Cfa Posted January 11, 2015 Share Posted January 11, 2015 Your location must be inside a Bakery???? J/K you may want to fix that Wow lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted January 11, 2015 Share Posted January 11, 2015 Way to much wind for anyone to radiate now. To bad I thought we had a shot at the coldest night of the year outside NYC met Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mophstymeo Posted January 11, 2015 Share Posted January 11, 2015 You know winter is slow when conversation turns to great storms of years past . . . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Monmouth_County_Jacpot Posted January 11, 2015 Share Posted January 11, 2015 Does anyone have the nao indicies for summer of 2013 and 2014 also for 2009 and 2010 I am trying to figure out if the noa is negative for our warmer months "summer" than it turns positive during winter timeGuess not Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MDstorm Posted January 11, 2015 Share Posted January 11, 2015 Guess not ftp://ftp.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/wd52dg/data/indices/nao_index.timMDstorm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Monmouth_County_Jacpot Posted January 11, 2015 Share Posted January 11, 2015 ftp://ftp.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/wd52dg/data/indices/nao_index.tim There goes that theory.... Thanks MDstorm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NYCSNOWMAN2020 Posted January 11, 2015 Share Posted January 11, 2015 Well ; live and learn sure the December and now January has been frustrating for people who want to see snow and humbling for those LR forecasts which have been wrong..now the proof is in the pudding.. I say ...from Feb 1-March 10 is our golden chance to see snow. What is my thoughts based on ..no scientific data ..just 33 years of following winter weather ..mother nature does what mother nature wants end of story. No one is owed snow lol.. When things look the darkest for people who want snow. .we may get blasted in Feb. My theory may crash and burn like Dec and Jan time will tell . One last point to ponder forget.. This winter ..as being epic ..forget being great..forget even good ..let's shoot for average ..or slightly below ..if at the end of the mentioned time frame we end up with 20 inches of snow NYC ..I'm OK with that .. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfsheepsheadbay Posted January 11, 2015 Share Posted January 11, 2015 How's all that working out for you. We can scrap off the overrunning most likely (mostly rain) and same goes for the big dog potential (OTS most likely). The clipper worked out but I never dismissed it but we're still only talking like an inch of snow for many with local spots up to 2" so no big deal. Warmup looks likely starting next weekend and could last up to a week which brings us to the end of January and start of February. Which part exactly did I overlook when I looking ahead. There could be something last few days of January but in my post I said near February 1 which includes last few days of January. You continue to have absolutely no clue what you are talking about. You do not understand meteorology, you're constantly negative which doesn't take any chutzpah at all, and you are annoying to the point where you bring the discourse of the entire subforum down a couple of notches. Since things are so bad, please take a break and we will see next year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfsheepsheadbay Posted January 11, 2015 Share Posted January 11, 2015 Maybe...but for the wrong reasons...How so. He's been harping on the PAC jet all winter. Isn't that the primary reason for the snow drought? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted January 11, 2015 Share Posted January 11, 2015 Does anyone have the nao indicies for summer of 2013 and 2014 also for 2009 and 2010 I am trying to figure out if the noa is negative for our warmer months "summer" than it turns positive during winter time The one correlation that had worked well up until the past 15 years was that a -NAO in October usually meant a +NAO in winter...the last 3 years though that correlation has returned, we had a -NAO in both October 2012, 2013 and 2014 and all 3 winters at least so far were mostly positive. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 11, 2015 Share Posted January 11, 2015 How so. He's been harping on the PAC jet all winter. Isn't that the primary reason for the snow drought? Yet when Ive been on the PAC firehose all season all I get are email threats about how I haven't a clue and I should post less or be murdered. People around here hate the truth. I may not be the smartest guy on the board but I do still have a solid background in meteo for over 20 yrs. I'm outta this subforum, no time for the death threats.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doorman Posted January 11, 2015 Share Posted January 11, 2015 Yet when Ive been on the PAC firehose all season all I get are email threats about how I haven't a clue and I should post less or be murdered. People around here hate the truth. I may not be the smartest guy on the board but I do still have a solid background in meteo for over 20 yrs. I'm outta this subforum, no time for the death threats.... Wiggum you stay in here ......that's an order!!! otherwise I will make Philly my home thread -- then you will have no choice but to come crawling back to the metro for good dm otwc Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uncle W Posted January 11, 2015 Share Posted January 11, 2015 Guess not ftp://ftp.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/cwlinks/norm.daily.nao.index.b500101.current.ascii Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternLI Posted January 11, 2015 Share Posted January 11, 2015 So, hypothetically, say we get shut-out for the rest of JAN and most of FEB in the snowfall department. Then, there happen to be one or two snowstorms, maybe end of FEB and/or early MAR. Which happen to put seasonal snowfall at or above average, which is all it takes sometimes in and around the NYC metro. Would folks have a different view of the season, or would it still suck? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mophstymeo Posted January 11, 2015 Share Posted January 11, 2015 So, hypothetically, say we get shut-out for the rest of JAN and most of FEB in the snowfall department. Then, there happen to be one or two snowstorms, maybe end of FEB and/or early MAR. Which happen to put seasonal snowfall at or above average, which is all it takes sometimes in and around the NYC metro. Would folks have a different view of the season, or would it still suck? It would suck, to me at least, partly because of the expectations for this winter. It went from epic snowfall to epic boredom. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doorman Posted January 11, 2015 Share Posted January 11, 2015 So, hypothetically, say we get shut-out for the rest of JAN and most of FEB in the snowfall department. Then, there happen to be one or two snowstorms, maybe end of FEB and/or early MAR. Which happen to put seasonal snowfall at or above average, which is all it takes sometimes in and around the NYC metro. Would folks have a different view of the season, or would it still suck? If a magician can't pull the rabbit out of his hat.... is he still magical?? The weather heroes some believe in -round here- are very good with smoke and mirrors Models work very well if you can learn to read them without a SNOW bias---imho OTM dm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted January 11, 2015 Share Posted January 11, 2015 The Only reason I am not giving up the ship yet - is because the MJO outlook is signaling not too - we are going into phase 6 today and by the 21st as of today are going into phase 7 and then phase 8 and or phase 1 then into the COD by early February - BTW we have had a few KU's while in the COD - 1977 -78 still remains the top analog - and if there were weather forums back then the comments would probably up to this date be almost identical to the ones posted here since November........ http://www.kylemacritchie.com/real-time-maps/realtime-mjo/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfsheepsheadbay Posted January 11, 2015 Share Posted January 11, 2015 And you do have a clue. You've been just as wrong as everybody else but of course you're part of that high and mighty group that think they know everything and put everyone else down. Good thing for people like Bluewave, Don S, Snowgoose who give great insight without acting superior and putting everyone else down because they don't know as much. It was wrong to tell you not to give up on the late week threat 4 days ago? I never predicted anything. I was providing analysis. Something you are unable to do because you do not grasp basic concepts of meteorology. So, instead of shutting your yap and learning from others like bluewave, donS and snowgoose, you post digital diarrhea in every thread; your opinions blow like a fart in the wind depending on what others say because you cannot think for yourself. Please leave this place. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfsheepsheadbay Posted January 11, 2015 Share Posted January 11, 2015 Major props to both bluewave and doorman btw. I was not very nice to especially bluewave and he has been dead on. Still have issue with doormans style but nice work this winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Saturn510 Posted January 11, 2015 Share Posted January 11, 2015 The funny thing about doorman is he used to find every which way to save a storm and give us hope. This yesr was complete opposite. Tho he was just showing the donkey balls of the pac jet to prove his points which were correct way to go. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted January 11, 2015 Share Posted January 11, 2015 It was wrong to tell you not to give up on the late week threat 4 days ago? I never predicted anything. I was providing analysis. Something you are unable to do because you do not grasp basic concepts of meteorology. So, instead of shutting your yap and learning from others like bluewave, donS and snowgoose, you post digital diarrhea in every thread; your opinions blow like a fart in the wind depending on what others say because you cannot think for yourself. Please leave this place. Ok sorry I'll leave. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted January 11, 2015 Share Posted January 11, 2015 I cannot recall a single post of yours to this board that contained anything substantive. You're right it hasn't I'll go quietly. Good luck with everything. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Pamela Posted January 11, 2015 Share Posted January 11, 2015 You're right it hasn't I'll go quietly. Good luck with everything. Here's some life advice...and I don't mean it in a rude way...its good advice for thousands of young Americans in their late 20's who are sort of searching for some direction in life... 1/ Try to find full time employment 2/ Move away from home and get a place of your own. Nothing produces more growth in a person than being responsible for all your own needs...you will feel so much better about *everything*. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Pamela Posted January 11, 2015 Share Posted January 11, 2015 Here's some life advice...and I don't mean it in a rude way...its good advice for thousands of young Americans in their late 20's who are sort of searching for some direction in life... 1/ Try to find full time employment 2/ Move away from home and get a place of your own. Nothing produces more growth in a person than being responsible for all your own needs...you will feel so much better about *everything*. Always remember...dependency is, in many ways, a form of thralldom...when you are dependent on no one for your basic needs...you are beholding to no one...which is, at its core, the root assumption of what it means to be free. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NYCSNOWMAN2020 Posted January 11, 2015 Share Posted January 11, 2015 Everyone calm down ..no need to get upset we are all here to enjoy the hobby of weather watching/tracking.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chietanen Posted January 11, 2015 Share Posted January 11, 2015 Here's some life advice...and I don't mean it in a rude way...its good advice for thousands of young Americans in their late 20's who are sort of searching for some direction in life... 1/ Try to find full time employment 2/ Move away from home and get a place of your own. Nothing produces more growth in a person than being responsible for all your own needs...you will feel so much better about *everything*. This is a perplexing statement to read on a weather forum. Aren't we here to discuss the weather? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TwcMan Posted January 11, 2015 Share Posted January 11, 2015 There's a WWA for the region, yet we are barely discussing this? The storm will be here in less than 24 hours now. It may not be a great year (even tho it's only the middle of January right now) but it has snowed already this year and probably will again tomorrow. I understand people in here are upset but that's no reason to attack a fellow poster or tell them to leave, they have the same passion for weather as you do, or at least I would like to think so. Winter is only 2-3 weeks old, still a lot more of winter to go. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted January 11, 2015 Author Share Posted January 11, 2015 There's a WWA for the region, yet we are barely discussing this? The storm will be here in less than 24 hours now. It may not be a great year (even tho it's only the middle of January right now) but it has snowed already this year and probably will again tomorrow. I understand people in here are upset but that's no reason to attack a fellow poster or tell them to leave, they have the same passion for weather as you do, or at least I would like to think so. Winter is only 2-3 weeks old, still a lot more of winter to go. Will tomorrow's commute be worse than Fridays? Seems unlikely Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TwcMan Posted January 11, 2015 Share Posted January 11, 2015 Will tomorrow's commute be worse than Fridays? Seems unlikely There's ice in the forecast.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted January 11, 2015 Share Posted January 11, 2015 West Hampton got down to 2 last night not to shabby Also there is not one day in the next 7 forecasted to be above normal. (Other briefly tomorrow and even that's not a given) Better then 01/02 or 11/12 for sure Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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