Connecticut. Most members west of the mean with a handful waaaaaaay east. While the "mean" looks nice most of the members aren't even close to it.Was this in the beginning? You could see a NW look on the mean as it was evolving. I can't see members though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 5, 2014 Share Posted December 5, 2014 Here's the thing on the Euro Ensembles... the biggest "clustering" of lows I see is over Long Island and Connecticut. Most members west of the mean with a handful waaaaaaay east. While the "mean" looks nice most of the members aren't even close to it. Well that pretty much settles it. it's a wire to wire rainer for anyone south of southern NH Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 5, 2014 Share Posted December 5, 2014 It was a nasty storm where I was on the shoreline. But... if I lived where I live now or got a repeat of 92 here in the CT River Valley I would probably be in a foul mood for an entire month. Either way I don't think this storm bears a ton of resemblance to 92. actually that low position looks like your favorite boxing day shredded flakes storm where you and Shabbots were in epic meltdowns. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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