Rjay Posted January 7, 2015 Share Posted January 7, 2015 Partly sunny with light snow falling again Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfsheepsheadbay Posted January 7, 2015 Share Posted January 7, 2015 Then attack the information. Whining and personal attacks do nothing but further degrade the convo. Congrats btw. I very specifically attacked the information and did not whine in doing so. You have two posters in this forum right now, one of whom is highly respected, the other a bloviating clown, seemingly blatantly misrepresenting model output to suit their own warm agendas. Deal with this misinformation. I am not the issue. I just read in the January thread that the Euro was all rain for the coast for the overrunning. That is actually false and not even close to correct. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted January 7, 2015 Share Posted January 7, 2015 Another nice squall incoming!!!! This time it looks centered over NE Nassau and SW Suffolk. Light snow here currently with the sun out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthShoreWx Posted January 7, 2015 Share Posted January 7, 2015 Squalls to the left of me, squalls to the right, here I am. Sigh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted January 7, 2015 Share Posted January 7, 2015 Squalls to the left of me, squalls to the right, here I am. Sigh. Wish I lived near you just so I can say, "stuck in the middle with you". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted January 7, 2015 Share Posted January 7, 2015 Seriously this! I'm also leaving some room for more than a moderate event if things fall right. PNA Spike...transient blocking...good cold air source...but I'm probably just being a weenie. The KU and over 6" storms generally occur after or near steep -AO drops to around -1.5 or lower. But sometimes we get a rare event like December 90 that makes it to a little over 6" in a non ideal pattern. It's just we can get really disappointed waiting for the next overperformer in mostly +AO pattern. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowshack Posted January 7, 2015 Share Posted January 7, 2015 Squalls to the left of me, squalls to the right, here I am. Sigh. Just a couple flakes out here. Snow in the air two days in a row and approaching 48 hrs below 25 degrees is ok by me though.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthShoreWx Posted January 7, 2015 Share Posted January 7, 2015 At least I've been getting a clear view of lots of big dark billowing fuzzy edged clouds with a few dark scuds around the edges. FTR, there have been few stray flakes from time to time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted January 7, 2015 Share Posted January 7, 2015 The KU and over 6" storms generally occur after or near steep -AO drops to around -1.5 or lower. But sometimes we get a rare event like December 90 that makes it to a little over 6" in a non ideal pattern. It's just we can get really disappointed waiting for the next overperformer in mostly +AO pattern. I can't really argue with that fact that we generally don't see storms over 6" without a big ao drop past -1 as you and others have shown us over the years...but nothing is impossible (oh god I sound like Ant). I'm not one for getting too disappointed. With that said, the 12z models today have at least made me excited to what is possible next week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted January 7, 2015 Share Posted January 7, 2015 These squalls are incredibly localized. I just missed this last one by a mile to the east. I can actually see the snow falling heavily to my east. Looks like bands of fog. Meanwhile just flurries here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted January 7, 2015 Share Posted January 7, 2015 I can't really argue with that fact that we generally don't see storms over 6" without a big ao drop past -1 as you and others have shown us over the years...but nothing is impossible (oh god I sound like Ant). I'm not one for getting too disappointed. With that said, the 12z models today have at least made me excited to what is possible next week. Hopefully we can put some points on the board before the second trough next week lifts out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted January 7, 2015 Share Posted January 7, 2015 Hopefully we can put some points on the board before the second trough next week lifts out. We have a shot. Thats all we can ask for. This isn't the greatest pattern but it's certainly not the worst. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthShoreWx Posted January 7, 2015 Share Posted January 7, 2015 At least I've been getting a clear view of lots of big dark billowing fuzzy edged clouds with a few dark scuds around the edges. FTR, there have been few stray flakes from time to time. Took some pictures of the pretty clouds that were snowing on someone else. Photo thread seemed like a more appropriate place so I put them there: https://www.americanwx.com/bb/index.php/topic/44993-winter-2014-15-official-picture-thread/?p=3239551 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted January 7, 2015 Share Posted January 7, 2015 Took some pictures of the pretty clouds that were snowing on someone else. Photo thread seemed like a more appropriate place so I put them there: https://www.americanwx.com/bb/index.php/topic/44993-winter-2014-15-official-picture-thread/?p=3239551 The second squall that passed to my east had a very summer convective look to it in the setting sun. Someone just east of me got a nice brief white out dump.Where has red been? Looked to have clipped him Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cfa Posted January 7, 2015 Share Posted January 7, 2015 Why must wind accompany 99% of any extreme cold we get? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted January 7, 2015 Share Posted January 7, 2015 You never know what you are going to see walking along the shoreline in Long Beach. Talk about being in the right place at the right time to capture this on video. https://www.facebook.com/video.php?v=1528894474060866 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfsheepsheadbay Posted January 7, 2015 Share Posted January 7, 2015 You never know what you are going to see walking along the shoreline in Long Beach. Talk about being in the right place at the right time to capture this on video. https://www.facebook.com/video.php?v=1528894474060866 The falcon is the GFS and the carcass is the Euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted January 7, 2015 Share Posted January 7, 2015 The falcon is the GFS and the carcass is the Euro. Hehe, the GFS did catch the second trough amplification next week. Let's hope the longer range does even better when the OP and ensembles upgrade next week. It's nice to see that 192-240 hr truncation finally go. I can remember when it was truncating after 84 hrs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted January 8, 2015 Share Posted January 8, 2015 snowing as far south as charleston sc tonight. photo from brother Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted January 8, 2015 Share Posted January 8, 2015 Yawn worthy on the snow department but I can't say I'm surprised the pattern doesn't favor much snow. Everything will depend on how things play out after the thaw. We'll know if all hope is lost in a short 3 weeks. 3 weeks takes us to near Feb 1st and we can determine how the pattern will evolve by then. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfsheepsheadbay Posted January 8, 2015 Share Posted January 8, 2015 Yawn worthy on the snow department but I can't say I'm surprised the pattern doesn't favor much snow. Everything will depend on how things play out after the thaw. We'll know if all hope is lost in a short 3 weeks. 3 weeks takes us to near Feb 1st and we can determine how the pattern will evolve by then. Yawn at your posts and the melodrama. Thank god for banter threads. Let me ask you something...will you impose self-banishment for a week if the threat the Euro still shows comes to fruition? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 8, 2015 Share Posted January 8, 2015 Yawn worthy on the snow department but I can't say I'm surprised the pattern doesn't favor much snow. Everything will depend on how things play out after the thaw. We'll know if all hope is lost in a short 3 weeks. 3 weeks takes us to near Feb 1st and we can determine how the pattern will evolve by then. We are in the middle of a good pattern with several snow chances and you are dismissing it to look towards the pattern post Feb 1?Hopefully you are joking else you need a new hobby such as watching paint dry Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted January 8, 2015 Share Posted January 8, 2015 A true weenie savors the cold, even when snow is lacking. You're all posers. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted January 8, 2015 Share Posted January 8, 2015 Yawn at your posts and the melodrama. Thank god for banter threads. Let me ask you something...will you impose self-banishment for a week if the threat the Euro still shows comes to fruition? Your posts bring about false hope and claims constantly talking about how things might evolve more favorably day 10 and beyond. I don't care what anyone has to say about my thoughts but has anyone had a clue thus far about the winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfsheepsheadbay Posted January 8, 2015 Share Posted January 8, 2015 Your posts bring about false hope and claims constantly talking about how things might evolve more favorably day 10 and beyond. I don't care what anyone has to say about my thoughts but has anyone had a clue thus far about the winter. The Euro, EPS, Ukie, JMA and Navgem all support a major storm in the day 8 timeframe. You just gave up on the Friday clipper, the overrunning next week, the big dog coastal potential later next week, and said we should look toward February 1 in your post above, and all based on one suite of model runs where half of them, and the highest scoring ones, are still showing a wintry pattern. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 8, 2015 Share Posted January 8, 2015 Snoski, why are you really pessamistic lately? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zir0b Posted January 8, 2015 Share Posted January 8, 2015 The Euro, EPS, Ukie, JMA and Navgem all support a major storm in the day 8 timeframe. You just gave up on the Friday clipper, the overrunning next week, the big dog coastal potential later next week, and said we should look toward February 1 in your post above, and all based on one suite of model runs where half of them, and the highest scoring ones, are still showing a wintry pattern. You are the worst poster in this subforum, bar none. agreed, seems like he suffers from some form of bipolar disorder. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 8, 2015 Share Posted January 8, 2015 Snoski, why are you really pessamistic lately? http://youtu.be/mi0nkS3v_eU Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cjr231 Posted January 8, 2015 Share Posted January 8, 2015 Showing a Day 8 fantasy storm FTL. Did we not learn our lesson yet? Complains if its there. Complains if its not there. Please take a break dude. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted January 8, 2015 Share Posted January 8, 2015 I'm farily certain that SnoSki was given an involuntary break. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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