Rjay Posted January 12, 2015 Share Posted January 12, 2015 True, but how has the CMC done overall this winter with regards to these kinds of prognostications?.Not great... just like the rest of the models. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfsheepsheadbay Posted January 12, 2015 Share Posted January 12, 2015 https://weather.gc.ca/ensemble/naefs/semaine2_combinee_e.html http://collaboration.cmc.ec.gc.ca/cmc/ensemble/naefs/semaine2/images/2015011212_054@007_E1_global_I_NAEFS@TEMPERATURE_anomaly@probability@combined@week2_186.png nasty nasty pattern for a favorable reload this month-imho 2015011212_054@007_E1_global_I_NAEFS@TEMPERATURE_anomaly@probability@combined@week2_186.png cmc day 8-15 This is where you become really irritating. Yes, it's true that the CMC does not look good. But you've yet again cherry picked the only model showing such a pattern and you've done this clearly to get a rise people of people. Who the frick uses the CMC to defend any kind of a forecast? The GEFS and EPS both have a very different signal (-EPO, +PNA with high latitude blocking), each has higher scores than the CMC, and you know it. What's really unfortunate is that by even responding to you, I've lost. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mophstymeo Posted January 12, 2015 Share Posted January 12, 2015 This is where you become really irritating. Yes, it's true that the CMC does not look good. But you've yet again cherry picked the only model showing such a pattern and you've done this clearly to get a rise people of people. Who the frick uses the CMC to defend any kind of a forecast? The GEFS and EPS both have a very different signal, have much higher scores and you know it. Then again, this winter has been the winter of opposites. Whenever the Euro or GFS show great warmth coming up, it seems to get muted. Now that they're showing cold in the long range is perhaps a sign to be worried. This winter stinks . . . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doorman Posted January 12, 2015 Share Posted January 12, 2015 True, but how has the CMC done overall this winter with regards to these kinds of prognostications? https://weather.gc.ca/ensemble/naefs/semaine2_combinee_e.html M click on the start date and see for yourself a very nice rough sketch Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted January 12, 2015 Share Posted January 12, 2015 These new ads on mobile are awful. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted January 12, 2015 Share Posted January 12, 2015 These new ads on mobile are awful. Truth Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doorman Posted January 12, 2015 Share Posted January 12, 2015 This is where you become really irritating. Yes, it's true that the CMC does not look good. But you've yet again cherry picked the only model showing such a pattern and you've done this clearly to get a rise people of people. Who the frick uses the CMC to defend any kind of a forecast? The GEFS and EPS both have a very different signal (-EPO, +PNA with high latitude blocking), each has higher scores than the CMC, and you know it. What's really unfortunate is that by even responding to you, I've lost. Just one tool sir. you make it sound like I draw the maps myself please.... the only model??? hows that??? http://www.esrl.noaa.gov/psd/map/images/ens/t850std1_ussm_animation.html http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/people/wwang/cfsv2fcst/imagesInd3/usT2mMonNormInd1.gif http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/people/wwang/cfsv2fcst/imagesInd3/usT850MonNormInd1.gif Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mophstymeo Posted January 12, 2015 Share Posted January 12, 2015 These new ads on mobile are awful. I thought it was just me . . . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 12, 2015 Share Posted January 12, 2015 I dont give a **** about college football. Stupid ads. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mophstymeo Posted January 12, 2015 Share Posted January 12, 2015 I dont give a **** about college football. Stupid ads. Dr. Oz keeps taking over my iPad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted January 12, 2015 Share Posted January 12, 2015 It's worth spending the $25 a year on a subscription. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfsheepsheadbay Posted January 12, 2015 Share Posted January 12, 2015 Just one tool sir. you make it sound like I draw the maps myself please.... the only model??? hows that??? http://www.esrl.noaa.gov/psd/map/images/ens/t850std1_ussm_animation.html http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/people/wwang/cfsv2fcst/imagesInd3/usT2mMonNormInd1.gif http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/people/wwang/cfsv2fcst/imagesInd3/usT850MonNormInd1.gif I think you just changed the subject. I asked you why you cherry picked the CMC map when the other major models all disagree with CPC's forecast. Are you admitting to only posting model output that supports your/CPC's forecast? If so, that's fine. Lame, but fine. What I want to see, regardless, is you personally acknowledge that 1). you/CPC have been wrong about January and that it has been and will end up being way less warm than you thought. And, 2). that the GEFS and EPS currently show nothing remotely close to what you/CPC is calling for. Can you do that? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 12, 2015 Share Posted January 12, 2015 Dr. Oz keeps taking over my iPad. Thats worse Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mophstymeo Posted January 12, 2015 Share Posted January 12, 2015 Thats worse Tell me about it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted January 12, 2015 Share Posted January 12, 2015 I just took a grounds keeper position at Barnard/Columbia where I will be responsible for snow removal. So I will be reporting observations from the upper west side. No more south shore guy! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doorman Posted January 12, 2015 Share Posted January 12, 2015 I think you just changed the subject. I asked you why you cherry picked the CMC map when the other major models all disagree with CPC's forecast. Are you admitting to only posting model output that supports your/CPC's forecast? If so, that's fine. Lame, but fine. What I want to see, regardless, is you personally acknowledge that 1). you/CPC have been wrong about January and that it has been and will end up being way less warm than you thought. And, 2). that the GEFS and EPS currently show nothing remotely close to what you/CPC is calling for. Can you do that? I will leave the board I am a failure goodnight and good luck Tommy e Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mophstymeo Posted January 12, 2015 Share Posted January 12, 2015 I will leave the board I am a failure goodnight and good luck Tommy e ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stlirish Posted January 13, 2015 Share Posted January 13, 2015 I dont give a **** about college football. Stupid ads. Download the Tapatalk app. It's great for viewing the boards. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted January 13, 2015 Share Posted January 13, 2015 I just took a grounds keeper position at Barnard/Columbia where I will be responsible for snow removal. So I will be reporting observations from the upper west side. No more south shore guy! Lol nice man Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mophstymeo Posted January 13, 2015 Share Posted January 13, 2015 I just took a grounds keeper position at Barnard/Columbia where I will be responsible for snow removal. So I will be reporting observations from the upper west side. No more south shore guy! Good luck with the new position. Looks like your responsibilities this year will be a drop less. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chietanen Posted January 13, 2015 Share Posted January 13, 2015 Think you guys in the city and LI might see some flakes as things wind down tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted January 13, 2015 Share Posted January 13, 2015 Good luck with the new position. Looks like your responsibilities this year will be a drop less.Let's hope not. Game plan is to take advantage of the ability to take graduate classes at Columbia. And ummmm remove snow. I like that allot! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted January 13, 2015 Share Posted January 13, 2015 I will leave the board I am a failure goodnight and good luck Tommy e don't leave just put him on your ignore list and his nonsense posts won't show up on your screen - he is on mine already Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chietanen Posted January 13, 2015 Share Posted January 13, 2015 You're right it hasn't I'll go quietly. Good luck with everything. don't leave just put him on your ignore list and his nonsense posts won't show up on your screen - he is on mine already Pretty sure it was a reference to this post from yesterday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted January 13, 2015 Share Posted January 13, 2015 That 00Z NAM at 50 hours...is this our out of nowhere snow we've been waiting for? Probably not but interesting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morris Posted January 13, 2015 Share Posted January 13, 2015 That 00Z NAM at 50 hours...is this our out of nowhere snow we've been waiting for? Probably not but interesting. What exactly does it show? Pictures? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted January 13, 2015 Share Posted January 13, 2015 What exactly does it show? Pictures? He can't post any pics due to the ads taking up 3/4 of the screen... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted January 13, 2015 Author Share Posted January 13, 2015 He cancan't post any pics due to the ads taking up 3/4 of the screen...LolJust got one for professional firearms training Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JSantanaNYC Posted January 13, 2015 Share Posted January 13, 2015 Too bad it is the NAM? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted January 13, 2015 Share Posted January 13, 2015 Lol Just got one for professional firearms training They're trying to get me to take online courses at the University of Phoenix. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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