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Winter 2014-15 Banter Thread


Stormlover74

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This is where you become really irritating. Yes, it's true that the CMC does not look good. But you've yet again cherry picked the only model showing such a pattern and you've done this clearly to get a rise people of people. Who the frick uses the CMC to defend any kind of a forecast? :rolleyes: The GEFS and EPS both have a very different signal (-EPO, +PNA with high latitude blocking), each has higher scores than the CMC, and you know it. 

 

What's really unfortunate is that by even responding to you, I've lost.

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This is where you become really irritating. Yes, it's true that the CMC does not look good. But you've yet again cherry picked the only model showing such a pattern and you've done this clearly to get a rise people of people. Who the frick uses the CMC to defend any kind of a forecast? :rolleyes: The GEFS and EPS both have a very different signal, have much higher scores and you know it.

Then again, this winter has been the winter of opposites. Whenever the Euro or GFS show great warmth coming up, it seems to get muted. Now that they're showing cold in the long range is perhaps a sign to be worried. This winter stinks . . .

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This is where you become really irritating. Yes, it's true that the CMC does not look good. But you've yet again cherry picked the only model showing such a pattern and you've done this clearly to get a rise people of people. Who the frick uses the CMC to defend any kind of a forecast? :rolleyes: The GEFS and EPS both have a very different signal (-EPO, +PNA with high latitude blocking), each has higher scores than the CMC, and you know it. 

 

What's really unfortunate is that by even responding to you, I've lost.

Just one tool sir.

you make it sound like I draw the maps myself

please.... 

 

 the only model??? hows that???

http://www.esrl.noaa.gov/psd/map/images/ens/t850std1_ussm_animation.html

 

http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/people/wwang/cfsv2fcst/imagesInd3/usT2mMonNormInd1.gif

 

http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/people/wwang/cfsv2fcst/imagesInd3/usT850MonNormInd1.gif

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I think you just changed the subject. I asked you why you cherry picked the CMC map when the other major models all disagree with CPC's forecast. Are you admitting to only posting model output that supports your/CPC's forecast? If so, that's fine. Lame, but fine. What I want to see, regardless, is you personally acknowledge that 1). you/CPC have been wrong about January and that it has been and will end up being way less warm than you thought. And, 2). that the GEFS and EPS currently show nothing remotely close to what you/CPC is calling for. Can you do that?

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I think you just changed the subject. I asked you why you cherry picked the CMC map when the other major models all disagree with CPC's forecast. Are you admitting to only posting model output that supports your/CPC's forecast? If so, that's fine. Lame, but fine. What I want to see, regardless, is you personally acknowledge that 1). you/CPC have been wrong about January and that it has been and will end up being way less warm than you thought. And, 2). that the GEFS and EPS currently show nothing remotely close to what you/CPC is calling for. Can you do that?

I will leave the board 

I am a failure

 

goodnight and good luck

 

Tommy e

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I just took a grounds keeper position at Barnard/Columbia where I will be responsible for snow removal. So I will be reporting observations from the upper west side. No more south shore guy!

Good luck with the new position. Looks like your responsibilities this year will be a drop less.

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